Three Essays on Labor Market Dynamics in Brazil


Book Description

In the first essay, we use linked employer-employee data for the formal labor market in Brazil to examine the relative importance of firm age and firm size for job creation and destruction in Brazil. We find that firm age is a more important determinant of job creation in Brazil than is firm size; young firms and firm start-ups create a relatively high number of jobs in Brazil. We also find that young firms are more likely to exit the market and have higher levels of employment volatility. We, therefore, condition the job creation analysis on job stability and find that young firms and large firms create most of the stable jobs in Brazil. In the second essay, I analyze the impact of a trade shock on gender-specific local labor market outcomes in Brazil. I use an instrumental variable approach and linked employer-employee data to estimate the effect of both increased imports from China and exports to China on labor market outcomes in Brazil. Exports to China increase female employment growth in both the traded sector and the non-traded sector. Increased trade with China also increases female wage growth in both sectors; however, this does not translate to any improvements in the average wage ratio. In the third and final essay, we analyze the effect of the China trade shock on labor market reallocation and migration in Brazil. Microregions more exposed to exports to China experienced higher migration rates, but those more exposed to imports from China experienced lower migration rates. Additionally, workers employed in microregions more exposed to increased imports are: (1) less likely to transition from the traded sector to nonemployment, but (2) more likely to transition from nonemployment to the nontraded sector. However, we do not find many significant effects of export exposure on labor reallocation across industries or nonemployment.




Essays on Labor Market Mechanisms


Book Description

This dissertation studies the interaction between job stability and labor markets. Chapter 1 studies the impact of firm turnover and job recall on wages. I start this chapter with an empirical contribution. I demonstrate the importance of recall and turnover for employment dynamics and wages using matched employer-employee data from Brazil. First, I document large dispersion of job-destruction rates and recall rates across sectors. Second, I show that after controlling for worker and firm characteristics, sectors with greater job instability (an inverse measure of tenure that controls for recall) pay more. To explain this finding I construct a multi-sector closed economy version of Mortensen and Pissarides (1994) with directed search and heterogeneous recall rates as well as heterogeneous layoff rates across sectors. Once I have estimated the model's parameters using the data, I then conduct the main experiment which is to assess the impact of Brazil's recall restrictions on employment dynamics. The Brazilian government bans recalls within 3 months of the date of firing. I simulate the imposition of this law, and I find that this restriction on recall activity decreases the employment rate significantly in aggregate, but the impact is very heterogeneous across sectors. Chapter 2, studies wage inequality and job stability. I start this chapter with a data motivation where I use matched employer-employee data to establish that separations are disproportionately comprised of layoffs for low wage workers, not separations due to job-to-job transitions. Secondly, I show that existing models such as Burdett and Coles (2003) and Shi (2009) are inconsistent with this fact since they assume that the exogenous component of job destruction is constant across firms, and low wage workers search on-the-job much more intensely than high wage workers. To explain this fact, I develop a new model that takes into account the disproportionate share of layoffs among low wage workers. I show that after correctly matching the wage/layoff relationship, the introduction of a 30% `firing cost' results in nearly twice as much wage inequality as compared to a model with a homogeneous firing rate across firms.




The Third Dimension of Labor Markets


Book Description

Focuses on the relationship between labour market institutions, its functioning and outcomes.




Sustaining Employment and Wage Gains in Brazil


Book Description

Continued social and economic progress in Brazil will depend on high employment, sustained labor productivity and income growth, and opportunities for the poor and disadvantaged to upgrade their own productivity and convert it into sustainable incomes.




Skills and Jobs in Brazil


Book Description

Skills and Jobs in Brazil: An Agenda for Youth is a new report focusing on the challenge of economic engagement among the Brazilian youth. In the context of a fast aging population, Brazil’s greatest economic opportunity is to increase its labor productivity, especially that of youth. This report documents important new facts about the extent of the youth economic disengagement, while at school and at work. Today, close to half of the Brazilian youth aged 15-29 years old is not fully economically engaged, because they are neither working nor studying, are studying in schools of poor quality, or are working in informal and precarious jobs. The report shows how the youth prospects in the labor market are dimmed by policies favoring existing workers over new entrants; in addition, it shows how youth are often ill equipped to meet an increasingly challenging labor market. The report suggests new education, skills, and jobs policy changes that Brazil could prioritize moving forward, so that it can take advantage of the last wave of its demographic transition. The report discusses in particular depth policies aiming to increase learning and reduce school dropouts in upper secondary education, and labor market policies that aim to support more effective and faster youth transitions from school to work.




Spatial Dynamics of Labor Markets in Brazil


Book Description

There was substantial spatial variation in labor market outcomes in Brazil over the 1990s. In 2000, about one-fifth of workers lived in apparently economically stagnant municipios where real wages declined but employment increased faster than the national population growth rate. More than one-third lived in apparently dynamic municipios, experiencing both real wage growth and faster-than-average employment growth. These areas absorbed more than half of net employment growth over the period. To elucidate this spatial variation, the authors estimate spatial labor supply and demand equations describing wage and employment changes of Brazilian municipios. They use Conley's spatial GMM technique to allow for instrumental variable estimation in the presence of spatially autocorrelated errors. The main findings include: (1) a very strong influence of initial workforce educational levels on subsequent wage growth (controlling for possibly confounding variables such as remoteness and climate); (2) evidence of positive spillover effects of own-municipio growth onto neighbors' wage and employment levels; (3) an exodus from farming areas; (4) relatively elastic response of wages to an increase in labor supply; and (5) evidence of a local multiplier effect from government transfers.




Spatial Dynamics of Labor Markets in Brazil


Book Description

There was substantial spatial variation in labor market outcomes in Brazil over the 1990s. In 2000, about one-fifth of workers lived in apparently economically stagnant municipios where real wages declined but employment increased faster than the national population growth rate. More than one-third lived in apparently dynamic municipios, experiencing both real wage growth and faster-than-average employment growth. These areas absorbed more than half of net employment growth over the period. To elucidate this spatial variation, the authors estimate spatial labor supply and demand equations describing wage and employment changes of Brazilian municipios. They use Conley's spatial GMM technique to allow for instrumental variable estimation in the presence of spatially autocorrelated errors. The main findings include: (1) a very strong influence of initial workforce educational levels on subsequent wage growth (controlling for possibly confounding variables such as remoteness and climate); (2) evidence of positive spillover effects of own-municipio growth onto neighbors' wage and employment levels; (3) an exodus from farming areas; (4) relatively elastic response of wages to an increase in labor supply; and (5) evidence of a local multiplier effect from government transfers.




Employment Dynamics and Labor Market Policies in Brazil


Book Description

A book for policy makers, development institutions, the academic community and more: A wide spectrum of stakeholders engaged in labor market policy making in Brazil and beyond is the intended audience for this book. It is written in language intended to be also accessible to those who are neither academics nor specialists in the field. Each chapter is based on one background paper that provides technical details on the data and methodology. The book is based on a thorough examination of the Brazilian labor market and has lessons and insights for other developing countries. The book's objective is to present evidence to better understand the dynamics of employment, evaluate the impact of labor market programs, and contribute to the debate on the need to further integrate different labor market policies in times of fiscal consolidation. Such evidence is highly relevant in light of the labor policy decisions to be made in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.







Law and Employment


Book Description

Law and Employment analyzes the effects of regulation and deregulation on Latin American labor markets and presents empirically grounded studies of the costs of regulation. Numerous labor regulations that were introduced or reformed in Latin America in the past thirty years have had important economic consequences. Nobel Prize-winning economist James J. Heckman and Carmen Pagés document the behavior of firms attempting to stay in business and be competitive while facing the high costs of complying with these labor laws. They challenge the prevailing view that labor market regulations affect only the distribution of labor incomes and have little or no impact on efficiency or the performance of labor markets. Using new micro-evidence, this volume shows that labor regulations reduce labor market turnover rates and flexibility, promote inequality, and discriminate against marginal workers. Along with in-depth studies of Colombia, Peru, Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Uruguay, Jamaica, and Trinidad, Law and Employment provides comparative analysis of Latin American economies against a range of European countries and the United States. The book breaks new ground by quantifying not only the cost of regulation in Latin America, the Caribbean, and in the OECD, but also the broader impact of this regulation.