Economic Models, Estimation and Risk Programming: Essays in Honor of Gerhard Tintner


Book Description

These essays in honor of Professor Gerhard Tintner are substantive contributions to three areas of econometrics, (1) economic models and applications,. (2) estimation, and (3) stochastic programming, in each of which he has labored with outstanding success. His own work has extended into multivariate analysis, the pure theory of decision-making under un certainty, and other fields which are not touched upon here for reasons of space and focus. Thus, this collection is appropriate to his interests but covers much less than their full range. Professor Tintner's contributions to econometrics through teaching, writing, editing, lecturing and consulting have been varied and inter national. We have tried to highlight them in "The Econometric Work of Gerhard Tintner" and to place them in historical perspective in "The Invisible Revolution in Economics: Emergence of a Mathematical Science. " Professor Tintner's career to date has spanned the organizational life of the Econometric Society and his contributions have been nearly coextensive with its scope. His principal books and articles up to 1968 are listed in the "Selected Bibliography. " Professor Tintner's current research involves the intricate problems of specification and application of stochastic processes to economic systems, particularly to growth, diffusion of technology, and optimal control. As always, he is moving with the econometric frontier and a portion of the frontier is moving with him. IV Two of the editors wrote dissertations under Professor Tintner's sup- vision; the third knew him as a colleague and friend.




Econometrics (Routledge Revivals)


Book Description

Originally published in 1981, this book considers one particular area of econometrics- the linear model- where significant recent advances have been made. It considers both single and multiequation models with varying co-efficients, explains the various theories and techniques connected with these and goes on to describe the various applications of the models. Whilst the detailed explanation of the models will interest primarily econometrics specialists, the implications of the advances outlined and the applications of the models will intrest a wide range of economists.










What Drives China’s Economy


Book Description

The spectacular economic growth experienced by China since 1978 has often been hailed as the "China Miracle". Many economists have tried to understand the forces behind China’s phenomenal growth and the explanations can be divided into two broad schools of economic thought — one school of thought which includes Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman explains that market mechanism and deregulation led to China’s success, while the other school of thought which include Justin Yifu Lin, the former Chief Economist and Senior Vice-President of the World Bank, explains that China’s growth miracle is a unique model to itself defined by the Chinese government’s prominent role. The Chinese government has been responsible in identifying and investing in industries that have contributed to economic growth. Some economists in the latter school even claim that the China Miracle cannot be explained by mainstream economics. This book examines both schools of thought and attempts to provide a synthesis of the two schools to explain the China Miracle. It looks at the Solow-Swan growth model, the Harrod-Domar model and transaction cost theory. It provides insights into whether and how China can sustain its growth and how developing countries may replicate China’s success.




Variable Structure Systems with Application to Economics and Biology


Book Description

The proceedings of the Second US-Italy Seminar on Variable Structure Systems is published in this volume. Like the first seminar, its conception evolved from common research interests on bilinear systems at the Istituto di Automatica of Rome University and at the Electrical and Computer Engineering Department of Oregon State University. Again, the seminar was focused on variable structure systems in general. In this case, however, emphasis is given to applications in biology and economics along with theoretical investi gations which are so necessary to establish a unified theory and to motivate further developments in these applications of social significance. By bringing together the talents of social and biological scientists with those of engineers and mathematicians from throughout Italy and the United States, the seminar was intended to yield a cross-pollination of significant results and a base for more meaningful future research. The editors are encouraged by the progress, with which they hope the reader will agree, is made in this direction. No pretense is made, however, that completely satisfactory integration of theore tical results and applications has been accomplished at this time. Among the more important conclusions which have resulted from this seminar are that bilinear and more general variable structure models arise in a natural manner from basic principles for certain biological and economic processes.




Topological Methods in Walrasian Economics


Book Description

In winter 71/72 I held a seminar on general equilibrium theory for a jOint group of students in mathematics and in econo mics at the university of Bonn , w.Germany1~ The economists , how ever , had a mathematical background well above the average • Most of the material treated in that seminar is described in these notes. The connection between smooth preferences and smooth demand func tions [ see Debreu (1972) ] and regular economies based on agents with smooth preferences are not presented here • Some pedagogical difficulties arose from the fact that elementary knowledge of algebraic topology is not assumed although it is helpful and indeed necessary to make some arguments precise • It is only a minor restriction , at present , that functional ana lysis is not used • But with the development of the theory more economic questions will be considered in their natural infinite dimensional setting • Economic knowledge is not required , but especially a reader without economic background will gain much by reading Debreu's classic "Theory of Value" (1959) • Although the formulation of our economic problem uses a map between Euclidean spaces only , we shall also consider ma- folds • Manifolds appear in our situation because inverse images under differentiable mappings between Euclidean spaces are very often differentiable manifolds • ( Under differentiability assump tions , for instance , the graph of the equilibrium set correspon







Handbook Of Applied Econometrics And Statistical Inference


Book Description

Summarizing developments and techniques in the field, this reference covers sample surveys, nonparametric analysis, hypothesis testing, time series analysis, Bayesian inference, and distribution theory for applications in statistics, economics, medicine, biology, engineering, sociology, psychology, and information technology. It supplies a geometric proof of an extended Gauss-Markov theorem, approaches for the design and implementation of sample surveys, advances in the theory of Neyman's smooth test, and methods for pre-test and biased estimation. It includes discussions ofsample size requirements for estimation in SUR models, innovative developments in nonparametric models, and more.




Growth in Open Economies


Book Description

The years following World War II have witnessed an increasing interest in the effects of growth on trade, the patterns of international specialization, and the terms of trade. On the one hand, some English economists have maintained the Ricardian tradition of diminishing returns, rising food prices and, therefore, declining British terms of trade, while,on the other hand Prebisch, Singer, and other critics have attempted to document and explain a long-run decline in the terms of trade of the underdeveloped countries. Finally, in a reaction to this concentration on a single factor as the determinant of international price movements, a group of economists, began a systematic investigation of the role of growth in trade and the terms of trade using neoclassical assumption. This study,particularly in its assumptions regarding demand, falls into the tradition of the last group. However, it extends the tradition by treating growth as a continuous process, dependent on saving out of produced income and the growth rate of population in two trading economies. Therefore, in addition to answering the comparative statics questions regarding the trends in the terms of trade, it develops the conditions which guarantee that the two economies will approach a state of unique long-run balanced growth, in which all per capita variables, as well as the terms of trade, stabilize. Moreover, these methods permit some discussion of changes in the patterns of specialization.