Reflections on the Foundations of Probability and Statistics


Book Description

This Festschrift celebrates Teddy Seidenfeld and his seminal contributions to philosophy, statistics, probability, game theory and related areas. The 13 contributions in this volume, written by leading researchers in these fields, are supplemented by an interview with Teddy Seidenfeld that offers an abbreviated intellectual autobiography, touching on topics of timeless interest concerning truth and uncertainty. Indeed, as the eminent philosopher Isaac Levi writes in this volume: "In a world dominated by Alternative Facts and Fake News, it is hard to believe that many of us have spent our life’s work, as has Teddy Seidenfeld, in discussing truth and uncertainty." The reader is invited to share this celebration of Teddy Seidenfeld’s work uncovering truths about uncertainty and the penetrating insights they offer to our common pursuit of truth in the face of uncertainty.













Foundations of Probability


Book Description

Introducing many innovations in content and methods, this book involves the foundations, basic concepts, and fundamental results of probability theory. Geared toward readers seeking a firm basis for study of mathematical statistics or information theory, it also covers the mathematical notions of experiments and independence. 1970 edition.







Foundations of Risk Analysis


Book Description

Foundations of Risk Analysis presents the issues core to risk analysis – understanding what risk means, expressing risk, building risk models, addressing uncertainty, and applying probability models to real problems. The author provides the readers with the knowledge and basic thinking they require to successfully manage risk and uncertainty to support decision making. This updated edition reflects recent developments on risk and uncertainty concepts, representations and treatment. New material in Foundations of Risk Analysis includes: An up to date presentation of how to understand, define and describe risk based on research carried out in recent years. A new definition of the concept of vulnerability consistent with the understanding of risk. Reflections on the need for seeing beyond probabilities to measure/describe uncertainties. A presentation and discussion of a method for assessing the importance of assumptions (uncertainty factors) in the background knowledge that the subjective probabilities are based on A brief introduction to approaches that produce interval (imprecise) probabilities instead of exact probabilities. In addition the new version provides a number of other improvements, for example, concerning the use of cost-benefit analyses and the As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP) principle. Foundations of Risk Analysis provides a framework for understanding, conducting and using risk analysis suitable for advanced undergraduates, graduates, analysts and researchers from statistics, engineering, finance, medicine and the physical sciences, as well as for managers facing decision making problems involving risk and uncertainty.




Foundations of Probability and Statistics


Book Description

Welcome to "Foundations of Probability and Statistics," a vital part of our series designed for aspiring scholars preparing for the CSIR NET (JRF) and various mathematics competitive exams. This book aims to provide a comprehensive introduction to essential statistical concepts and probability theory, crucial for understanding the foundational aspects of advanced mathematical studies. In the first chapter, we delve into descriptive statistics and exploratory data analysis, focusing on measures of central tendency and variability, as well as graphical methods for effective data visualization. Understanding outliers and managing missing data is also emphasized, ensuring that students can analyze real-world datasets accurately. Moving forward, we explore probability theory, beginning with fundamental concepts such as sample spaces and events, before examining discrete probability, independent events, and conditional probabilities through Bayes’ Theorem. The subsequent chapters introduce random variables and their distribution functions, detailing both univariate and joint distributions, alongside marginal and conditional distributions. We also cover the crucial topics of expectation and moments, discussing expected values, variance, and the relationships between random variables. Finally, we investigate characteristic functions and key inequalities, including those of Markov, Chebyshev, and Jensen, which serve as powerful tools in statistical analysis. This book serves as both a foundation and a reference for students, guiding them through the intricate landscape of probability and statistics. We hope it inspires a deeper understanding and appreciation of these essential mathematical fields.




The Foundations of Statistics


Book Description

Classic analysis of the foundations of statistics and development of personal probability, one of the greatest controversies in modern statistical thought. Revised edition. Calculus, probability, statistics, and Boolean algebra are recommended.