Adventures of a Statistician


Book Description

Meet John W. Tukey, one of the most consequential statisticians and original thinkers of the twentieth century. Growing up one hundred years ago in New Bedford, Massachusetts, a large coastal town primarily known for its commercial fishing and textile industries, John Wilder Tukey quickly showed himself to be a child prodigy. The son of educated parents whose high school classmates voted them most likely to give birth to a genius, he learned to read on his own by three years of age, mastered using a hand-crack desk calculator to speed up arithmetical calculations shortly thereafter, and was poring through technical journals in the New Bedford Free Public Library by the time he was a teenager. Homeschooled until being admitted to Brown University, Tukey majored in chemistry there--even as he spent countless hours in the university library compiling lists of statistical techniques on index cards, simply because he found them interesting and useful. With multiple degrees in hand, Tukey's next stop was Princeton University, where his interests shifted to mathematics. After earning a doctorate in topology, an especially abstract branch of mathematics, Princeton retained him as a lecturer. But with the United States poised to enter World War II, Tukey joined the Fire Control Research Office (FCRO), where he was exposed to a set of life-and-death problems that bore little resemblance to abstract mathematics: namely, calculating the trajectories of artillery and ballistics and the motions of rocket powder, working with stereoscopic height and range finders, and improving the Boeing B-29 Superfortress bomber. With the stakes never higher, a chance encounter during the war with a fellow polymath and unconventional thinker twenty years his senior set the course for the rest of Tukey's professional life--as well as changing the field of statistics forever. In "Adventures of a Statistician," author Mark Jones Lorenzo chronicles John Tukey's life and times, from his decades spent at Princeton as a teacher and administrator and also at AT&T's Bell Laboratories as a scientific generalist; to his development of the fast Fourier transform (FFT) algorithm, which launched a revolution in digital signal processing; to his innovative ideas in displaying and summarizing data, such as with the intuitive stem-and-leaf plot and the interactive graphics of the PRIM-9 computer system; to his creation of exploratory data analysis, an approach to performing statistics he equated with "detective work"; to his intellectual war with sex researcher Alfred Kinsey over appropriate kinds of statistical sampling; to his productive yet sometimes strained relationships with fellow statisticians such as Ronald Fisher, George Box, and Erich Lehmann; to his enlightening friendship with the legendary physicist Richard Feynman; to his mentoring of dozens of doctoral students, many of whom went on to have highly successful careers in their own right; to his inventive use of language, having coined words like "bit"; to his development of sophisticated mathematical methods to detect underground nuclear explosions; to his groundbreaking work on the jackknife, multiple comparisons, robustness, and many other statistical techniques; and to his accomplishments in health and environmental regulation, U.S. census analysis, election forecasting, and public policy, among a host of other significant and impactful achievements. Nearly a decade in the making, "Adventures of a Statistician" is more than just the complete biography of John W. Tukey, perhaps the most revolutionary applied statistician of the past century. It's also a fascinating intellectual journey through the recent history of statistics as well.




An Accidental Statistician


Book Description

Celebrating the life of an admired pioneer in statistics In this captivating and inspiring memoir, world-renowned statistician George E. P. Box offers a firsthand account of his life and statistical work. Writing in an engaging, charming style, Dr. Box reveals the unlikely events that led him to a career in statistics, beginning with his job as a chemist conducting experiments for the British army during World War II. At this turning point in his life and career, Dr. Box taught himself the statistical methods necessary to analyze his own findings when there were no statisticians available to check his work. Throughout his autobiography, Dr. Box expertly weaves a personal and professional narrative to illustrate the effects his work had on his life and vice-versa. Interwoven between his research with time series analysis, experimental design, and the quality movement, Dr. Box recounts coming to the United States, his family life, and stories of the people who mean the most to him. This fascinating account balances the influence of both personal and professional relationships to demonstrate the extraordinary life of one of the greatest and most influential statisticians of our time. An Accidental Statistician also features: • Two forewords written by Dr. Box’s former colleagues and closest confidants • Personal insights from more than a dozen statisticians on how Dr. Box has influenced and continues to touch their careers and lives • Numerous, previously unpublished photos from the author’s personal collection An Accidental Statistician is a compelling read for statisticians in education or industry, mathematicians, engineers, and anyone interested in the life story of an influential intellectual who altered the world of modern statistics.




All of Statistics


Book Description

Taken literally, the title "All of Statistics" is an exaggeration. But in spirit, the title is apt, as the book does cover a much broader range of topics than a typical introductory book on mathematical statistics. This book is for people who want to learn probability and statistics quickly. It is suitable for graduate or advanced undergraduate students in computer science, mathematics, statistics, and related disciplines. The book includes modern topics like non-parametric curve estimation, bootstrapping, and classification, topics that are usually relegated to follow-up courses. The reader is presumed to know calculus and a little linear algebra. No previous knowledge of probability and statistics is required. Statistics, data mining, and machine learning are all concerned with collecting and analysing data.




Adventures in Stochastic Processes


Book Description

Stochastic processes are necessary ingredients for building models of a wide variety of phenomena exhibiting time varying randomness. This text offers easy access to this fundamental topic for many students of applied sciences at many levels. It includes examples, exercises, applications, and computational procedures. It is uniquely useful for beginners and non-beginners in the field. No knowledge of measure theory is presumed.




What Are the Chances?


Book Description

Roulette wheels and the plague -- Surely something's wrong with you -- The life table : you can bet on it! -- The rarest events -- The waiting game -- Stockbrokers and climate change.




Graphic Discovery


Book Description

Good graphs make complex problems clear. From the weather forecast to the Dow Jones average, graphs are so ubiquitous today that it is hard to imagine a world without them. Yet they are a modern invention. This book is the first to comprehensively plot humankind's fascinating efforts to visualize data, from a key seventeenth-century precursor--England's plague-driven initiative to register vital statistics--right up to the latest advances. In a highly readable, richly illustrated story of invention and inventor that mixes science and politics, intrigue and scandal, revolution and shopping, Howard Wainer validates Thoreau's observation that circumstantial evidence can be quite convincing, as when you find a trout in the milk. The story really begins with the eighteenth-century origins of the art, logic, and methods of data display, which emerged, full-grown, in William Playfair's landmark 1786 trade atlas of England and Wales. The remarkable Scot singlehandedly popularized the atheoretical plotting of data to reveal suggestive patterns--an achievement that foretold the graphic explosion of the nineteenth century, with atlases published across the observational sciences as the language of science moved from words to pictures. Next come succinct chapters illustrating the uses and abuses of this marvelous invention more recently, from a murder trial in Connecticut to the Vietnam War's effect on college admissions. Finally Wainer examines the great twentieth-century polymath John Wilder Tukey's vision of future graphic displays and the resultant methods--methods poised to help us make sense of the torrent of data in our information-laden world.




Statistics Done Wrong


Book Description

Scientific progress depends on good research, and good research needs good statistics. But statistical analysis is tricky to get right, even for the best and brightest of us. You'd be surprised how many scientists are doing it wrong. Statistics Done Wrong is a pithy, essential guide to statistical blunders in modern science that will show you how to keep your research blunder-free. You'll examine embarrassing errors and omissions in recent research, learn about the misconceptions and scientific politics that allow these mistakes to happen, and begin your quest to reform the way you and your peers do statistics. You'll find advice on: –Asking the right question, designing the right experiment, choosing the right statistical analysis, and sticking to the plan –How to think about p values, significance, insignificance, confidence intervals, and regression –Choosing the right sample size and avoiding false positives –Reporting your analysis and publishing your data and source code –Procedures to follow, precautions to take, and analytical software that can help Scientists: Read this concise, powerful guide to help you produce statistically sound research. Statisticians: Give this book to everyone you know. The first step toward statistics done right is Statistics Done Wrong.




Statistical Rethinking


Book Description

Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan builds readers’ knowledge of and confidence in statistical modeling. Reflecting the need for even minor programming in today’s model-based statistics, the book pushes readers to perform step-by-step calculations that are usually automated. This unique computational approach ensures that readers understand enough of the details to make reasonable choices and interpretations in their own modeling work. The text presents generalized linear multilevel models from a Bayesian perspective, relying on a simple logical interpretation of Bayesian probability and maximum entropy. It covers from the basics of regression to multilevel models. The author also discusses measurement error, missing data, and Gaussian process models for spatial and network autocorrelation. By using complete R code examples throughout, this book provides a practical foundation for performing statistical inference. Designed for both PhD students and seasoned professionals in the natural and social sciences, it prepares them for more advanced or specialized statistical modeling. Web Resource The book is accompanied by an R package (rethinking) that is available on the author’s website and GitHub. The two core functions (map and map2stan) of this package allow a variety of statistical models to be constructed from standard model formulas.




Statistics for Criminal Justice and Criminology in Practice and Research


Book Description

Statistics for Criminal Justice and Criminology in Practice and Research—by Jack Fitzgerald and Jerry Fitzgerald—is an engaging and comprehensive introduction to the study of basic statistics for students pursuing careers as practitioners or researchers in both Criminal Justice and Criminology programs. This student-friendly text shows how to calculate a variety of descriptive and inferential statistics, recognize which statistics are appropriate for particular data analysis situations, and perform hypothesis tests using inferential statistics. But it is much more than a "cook book." It encourages readers to think critically about the strengths and limitations of the statistics they are calculating, as well as how they may be misapplied and misleading. Examples of statistics and statistical analyses are drawn from the worlds of the practitioner as well as the policymaker and researcher. Students will also gain a clear understanding of major ethical issues in conducting statistical analyses and reporting results, as well as insight into the realities of the life of researchers and practitioners as they use statistics and statistical analyses in their day-to-day activities.




Adventures in Statistics


Book Description