Development of a Path Flow Estimator for Deriving Steady-state and Time-dependent Origin-destination Trip Tables


Book Description

The origin-destination (O-D) trip table is a key input required for traffic assignment and simulation models utilized to analyze a wide variety of transportation applications. The main goal of this research is to develop an economical and quick method for estimating O-D trip tables from traffic counts. Path flow estimator (PFE), originally developed by Bell and Shield (1995), has been further developed to improve the reliability and efficiency of O-D trip table estimates. The research reported herein includes only the development of the steady-state O-D estimator. In this study, the original PFE model was carefully examined in several aspects to gain more insight for further improvements. Currently, the PFE has been successfully applied to estimate the steady-state O-D trip tables for the Irvine Testbed network in Orange County, California as well as some other real networks. The primary results demonstrate that PFE has the capability to correctly estimate the total and individual O-D demands when proper information is provided. They also indicate that the number and locations of traffic counts significantly influence the quality of O-D estimates as each observation contributes different amount and quality of information. The most difficult task observed thus far is the estimation of spatial pattern of O-D demands even when traffic counts were collected on all network links. These issues and the development of time-dependent PFE will be investigated in the second phase under Task Order 5502




International Conference on Transportation Engineering 2007


Book Description

This collection contains 690 papers presented at the First International Conference on Transportation Engineering, held in Chengdu, China, July 22-24, 2007.







Modeling Transportation Planning Applications Via Path Flow Estimator


Book Description

The Path Flow Estimator (PEE) concept was originally developed to estimate path flows (hence origin-destination flows) and link flows for a whole road network (given some counts at selected roads). It is now further developed as an alternative for modeling different transportation planning applications: (1) a bicycle network analysis tool for non-motorized transportation planning, (2) a multi-class traffic assignment model for freight planning, and (3) a simplified travel demand forecasting framework for small community planning. The first application of the redeveloped PFE is to develop a two-stage bicycle traffic assignment model for estimating/predicting bicycle volumes on a transportation network. The first stage considers key criteria (e.g., distance related attributes, safety related attributes, air quality related attributes etc.) to generate a set of non-dominated (or efficient) paths, while the second stage adopts several traffic assignment methods to determine the flow allocations to the network. This two-stage approach can be used as a stand-alone bicycle traffic assignment to the transportation network given a bicycle origin-destination (O-D) matrix. The second application aims to enhance the realism of traffic assignment models for freight planning by incorporating different modeling considerations into the multi-class traffic assignment problem. These modeling considerations involve developing both model formulation and customized solution algorithm, which in turn involve asymmetric interactions among different vehicle types (i.e., cars versus trucks), a path-size logit (PSL) model (for accounting random perceptions of network conditions with explicit consideration of route overlapping), and various traffic restrictions imposed either individually or together to multiple vehicle types in a transportation network. In the third application, a simplified planning framework is developed to perform planning applications in small communities where limited planning resources hinder the development and application of a full four-step model. Two versions (i.e., base year and future year) of the PFE are proposed to address the specific transportation planning issues and needs of small communities. These new PFE developments for planning applications are tested with different realistic transportation networks. The results suggest that the new PFE applications proposed in this dissertation provide an alternative to the traditional four-step travel demand forecasting model that can be used as a stand-alone application with better modeling capability and fewer resources.




Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists


Book Description

The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists is the premier public resource on scientific and technological developments that impact global security. Founded by Manhattan Project Scientists, the Bulletin's iconic "Doomsday Clock" stimulates solutions for a safer world.