Changing Patterns of Nonprior Service Attrition in the Army National Guard and Army Reserve


Book Description

This report analyzes the attrition of Army Reserve and Army National Guard enlistees who have had no prior military service. It develops models of attrition that assign a probability of attrition to each recruit type. The models are based on analyses of historical attrition for the fiscal year 1980- 1982 cohorts entering the Army National Guard and Army Reserve. The report focuses on separations to civilian life and develops separate models for attrition during the training and posttraining periods and the first two years after enlistment. A major finding is that economic factors and institutional policies are extremely important determinants of attrition across different cohorts. Although it is possible to predict the relative attrition risk associated with changes in composition or quality, the predictive power of such models is not good. As much as possible, changes in component policies or training standards must be accounted for, as well as the effect of changing economic conditions on both the entering cohorts and the components. Keywords: Army; Army personnel; Attrition; National Guard; Military reserves; Enlisted personnel.




Attrition of Nonprior Service Reservists in the Army National Guard and Army Reserve


Book Description

This report analyzes nonprior service attrition in the Army Reserve and Army National Guard, and is an extension of work reported earlier in N-2079-RA. It develops models of attrition that assign a probability of attrition to each recruit type, thus providing a basis for setting improved enlistment standards. Study results show that, similar to Active Force attrition studies, separation rates for both the Army National Guard and Army Reserve are sensitive to the education, aptitude scores and demographic composition of the enlistment cohort. Results also show that many reservists separate in order to enter an Active or another Reserve component, or to later return to the same component.




Reassessing Enlisted Reserve Attrition


Book Description

This Note examines the attrition behavior of nonprior service enlisted reservists who enlisted in the Selected Reserve during FY92-FY88. The main thesis of the Note is that attrition needs to be reassessed and redefined from a total force perspective to take into account returns to the reserve components and transfers into the active force, both of which are substantial. Both overall attrition and attrition to civilian life have been declining over time, but the high rates of turbulence need to be managed better to reduce their adverse impact on unit readiness. There are marked differences among components, with the two Air components having the lowest rates.




Reserve Components


Book Description




Attitudes, Aptitudes, and Aspirations of American Youth


Book Description

Recruiting an all-volunteer military is a formidable task. To successfully enlist one eligible recruit, the Army must contact approximately 120 young people. The National Research Council explores the various factors that will determine whether the military can realistically expect to recruit an adequate fighting force-one that will meet its upcoming needs. It also assesses the military's expected manpower needs and projects the numbers of youth who are likely to be available over the next 20 years to meet these needs. With clearly written text and useful graphics, Attitudes, Aptitudes, and Aspirations of American Youth offers an overview of important issues for military recruiters, touching on a number of important topics including: sex and race, education and aptitude, physical and moral attributes, and military life and working conditions. In addition, the book looks at how a potential recruit would approach the decision to enlist, considering personal, family, and social values, and the options for other employment or college. Building on the need to increase young Americans' "propensity to enlist," this book offers useful recommendations for increasing educational opportunities while in the service and for developing advertising strategies that include concepts of patriotism and duty to country. Of primary value to military policymakers, recruitment officers, and analysts, Attitudes, Aptitudes, and Aspirations of American Youth will also interest social scientists and policy makers interested in youth trends.







Accession and Attrition of Prior-service Reservists


Book Description

This Note documents a briefing about research on prior-service reservists that was designed to complement previous research about the behavior of non-prior-service reservists. The research investigates accession into the reserves among two groups of individuals with prior military service: (1) those who served on active duty in the Army, and (2) those who served in the Army Reserve or Army National Guard and left reserve service. The research then examines the attrition decision among persons from these two groups who do join (or rejoin) the Army Reserve or Army National Guard. It considers what prior-service personnel enter the reserves, when, why, and the match between their active and reserve occupational specialties. It also considers who leaves the reserves, when, why, and how attrition patterns differ by specialty. The results suggest that targeted recruiting may have more effect on attrition rates than do changes in compensation policies. However, affiliation bonuses appear to be an effective means of recruiting those leaving active service, and, at least for the Army Reserve, in decreasing attrition among those who receive a bonus.




Communicating Security


Book Description

This book analyzes the changes and tendencies expressed in the relation between army and society in Israel. Since its inception, Israel has been defined as a nation in arms, a public space in which the security needs became central and, to a great extent, dictated the agenda and functioning of all the public arenas operating in it. The theoretical investigation is accompanied by case study illustrations of special instances related to the nexus between: security and society security and politics the army and the media the army and public relations security and culture bereavement and commemoration social motivation to serve in the army the army and foreign policy. Lebel explores the connection between the military and culture in Israel against the backdrop of globalization, individualism, liberalism, and social burn-out in the face of survival and change.




The Reserve Force Policy Screening Models (POSM)


Book Description

This report is a user's manual for the Reserve Force Policy Screening Models (POSM), which consist of 48 separate models. Eight separate models for each of the six reserve components include three officer and three enlisted models covering military technicians, full-time personnel, and part-time personnel; a fourth pair contains an aggregate of all three types of personnel. Each personnel inventory projection model incorporates behavioral and nonbehavioral options for projecting force sizes into the future. The models incorporate personnel flow into and out of the force, among the different personnel groups (full-time, military technician, and part-time), and into different year-of-service groups. They can project 14 years or more into the future, using assumptions about end strength or accession levels. The models were built to support a wide range of decisions concerning reserve pay, bonus budgets, recruiting resources, and issues of reserve force growth.




Economic Factors in Reserve Attrition


Book Description

This report analyzes the separation decisions of prior-service reservists in the Army Reserve and the Army National Guard, the two components that recruit over 60 percent of all Selected Reserve prior-service accessions. The authors examine the effects of military compensation on attrition among prior-service reservists. They also investigate the ways separation patterns differ, depending on the personal characteristics of individuals. In successive sections, the report (1) reviews the conceptual model of attrition that guides the empirical work and specifies the hypotheses that are tested with the data; (2) discusses the data available for modeling attrition, and the methods of analysis; (3) describes the variation in length of service among prior-service enlistees as a function of selected characteristics; and (4) presents results from a multivariate analysis of attrition. The study suggests that the rate of military pay can significantly affect the length of service of prior-service personnel. However, demographic characteristics have a much larger influence on attrition than economic factors; targeted recruiting may be more effective in retaining personnel for longer terms than changing compensation policies.