The Utility of Quantitative Methods for Political Intelligence Analysis
Author : Robert M. Levinson
Publisher :
Page : 226 pages
File Size : 39,73 MB
Release : 1996
Category : Espionage, American
ISBN :
Quantitative Approaches To Political Intelligence
Author : Richards Heuer
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 123 pages
File Size : 14,11 MB
Release : 2019-06-10
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 1000308839
Book Description
Bridging the gap between the scientific approach to international relations and the intuitive analysis of the government foreign affairs specialist, this book reports on a concerted effort by the CIA to apply modern social science methods to problems confronted by political intelligence analysts. The unique experience gained through this CIA progra
The Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology
Author : Janet M. Box-Steffensmeier
Publisher : Oxford Handbooks of Political
Page : 895 pages
File Size : 30,96 MB
Release : 2008
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 019928654X
Book Description
Political methodology has changed dramatically over the past thirty years, and many new methods and techniques have been developed. Both the Political Methodology Society and the Qualitative/Multi-Methods Section of the American Political Science Association have engaged in ongoing research and training programs that have advanced quantitative and qualitative methodology. The Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology presents and synthesizes these developments. The Handbook provides comprehensive overviews of diverse methodological approaches, with an emphasis on three major themes. First, specific methodological tools should be at the service of improved conceptualization, comprehension of meaning, measurement, and data collection. They should increase analysts' leverage in reasoning about causal relationships and evaluating them empirically by contributing to powerful research designs. Second, the authors explore the many different ways of addressing these tasks: through case-studies and large-n designs, with both quantitative and qualitative data, and via techniques ranging from statistical modelling to process tracing. Finally, techniques can cut across traditional methodological boundaries and can be useful for many different kinds of researchers. Many of the authors thus explore how their methods can inform, and be used by, scholars engaged in diverse branches of methodology.
Quantitative Intelligence Analysis
Author : Edward Waltz
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 309 pages
File Size : 28,61 MB
Release : 2014-10-16
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 144223587X
Book Description
Quantitative Intelligence Analysis describes the model-based method of intelligence analysis that represents the analyst’s mental models of a subject, as well as the analyst’s reasoning process exposing what the analyst believes about the subject, and how they arrived at those beliefs and converged on analytic judgments. It includes: Specific methods of explicitly representing the analyst’s mental models as computational models; dynamic simulations and interactive analytic games; the structure of an analyst’s mental model and the theoretical basis for capturing and representing the tacit knowledge of these models explicitly as computational models detailed description of the use of these models in rigorous, structured analysis of difficult targets; model illustrations and simulation descriptions; the role of models in support of collection and operations; case studies that illustrate a wide range of intelligence problems; And a recommended curriculum for technical analysts.
The SAGE Handbook of Research Methods in Political Science and International Relations
Author : Luigi Curini
Publisher : SAGE
Page : 1941 pages
File Size : 41,99 MB
Release : 2020-04-09
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 1526486393
Book Description
The SAGE Handbook of Research Methods in Political Science and International Relations offers a comprehensive overview of research processes in social science — from the ideation and design of research projects, through the construction of theoretical arguments, to conceptualization, measurement, & data collection, and quantitative & qualitative empirical analysis — exposited through 65 major new contributions from leading international methodologists. Each chapter surveys, builds upon, and extends the modern state of the art in its area. Following through its six-part organization, undergraduate and graduate students, researchers and practicing academics will be guided through the design, methods, and analysis of issues in Political Science and International Relations: Part One: Formulating Good Research Questions & Designing Good Research Projects Part Two: Methods of Theoretical Argumentation Part Three: Conceptualization & Measurement Part Four: Large-Scale Data Collection & Representation Methods Part Five: Quantitative-Empirical Methods Part Six: Qualitative & "Mixed" Methods
The Military Intelligence Community
Author : Gerald W. Hopple
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 244 pages
File Size : 43,54 MB
Release : 2019-06-21
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 100030356X
Book Description
The military intelligence co11111unity is one of the most misunderstood and maligned facets of the U.S. government. To much of the American public, intelligence means an organization of James Bonds, sophisticated, super-individualists, John Waynes who live slightly beyond the law. To others, military intelligence is considered as a constant threat to American democracy, a danger that must be contained and minimized.
Intelligence Analysis
Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
Page : 352 pages
File Size : 42,7 MB
Release : 2011-03-08
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 0309210925
Book Description
The U.S. intelligence community (IC) is a complex human enterprise whose success depends on how well the people in it perform their work. Although often aided by sophisticated technologies, these people ultimately rely on their own intellect to identify, synthesize, and communicate the information on which the nation's security depends. The IC's success depends on having trained, motivated, and thoughtful people working within organizations able to understand, value, and coordinate their capabilities. Intelligence Analysis provides up-to-date scientific guidance for the intelligence community (IC) so that it might improve individual and group judgments, communication between analysts, and analytic processes. The papers in this volume provide the detailed evidentiary base for the National Research Council's report, Intelligence Analysis for Tomorrow: Advances from the Behavioral and Social Sciences. The opening chapter focuses on the structure, missions, operations, and characteristics of the IC while the following 12 papers provide in-depth reviews of key topics in three areas: analytic methods, analysts, and organizations. Informed by the IC's unique missions and constraints, each paper documents the latest advancements of the relevant science and is a stand-alone resource for the IC's leadership and workforce. The collection allows readers to focus on one area of interest (analytic methods, analysts, or organizations) or even one particular aspect of a category. As a collection, the volume provides a broad perspective of the issues involved in making difficult decisions, which is at the heart of intelligence analysis.
The Uses and Limits of Intelligence
Author : Walter Laqueur
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 406 pages
File Size : 48,65 MB
Release : 2017-09-29
Category : Psychology
ISBN : 1351302108
Book Description
This is a major survey and assessment of U.S. intelligence activities over the last forty-five years. It offers a systematic and authoritative evaluation of American intelligence-gathering machinery: how it has been used, misused, and on occasion, ignored. The book has been hailed as "a splendid work, reflective and penetrating" by James R. Schlesinger; while Zbigniew Brzezinski describes Laqueur as "a man who understands the relationships between history and the world of secret services." Henry S. Rowen noted that Laqueur "brings a rare degree of analytical power to this important subject."
Publications Combined: Over 20 National Intelligence University Studies Focusing On Domestic Intelligence
Author :
Publisher : Jeffrey Frank Jones
Page : 3377 pages
File Size : 41,39 MB
Release :
Category :
ISBN :
Book Description
Over 3,300 total pages …. Introduction: The National Intelligence University is the Intelligence Community’s sole accredited, federal degree-granting institution. The main campus is located in Bethesda, MD and it also has Academic Centers located around the world. The faculty of NIU are subject matter experts from around the intelligence community who bring a wealth of knowledge and practical experience, as well as academic qualifications, to the classroom. Included titles: BRINGING INTELLIGENCE ABOUT Practitioners Reflect on Best Practices ANTICIPATING SURPRISE Analysis for Strategic Warning Learning With Professionals: Selected Works from the Joint Military Intelligence College THE CREATION OF THE NATIONAL IMAGERY AND MAPPING AGENCY: CONGRESS’S ROLE AS OVERSEER The Coast Guard Intelligence Program Enters the Intelligence Community A Case Study of Congressional Influence on Intelligence Community Evolution THE BLUE PLANET INFORMAL INTERNATIONAL POLICE NETWORKS AND NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE TEACHING INTELLIGENCE AT COLLEGES AND UNIVERSITIES SHAKESPEARE FOR ANALYSTS: LITERATURE AND INTELLIGENCE Out of Bounds: Innovation and Change in Law Enforcement Intelligence Analysis Managing the Private Spies Use of Commercial Augmentation for Intelligence Operations Intelligence Professionalism in the Americas Y: The Sources of Islamic Revolutionary Conduct GLOBAL WAR ON TERRORISM: ANALYZING THE STRATEGIC THREAT SENSEMAKING - A STRUCTURE FOR AN INTELLIGENCE REVOLUTION Finding Leaders Preparing the Intelligence Community for Succession Management EXPERIENCES TO GO: TEACHING WITH INTELLIGENCE CASE STUDIES Democratization of Intelligence Crime Scene Intelligence An Experiment in Forensic Entomology BENEATH THE SURFACE INTELLIGENCE PREPARATION OF THE BATTLESPACE for COUNTERTERRORISM A FLOURISHING CRAFT: TEACHING INTELLIGENCE STUDIES INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS IN THEATER JOINT INTELLIGENCE CENTERS: AN EXPERIMENT IN APPLYING STRUCTURED METHODS The Common Competencies for State, Local, and Tribal Intelligence Analysts
Intelligence Analysis in Theater Joint Intelligence Centers
Author : Robert D. Folker
Publisher :
Page : 60 pages
File Size : 28,10 MB
Release : 2000
Category : Intelligence service
ISBN :
Book Description
A growing number of JMIC students have began to incorporate replicable research design into their theses. This distillation of Master Sergeant Folker's theses shows how fruitful this approach can be. By taking advantage of on-site research funds available from the College, he managed, in brief visits to four Unified Command Joint Intelligence Centers, to carry out a controlled experiment to measure the impact of analyst familiarity with and use of one structured analytic technique hypothesis testing. His findings, if corroborated by follow-on studies, could have a substantial impact on Intelligence Community analytical practices, and even some influence on how senior policy officials react to analytical products. Managers of analytical personnel might also note that structured methods would appear, from this study of non-specialized joint intelligence center analysts, to be useful to specialized analysts who may be required to move beyond their areas of deep expertise to cover new or unfamiliar assignments.
