Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies


Book Description

Central banks in emerging and developing economies (EMDEs) have been modernizing their monetary policy frameworks, often moving toward inflation targeting (IT). However, questions regarding the strength of monetary policy transmission from interest rates to inflation and output have often stalled progress. We conduct a novel empirical analysis using Jordà’s (2005) approach for 40 EMDEs to shed a light on monetary transmission in these countries. We find that interest rate hikes reduce output growth and inflation, once we explicitly account for the behavior of the exchange rate. Having a modern monetary policy framework—adopting IT and independent and transparent central banks—matters more for monetary transmission than financial development.




Monetary Transmission in Europe


Book Description

This work focuses on different aspects of the monetary transmission process, looking at both large and small economies in the EMU. The results offer useful evaluation tools with regard to monetary policy transmission in a European perspective.




Interest Rates and the Channels of Monetary Transmission


Book Description

The monetary transmission mechanism describes the channels through which changes in monetary policy affect the policy target, price inflation. Understanding the transmission mechanism is thus central to the successful conduct of monetary policy. This paper uses a Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) methodology to uncover a number of stylised features of the monetary transmission process in the UK. In particular, close attention is paid to the role played by money and credit as intermediate channels. The possibility that the transmission mechanism may differ across sectors is allowed for by estimating separate VARs for the personal and corporate sectors. Three policy conclusions emerge. First, as suggested by Classical theory, monetary policy is output neutral over the longer term. Second, the lags between changes in monetary policy and its effect upon prices are lengthy (at least 18 months). And third, that aggregate measures of money and credit may provide blurred signals of the impact of monetary policy in final variables. Sectoral measures of bank deposits (for companies) and bank credit (for persons) provide the more timely intermediate indicators.




Inflation Expectations


Book Description

Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.




Monetary Transmission Mechanism in the East African Community


Book Description

Do changes in monetary policy affect inflation and output in the East African Community (EAC)? We find that (i) Monetary Transmission Mechanism (MTM) tends to be generally weak when using standard statistical inferences, but somewhat strong when using non-standard inference methods; (ii) when MTM is present, the precise transmission channels and their importance differ across countries; and (iii) reserve money and the policy rate, two frequently used instruments of monetary policy, sometimes move in directions that exert offsetting expansionary and contractionary effects on inflation—posing challenges to harmonization of monetary policies across the EAC and transition to a future East African Monetary Union. The paper offers some suggestions for strengthening the MTM in the EAC.




The Federal Reserve System Purposes and Functions


Book Description

Provides an in-depth overview of the Federal Reserve System, including information about monetary policy and the economy, the Federal Reserve in the international sphere, supervision and regulation, consumer and community affairs and services offered by Reserve Banks. Contains several appendixes, including a brief explanation of Federal Reserve regulations, a glossary of terms, and a list of additional publications.







Differences in the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism within the European Monetary Union: Germany and Italy


Book Description

Master's Thesis from the year 2005 in the subject Economics - Monetary theory and policy, grade: 1,3, Berlin School of Economics, language: English, abstract: The European Central Bank1is in charge to conduct monetary policy for a growing number of nations, participating in the European Monetary Union. This joint enterprise is still young, but followed decades of increasing cooperation and integration after the Second World War. However, the question remains how suitable a shared monetary policy is for a number of different economies. Today, most central banks put emphasis on price stability as medium-term goal, for this is the best way to stabilise expectations and to promote sustainable growth. A precondition for the successful conduct of monetary policy is that monetary impulses are transmitted throughout the whole currency area in a symmetric way. Therefore, central banks need to assess the timing and magnitude how interest rate movements affect the economy and through which channels this mechanism works. This allows the central bank to use their policy instruments at the right time and with the right intensity. Information about the characteristics of the monetary transmission process in EMU-countries, especially about national differences, has important lessons for the effective conduct of monetary policy. Consequently, asymmetric monetary transmission would be able to weaken the position of the European Central Bank and has a negative impact on the economy. This paper deals with the question of asymmetric transmission in the Euro-area. It involves information about the characteristics of transmission channels in EMU countries, the different stages of transmission where asymmetry or convergence might occur and the perspectives for the future development of the European transmission mechanisms. The objective is to find out about asymmetries in monetary policy transmission and their consequences. This paper answers the question if there are major drawbacks for participating economies possible or if the Euro will catalyse European integration without negative side effects.