Modeling Mobile-Source Emissions


Book Description

The Mobile Source Emissions Factor (MOBILE) model is a computer model developed by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) for estimating emissions from on-road motor vehicles. MOBILE is used in air-quality planning and regulation for estimating emissions of carbon monoxide (CO), volatile organic compounds (VOCs), and nitrogen oxides (NOx) and for predicting the effects of emissions-reduction programs. Because of its important role in air-quality management, the accuracy of MOBILE is critical. Possible consequences of inaccurately characterizing motor-vehicle emissions include the implementation of insufficient controls that endanger the environment and public health or the implementation of ineffective policies that impose excessive control costs. Billions of dollars per year in transportation funding are linked to air-quality attainment plans, which rely on estimates of mobile-source emissions. Transportation infrastructure decisions are also affected by emissions estimates from MOBILE. In response to a request from Congress, the National Research Council established the Committee to Review EPA's Mobile Source Emissions Factor (MOBILE) Model in October 1998. The committee was charged to evaluate MOBILE and to develop recommendations for improving the model.




Modeling Mobile-Source Emissions


Book Description

The Mobile Source Emissions Factor (MOBILE) model is a computer model developed by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) for estimating emissions from on-road motor vehicles. MOBILE is used in air-quality planning and regulation for estimating emissions of carbon monoxide (CO), volatile organic compounds (VOCs), and nitrogen oxides (NOx) and for predicting the effects of emissions-reduction programs.1 Because of its important role in air-quality management, the accuracy of MOBILE is critical. Possible consequences of inaccurately characterizing motor-vehicle emissions include the implementation of insufficient controls that endanger the environment and public health or the implementation of ineffective policies that impose excessive control costs. Billions of dollars per year in transportation funding are linked to air-quality attainment plans, which rely on estimates of mobile-source emissions. Transportation infrastructure decisions are also affected by emissions estimates from MOBILE. In response to a request from Congress, the National Research Council established the Committee to Review EPA's Mobile Source Emissions Factor (MOBILE) Model in October 1998. The committee was charged to evaluate MOBILE and to develop recommendations for improving the model.




Traffic-Related Air Pollution


Book Description

Traffic-Related Air Pollution synthesizes and maps TRAP and its impact on human health at the individual and population level. The book analyzes mitigating standards and regulations with a focus on cities. It provides the methods and tools for assessing and quantifying the associated road traffic emissions, air pollution, exposure and population-based health impacts, while also illuminating the mechanisms underlying health impacts through clinical and toxicological research. Real-world implications are set alongside policy options, emerging technologies and best practices. Finally, the book recommends ways to influence discourse and policy to better account for the health impacts of TRAP and its societal costs. Overviews existing and emerging tools to assess TRAP’s public health impacts Examines TRAP’s health effects at the population level Explores the latest technologies and policies--alongside their potential effectiveness and adverse consequences--for mitigating TRAP Guides on how methods and tools can leverage teaching, practice and policymaking to ameliorate TRAP and its effects







Emission estimation based on traffic models and measurements


Book Description

Traffic congestion increases travel times, but also results in higher energy usage and vehicular emissions. To evaluate the impact of traffic emissions on environment and human health, the accurate estimation of their rates and location is required. Traffic emission models can be used for estimating emissions, providing emission factors in grams per vehicle and kilometre. Emission factors are defined for specific traffic situations, and traffic data is necessary in order to determine these traffic situations along a traffic network. The required traffic data, which consists of average speed and flow, can be obtained either from traffic models or sensor measurements. In large urban areas, the collection of cross-sectional data from stationary sensors is a costefficient method of deriving traffic data for emission modelling. However, the traditional approaches of extrapolating this data in time and space may not accurately capture the variations of the traffic variables when congestion is high, affecting the emission estimation. Static transportation planning models, commonly used for the evaluation of infrastructure investments and policy changes, constitute an alternative efficient method of estimating the traffic data. Nevertheless, their static nature may result in an inaccurate estimation of dynamic traffic variables, such as the location of congestion, having a direct impact on emission estimation. Congestion is strongly correlated with increased emission rates, and since emissions have location specific effects, the location of congestion becomes a crucial aspect. Therefore, the derivation of traffic data for emission modelling usually relies on the simplified, traditional approaches. The aim of this thesis is to identify, quantify and finally reduce the potential errors that these traditional approaches introduce in an emission estimation analysis. According to our main findings, traditional approaches may be sufficient for analysing pollutants with global effects such as CO2, or for large-scale emission modelling applications such as emission inventories. However, for more temporally and spatially sensitive applications, such as dispersion and exposure modelling, a more detailed approach is needed. In case of cross-sectional measurements, we suggest and evaluate the use of a more detailed, but computationally more expensive, data extrapolation approach. Additionally, considering the inabilities of static models, we propose and evaluate the post-processing of their results, by applying quasi-dynamic network loading.




Citywide Time-dependent Grid-based Traffic Emissions Estimation and Air Quality Inference Using Big Data


Book Description

Due to industrial development and an increasing number of vehicles, many countries are suffering from air pollution, especially smog. High costs of directly measuring traffic emissions (one of the major sources of air pollution) and air quality have restricted government agencies to obtain accurate and timely information. Cellular phone activity data is cell phone communication records with cellular towers, generated during phone calls, texting, user data exchange activities, and all other cellular network system communication. This study develops a grid-based time-dependent traffic emissions estimation and air quality inference model on a citywide scale by using cellular activity data. First, data processing and mode choice model are proposed to remove noise data and detect travel mode. Then, map matching algorithm is proposed to project non-consecutive points to obtain the complete paths. Traffic emissions can be estimated based on these trajectories and the International Vehicle Emissions (IVE). Moreover, a feature-based air quality inference model is proposed. Weighted air quality information, traffic information, weather, human mobility and POI information are used as model inputs, and random forest learner is introduced to infer grid-based time-dependent air quality information for locations without monitor stations. Two case studies are designed to demonstrate the performance of the proposed models. In the case study of Taicang, the results demonstrated the effectiveness and the rationality of the proposed model in traffic and emissions estimation. Different from traditional vehicle emission models that can only detect emissions in some fixed points, the proposed model can estimate traffic emissions on a citywide scale on the hour-by-hour basis. In the case study of Shanghai, the first part is to demonstrate the effectiveness of the traffic emissions estimation model. The traffic calculated by the proposed model is close to the average weekly vehicle miles traveled. The second part of the experiments on Shanghai demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed air quality inference model which improves both root-mean-square errors and mean absolute percentage error. The proposed model is applicable in the real world and helps government agencies to obtain accurate and timely information of traffic emissions and air quality.