COVID-19 and Food Export Restrictions


Book Description

COVID-19 and Food Export Restrictions POLICY BRIEF COVID-19 and Food Export Restrictions: Comparing today's situation to the 2007/08 price spikes Jonathan Hepburn, David Laborde, Marie Parent, and Carin Smaller Introduction Twenty-two countries have responded to COVID-19 by announcing or restricting food exports.1 This has sparked concern that access to food for consumers in low-income, food- impo [...] This note draws on the International Food Policy Research Institute's (IFPRI's) COVID-19 Food Trade Policy Tracker2 to compare how governments have reacted to the current crisis with how they did so in the past. [...] A smaller share of globally traded calories affected At the time of writing, IFPRI data shows that 22 countries have announced or imposed export restrictions on food in response to the COVID-19 crisis, compared to 33 in 2007/08. [...] Table 1. Countries imposing food export restrictions in 2008 and in 2020 Imposed restrictions in Imposed restrictions. [...] Both in 2007/08 and more recently, staple foods such as wheat and rice figure prominently among the list of products affected by food export restrictions.




Documentation for the COVID-19 food trade policy tracker: Tracking government responses affecting global food markets during the COVID-19 crisis


Book Description

In response to the COVID-19 crisis, some governments have implemented export restrictions and other trade policy measures to secure their food supply. This behavior can increase global food prices, with consequences including the exacerbation of hunger and income losses for producers in export-restrict-ing countries. Intergovernmental organizations and other actors need current information on food trade policy to curb detrimental reactive policy and enable cooperation. To address this need, we provide the COVID-19 Food Trade Policy Tracker. Gathering data from sources including the media, national gov-ernments, expert input, the OECD, and the IMF, we provide up-to-date information on food trade poli-cies implemented during the COVID-19 crisis and the likely magnitude of their effects.




Documentation for Food and Fertilizers Export Restriction Tracker: Tracking export policy responses affecting global food markets during crisis


Book Description

In response to the Ukraine-Russia crisis, as it was the case in previous crisis (e.g.COVID19 pandemic), some governments have implemented export restrictions and other trade policy measures to secure their food supply and protect inputs for their farmers. This behavior can increase global food prices, with consequences including the exacerbation of hunger and income losses for producers in exportrestricting countries. Intergovernmental organizations and other actors need current information on food trade policy to curb detrimental reactive policy and enable cooperation. To address this need, we provide the Food & Fertilizer Export Restriction Tracker, an extension of the previous work of food trade policy tracking done during COVID-19 pandemic. Gathering data from sources including the media, national governments, expert input, we provide up-to-date information on food trade policies implemented during the crisis and the likely magnitude of their effects.













COVID-19 and global food security: Two years later


Book Description

Two years after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the health, economic, and social disruptions caused by this global crisis continue to evolve. The impacts of the pandemic are likely to endure for years to come, with poor, marginalized, and vulnerable groups the most affected. In COVID-19 & Global Food Security: Two Years Later, the editors bring together contributions from new IFPRI research, blogs, and the CGIAR COVID-19 Hub to examine the pandemic’s effects on poverty, food security, nutrition, and health around the world. This volume presents key lessons learned on food security and food system resilience in 2020 and 2021 and assesses the effectiveness of policy responses to the crisis. Looking forward, the authors consider how the pandemic experience can inform both recovery and longer-term efforts to build more resilient food systems.




COVID-19: Channels of transmission to food and agriculture


Book Description

FAO is analysing and providing updates on the emerging COVID-19 pandemic’s effects on agricultural markets—effects that are still largely unknown. Most current assessments generally foresee a contraction in both supply of and demand for agricultural products, and point to possible disruptions in trade and logistics. On the supply side, widely different views remain on the duration of the shocks, the price dynamics, differential impacts between domestic and international markets, differences across countries and commodities, the likely paths of recovery, and the policy actions to remedy the various shock waves. On the demand side, there is near ubiquitous agreement that agricultural demand and trade would slow-down, with contractions stemming from a deceleration in overall economic activity (GDP growth) and rising rates of unemployment. While food and agricultural systems are exposed to both demand and supply side shocks (symmetric), these shocks are not expected to take place in parallel (asynchronous) since, inter alia, consumers can draw on savings, food stocks and safety nets.




Role of international price and domestic inflation in triggering export restrictions on food commodities


Book Description

This paper investigates the drivers of export restrictions on agricultural products based on an original dataset developed at IFPRI. We focus on four food price crises when export restrictions (e.g., ban, tax, licensing etc.) were applied: the 2008 and 2010 food price crises, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the 2022 crisis associated with the Russia-Ukraine war. Although the justifications for such trade policies have been discussed in the literature, the ability to forecast their implementation remains understudied. The probit model used in this study suggests that the inflation rate has a higher power to predict export restrictions than do international commodity prices. The probability of export restrictions increases more when price change is measured from a reference level in the long interval than the short interval. Among the covariates, agricultural land per capita, commodity share in production and export, weather condition increases the chances of imposing export restrictions. Per capita income, population density, share of agriculture in GDP, urbanization rate, political economy indicators - all have a negative influence on this likelihood.




Could Food Export Restrictions Worsen a Looming Food Crisis?.


Book Description

In order to understand the impact of export restrictions on food-importing countries, it is also necessary to examine the extent to which undernutrition is already prevalent among the population. [...] According to the State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World, a number of countries that have been affected by export bans and restrictions also have high levels of undernourishment.3 For example, as many as 62% of people in the Central African Republic are undernourished, and, in Madagascar, Zambia and Zimbabwe, undernutrition affects over 40% of the population.4 Countries in South and Cent [...] Available data indicates that countries with a calorie production deficit include most countries in Africa and the Middle East; much of South and East Asia; the Caribbean; the Andean region in South America; and parts of Europe such as Scandinavia.5 2 Find this map at IFPRI's Food Trade Policy Tracker: ExportRestrictionsTracker/FoodExportRe [...] The state of food security and nutrition in the world: Safeguarding against economic slowdowns and downturns. [...] The head of the World Food Programme, David Beasley, has warned of the risk of famines "of biblical proportions" if countries fail to address the food security implications of the COVID-19 outbreak.7 Nonetheless, the coronavirus pandemic occurs at a moment when global food stocks are plentiful, harvests are expected to be large, and oil prices are very low-meaning there is no immediate reason to f.