The Determinants and Effects of Banking Sector Concentration in Emerging Economies


Book Description

In this project, I investigate the determinants and effects of bank concentratio n in emerging market economies. I start by an overview of the main characteristi cs of these economies with emphasis on the recent developments in their financia l and banking systems. Then, I review the theory of concentration and the common indicators used to measure it. Afterwards, I empirically find the determinants of banking sector concentration based on a sample of bank-specific and macroecon omic variables in sixty emerging countries over the period of 1996-2004. The res ults are used to present two new indicators of bank concentration that account f or institutional, technical and market-related attributes. Finally, I summarize the relationship between market structure and market performance given by the tr aditional Structure-Conduct-Performance (SCP) paradigm, as well as the empirical studies that tested its predictions. This is followed by a study of the effect of concentration on consumer welfare. I conduct a correlation analysis between t he two predicted concentration indicators from one side and indicators of the ac cess to banking services and individual income from the other side.




How Foreign Participation and Market Concentration Impact Bank Spreads


Book Description

Increasing foreign participation and high concentration levels characterize the recent evolution of banking sectors' market structures in developing countries. Martinez Peria and Mody analyze the impact of these factors on Latin American bank spreads during the late 1990s. Their results suggest that foreign banks were able to charge lower spreads relative to domestic banks. This was more so for de novo foreign banks than for those that entered through acquisitions. The overall level of foreign bank participation seemed to influence spreads indirectly, primarily through its effect on administrative costs. Bank concentration was positively and directly related to both higher spreads and costs. This paper--a product of Finance, Development Research Group--is part of a larger effort in the group to understand banking sector market structure changes in developing countries.




Determinants of Commercial Bank Interest Margins and Profitability


Book Description

March 1998 Differences in interest margins reflect differences in bank characteristics, macroeconomic conditions, existing financial structure and taxation, regulation, and other institutional factors. Using bank data for 80 countries for 1988-95, Demirgüç-Kunt and Huizinga show that differences in interest margins and bank profitability reflect various determinants: * Bank characteristics. * Macroeconomic conditions. * Explicit and implicit bank taxes. * Regulation of deposit insurance. * General financial structure. * Several underlying legal and institutional indicators. Controlling for differences in bank activity, leverage, and the macroeconomic environment, they find (among other things) that: * Banks in countries with a more competitive banking sector-where banking assets constitute a larger share of GDP-have smaller margins and are less profitable. The bank concentration ratio also affects bank profitability; larger banks tend to have higher margins. * Well-capitalized banks have higher net interest margins and are more profitable. This is consistent with the fact that banks with higher capital ratios have a lower cost of funding because of lower prospective bankruptcy costs. * Differences in a bank's activity mix affect spread and profitability. Banks with relatively high noninterest-earning assets are less profitable. Also, banks that rely largely on deposits for their funding are less profitable, as deposits require more branching and other expenses. Similarly, variations in overhead and other operating costs are reflected in variations in bank interest margins, as banks pass their operating costs (including the corporate tax burden) on to their depositors and lenders. * In developing countries foreign banks have greater margins and profits than domestic banks. In industrial countries, the opposite is true. * Macroeconomic factors also explain variation in interest margins. Inflation is associated with higher realized interest margins and greater profitability. Inflation brings higher costs-more transactions and generally more extensive branch networks-and also more income from bank float. Bank income increases more with inflation than bank costs do. * There is evidence that the corporate tax burden is fully passed on to bank customers in poor and rich countries alike. * Legal and institutional differences matter. Indicators of better contract enforcement, efficiency in the legal system, and lack of corruption are associated with lower realized interest margins and lower profitability. This paper-a product of the Development Research Group-is part of a larger effort in the group to study bank efficiency.




Determinants of Bank Interest Margins in Sub-Saharan Africa


Book Description

Financial intermediation is low in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) compared to other regions of the world. This paper examines the determinants of bank interest margins using a sample of 456 banks in 41 SSA countries. The results show that market concentration is positively associated with interest margins, but the impact depends on the level of efficiency of each bank. In particular, compared to inefficient banks, efficient ones increase their margins more in concentrated markets. This indicates that policies that promote competition and reduce market concentration would help lower interest margins in SSA. The results also show that bank-specific factors such as credit risk, liquidity risk, and bank equity are important determinants of interest margins. Finally, interest margins are sensitive to inflation, but not to economic growth or public or foreign ownership. There are regional differences within SSA regarding the level of interest margins even after controlling for other factors.




Bank Competition and the Effects on Financial Stability


Book Description

This book aims to form part of the growing literature on the banking system in developing countries in its aim to show the levels of stability in the banking sector of small economies. Any banking system is vulnerable to economic distress but one supported by universal and commercial banks that are efficient, stable, and which enjoy sufficient market power is most likely to withstand economic turmoil. Such is the Philippines’ Universal and Commercial Banking system, which displayed remarkable resilience to unprecedented economic shock. Using data from 2005 to 2019, the five chapters of this work delve into the industrial organization framework of the banking industry in the Philippines, offering researchers, graduate and undergraduate students, and academics the first comprehensive research on bank competition, concentration, efficiency and financial stability in the Philippines.




When They Go Low, We Go High? Measuring Bank Market Power in a Low-for-Long Environment


Book Description

We examine trends in bank competition since the early 2000s. The Lerner index—arguably the most commonly used measure—shows evidence of a marked increase in market power in advanced economies, especially after the global financial crisis. But other frequently used indicators of banking sector competition seem much more muted. We show that the significant drop in policy rates that occurred in the aftermath of the crisis could explain the seeming disconnect. Adjusting the Lerner index for the impact of policy rates reveals that market power has been fairly constant in advanced economies—consistent with the other signals and similar to the pattern observed in emerging markets.




Bank Consolidation and Performance


Book Description

We examine a large panel of more than 100 banks from Argentina to study the effects of bank consolidation on performance between December 1995 and December 2000, a period of heavy bank consolidation and relative calm. Overall, we find a positive and significant effect of bank consolidation on bank performance. Bank returns increase with consolidation, and insolvency risk is reduced. Additionally, the study suggests that mergers and privatizations have a beneficial effect on bank returns. The effects of a bank acquisition on return on equity is, however, negative. Acquisitions do not seem to have any effect on risk-adjusted returns. The study also finds that a bank's insolvency risk is reduced significantly through mergers and privatization and is unrelated to bank acquisitions.




Doing Business in Emerging Markets


Book Description

This volume presents a comprehensive analysis of the business, financial and economic aspects of emerging markets. Using case studies from India, Turkey, Bangladesh and Africa, it discusses themes such as megaprojects, infrastructure and sustainability; cross-border mergers and acquisitions; a new paradigm for educational markets; exports competitiveness; work engagement in service sector; mobile banking and crowdfunding; and venture capital flow into emerging economies, to focus on the trade, foreign investment, financial, and social progress of these economies. The chapters review the current state, learnings, changing scenarios, business practices, and financial and economic perspectives across emerging markets while examining progression, challenges and the way forward. With its rigorous approach and topical content, this book will be useful to scholars and researchers of management studies, business management, financial management, business economics, international business, finance and marketing, development studies and economics. It will also interest policymakers and practitioners in the field.




Financial Inclusion, Shadow Economy and Financial Stability


Book Description

Abstract: This study analyzes the interrelation between financial inclusion, the size of the shadow economy (SE) and the level of financial system stability on a panel sample of 20 emerging economic from 2004-2014. Using on panel fixed effects Two-Stage Linear Regression (2SLS), we find that different levels of financial inclusion lead to different levels of financial stability, and the size of the SE can greatly influence this relationship. We use two models: one for assessing the SE-inclusion tradeoff and the other for assessing the stability-inclusion tradeoff respectively. To measure inclusion and stability, we have computed two different indices using the same methodology employed by Sarma (2008). Our main findings show that financial inclusion has no significant effect on the size of the SE, however, both inclusion and SE can significantly increase the level of financial instability. Other variables were found to have a significant positive relation with SE like income inequality, age dependency ratio and credit to government and state-owned enterprises. While, income levels, unemployment, secondary school enrollment, and trade openness had a significant negative effect on the size of the SE. Regarding the impact on our computed index of financial instability and its determinants, concentration in the banking sector, competition in the banking sector, concentration in the banking sector, and financial openness were found to have a positive effect on the level of instability. Income levels were found to have mixed effects on the three measures of financial instability, while broad money to GDP (%); as a proxy for size of financial sector, bank overhead costs; as a proxy of banks' inefficiency had significant negative effects on level of financial instability.




Powering the Digital Economy: Opportunities and Risks of Artificial Intelligence in Finance


Book Description

This paper discusses the impact of the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in the financial sector. It highlights the benefits these technologies bring in terms of financial deepening and efficiency, while raising concerns about its potential in widening the digital divide between advanced and developing economies. The paper advances the discussion on the impact of this technology by distilling and categorizing the unique risks that it could pose to the integrity and stability of the financial system, policy challenges, and potential regulatory approaches. The evolving nature of this technology and its application in finance means that the full extent of its strengths and weaknesses is yet to be fully understood. Given the risk of unexpected pitfalls, countries will need to strengthen prudential oversight.