A Guide to Forecasting for Planners and Managers
Author : Raymond Edson Willis
Publisher : Prentice Hall
Page : 404 pages
File Size : 19,45 MB
Release : 1987-01-01
Category : Forecasting
ISBN : 9780133695397
Author : Raymond Edson Willis
Publisher : Prentice Hall
Page : 404 pages
File Size : 19,45 MB
Release : 1987-01-01
Category : Forecasting
ISBN : 9780133695397
Author : Spyros G. Makridakis
Publisher : Wiley-Interscience
Page : 666 pages
File Size : 10,94 MB
Release : 1987-04-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN :
Role and application of forecasting in organizations; Introduction to management forecasting; Sales forecasting requirements; Forecasting requirements for operations planning and control; Capacity planning forecasting requirements; Financial forecasting; Forecasting and strategic planning; Forecasting in the electric utility industry; State and local government revenue forecasting; Population forecasting; Forecasting: the issues; Approaches to forecasting; Smoothing methods for short-term planning and control; A practical overview of arima models for time series forecasting; Decomposition methods for medium term planning annnd budgeting; Econometric methods for managerial applications; Judgemtal and bayesian forecasting; An integrated approach to medium andlong term forecasting: the marketing mix system; Forecasting challenges; Forecasting and the environment: the challenges of rapid change; Price forecasting using experience curves and the product life-cycle concept; Life cycle forecasting; Forecasting recessions; Forecasting macroeconomic variables: an eclectic approach; ; Managing the forecasting functions; Forecasting and planning: an evaluation; Integrating forecasting and decision making; The forecasting audit; The future of forecasting.
Author : Stephen M. Millett
Publisher : Triarchy Press
Page : 288 pages
File Size : 40,80 MB
Release : 2011-11-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1909470007
A guide to forecasting and strategic planning for organizations
Author : David M. Georgoff
Publisher :
Page : 5 pages
File Size : 47,25 MB
Release : 1986-01-01
Category : Business forecasting
ISBN : 9780000861047
Author : James Morrell
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 170 pages
File Size : 18,30 MB
Release : 2017-11-22
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 1351744577
This title was first published in 2001. Forecasting is an essential discipline in the planning and running of a business: not only for the business plan and annual budget but for the appraisal of investment projects, the commissioning of research as well as the appraisal of the competition and the feasibility of making acquisitions. Managers are continually confronted with the need to take decisions, and being able to construct a route map of the future is a key way of determining a course of action. This book offers a practical guide to forecasting the environment in which a firm operates. The author goes through the key areas which can affect a business. He includes those which are out of the firm's control such as fiscal and monetary policy, population levels and the labour market; and those that are, such as costs, prices, profits and product development.
Author : Sharon Hatten Garrison
Publisher : Praeger
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 47,96 MB
Release : 1988-08-16
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0899302653
This work offers a concise explanation of the fundamentals of financial forecasting intended for managers in accounting, marketing, sales, and strategic planning. As the authors point out, financial forecasting is more than the annual genertion of sales forecasts and budgets. It is a comprehensive process that looks at every aspect of a company's operations in order to determine the likely aspect on profits of a number of internal and external forces. Each of the steps in this complex process is fully described in this books so that the reader gains an understanding of how to produce effective financial forecasts for his or her own firm. Throughout, numerous tables and figures illustrate points made in the test. Credit Executive In an era of deregulation, tax revisions, cost cutting, and unpredictable markets, sound financial planning is a critical variable in any company's continued profitability. This book offers a clear, concise explanation of the fundamentals of financial forecasting intended for managers in accounting, marketing, sales, and strategic planning. As the authors point out, financial forecasting is more than the annual generation of sales forecasts and budgets--it is a comprehensive process that looks at every aspect of a company's operations in order to determine the likely impact on profits of a number of internal and external forces. Each of the steps in this complex process is fully described here so that the reader gains a complete understanding of how to produce effective financial forecasts for his or her own firm.
Author : Chaman L. Jain
Publisher :
Page : 402 pages
File Size : 34,75 MB
Release : 2012
Category :
ISBN : 9780983941309
Author : Stephen M. Millett
Publisher :
Page : 120 pages
File Size : 46,55 MB
Release : 1991
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN :
Technology forecasting is one of the most formidable challenges facing many organizations. In A Manager's Guide..., Stephen Millet and Edward Honton provide a guide for corporate and technology managers, planners, and analysts looking for a foundation on which to base technological forecasts and decision making. The authors assess 20 forecasting methods, evaluate their advantages and disadvantages, and suggest applications and uses. This book provides a profile of the technology forecasting and strategy analysis methods available today to guide input to the corporate decision-making process. Trend Analyses: Trend Extrapolation, Time Series Estimation, Regression Analysis, Econometrics, Systems Dynamics, S-Curves, Historical Analogies, Input-Output Matrices, Patent Trend Analysis, Scientific Literature Analysis, New Trend Analyses Techniques. Expert Judgment: Interviews, Questionnaires, Group Dynamics Multi-Option Analyses: Scenarios, Simulations, Paths and Trees, Portfolio Analysis Conclusions: Forecasts, Recommendations for Managers
Author : Steve Morlidge
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 328 pages
File Size : 41,39 MB
Release : 2010-02-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0470662212
The recent crisis in the financial markets has exposed serious flaws in management methods. The failure to anticipate and deal with the consequences of the unfolding collapse has starkly illustrated what many leaders and managers in business have known for years; in most organizations, the process of forecasting is badly broken. For that reason, forecasting business performance tops the list of concerns for CFO's across the globe. It is time to rethink the way businesses organize and run forecasting processes and how they use the insights that they provide to navigate through these turbulent times. This book synthesizes and structures findings from a range of disciplines and over 60 years of the authors combined practical experience. This is presented in the form of a set of simple strategies that any organization can use to master the process of forecasting. The key message of this book is that while no mortal can predict the future, you can take the steps to be ready for it. ’Good enough’ forecasts, wise preparation and the capability to take timely action, will help your organization to create its own future. Written in an engaging and thought provoking style, Future Ready leads the reader to answers to questions such as: What makes a good forecast? What period should a forecast cover? How frequently should it be updated? What information should it contain? What is the best way to produce a forecast? How can you avoid gaming and other forms of data manipulation? How should a forecast be used? How do you ensure that your forecast is reliable? How accurate does it need to be? How should you deal with risk and uncertainty What is the best way to organize a forecast process? Do you need multiple forecasts? What changes should be made to other performance management processes to facilitate good forecasting? Future Ready is an invaluable guide for practicing managers and a source of insight and inspiration to leaders looking for better ways of doing things and to students of the science and craft of management. Praise for Future Ready "Will make a difference to the way you think about forecasting going forward" —Howard Green, Group Controller Unilever PLC "Great analogies and stories are combined with rock solid theory in a language that even the most reading-averse manager will love from page one" —Bjarte Bogsnes, Vice President Performance Management Development at StatoilHydro "A timely addition to the growing research on management planning and performance measurement." —Dr. Charles T. Horngren, Edmund G. Littlefield Professor of Accounting Emeritus Stanford University and author of many standard texts including Cost Accounting: A Managerial Emphasis, Introduction to Management Accounting, and Financial Accounting "In the area of Forecasting, it is the best book in the market." —Fritz Roemer. Leader of Enterprise Performance Executive Advisory Program, the Hackett Group
Author : Stephan Kolassa
Publisher : Business Expert Press
Page : 214 pages
File Size : 43,82 MB
Release : 2016-08-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1606495038
Most decisions and plans in a firm require a forecast. Not matching supply with demand can make or break any business, and that's why forecasting is so invaluable. Forecasting can appear as a frightening topic with many arcane equations to master. For this reason, the authors start out from the very basics and provide a non-technical overview of common forecasting techniques as well as organizational aspects of creating a robust forecasting process. The book also discusses how to measure forecast accuracy to hold people accountable and guide continuous improvement. This book does not require prior knowledge of higher mathematics, statistics, or operations research. It is designed to serve as a first introduction to the non-expert, such as a manager overseeing a forecasting group, or an MBA student who needs to be familiar with the broad outlines of forecasting without specializing in it.