Essays on Human Capital and Financial Markets


Book Description

This dissertation examines various aspects of human capital and their linkage to the financial markets. The first chapter empirically shows that the cost of debt is systematically higher for firms that operate in mobile labor markets. We posit two channels through which labor mobility could positively affect firms' cost of debt. First, relates to greater default risk arising from potential loss of key personnel and a corresponding reduction in future cash flows, while the second relates to lower liquidation value (collateral) given that the firms' human capital is more transient, which reduces pledgeable assets. Using across state, cross-sectional variations in the degree of enforceability of non-compete agreements which restrict employee mobility as a proxy for anticipated labor mobility, and state-level reforms to non-compete laws to capture exogenous shocks to labor mobility, we find that labor mobility (inverse of the strength of non-compete enforceability) has a significantly positive effect on the credit spreads of public corporate bonds (our measure of the cost of debt) issued from 1990 - 2014 for large, U.S. industrial firms. Moreover, the analysis reveals that the effect of labor mobility is greater for firms that are located in states which have a higher concentration of industry rivals or for firms that are comprised primarily of professional, knowledge workers, which corroborates the main results. Overall, these findings suggest that creditors price financial contracts by taking into account the risk that arises from labor mobility. The second chapter examines the effect of shareholder monitoring on the relation between human capital and firm value. The extant literature suggests that influential, concentrated ownership facilitates close shareholder monitoring and reduces information asymmetries between shareholders and the firm (Demsetz, 1985; Anderson and Reeb, 2003). Yet, intense monitoring by shareholders can impede employees' initiatives and effort (Shleifer and Vishny, 1988; Burkart, Gromb, and Panunzi, 1997). We argue that such a cost can be significant when firm output relies on specialized - rather than more generic - human capital, which require self-motivation and autonomy to be productive. Consistent with our argument, the empirical evidence indicates that firm value suffers in the presence of highly influential ownership, but only when firm productivity depends on specialized human capital. We do not find such an effect when human capital is more generalized. Specifically, we observe that an equity portfolio that is long on firms with influential ownership and short on firms without influential ownership earns a significantly negative abnormal return from 2002 to 2010, but again, only for firms with specialized human capital. Overall, our results delineate the importance of considering the linkages between human capital and financial markets, which could impact the allocation of capital in the economy, and moreover, on economic growth.







Essays on Human Capital Mobility and Asset Pricing


Book Description

This dissertation explores the intersection between labor and financial markets, in which labor mobility plays a fundamental role. Unlike physical assets such as buildings or machines, human capital can actually walk away from the firm as employees and managers switch employers. The interaction between labor mobility, firm risk and human capital has been remarkably under-researched until now. The main question of this broad project is how differences in the flexibility of workers to find employment across different industries--labor mobility--affects the owners of human and physical capital. The three parts of the dissertation look at this question from different angles. The first part, Labor Mobility and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns, focuses on the effect of labor mobility on the degree of operating leverage of a firm and thus on asset returns. I construct a dynamic model where worker's employment decisions affect the productivity of capital and asset prices in predictable ways. The model shows that reliance on a workforce with flexibility to enter and exit an industry translates into a form of operating leverage that amplifies equity-holders' exposure to productivity shocks. Consequently, firms in an industry with mobile workers have higher systematic risk loadings and higher expected asset returns. I use data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics to construct a novel measure of labor supply mobility, in line with the model, based on the composition of occupations across industries over time. I document a positive and economically significant cross-sectional relation between measures of labor mobility, operating leverage, and expected asset returns. This relation is not explained by firm characteristics known in the literature to predict expected returns. The second part, Aggregate Asset-Pricing Implications of Human Capital Mobility in General Equilibrium, extends the model in the first chapter to consider the general equilibrium implications of labor mobility. The setup is based on a multi-industry dynamic economy with production. The extended model shows that mobility of labor affects not only cash-flows, but also aggregate risk, and the equity premium. This part considers two different types of human capital. Generalist human capital can move between industries, while specialized human capital and physical capital cannot. The greater relative mobility of human capital relative to physical capital affects how aggregate risk in the economy is split between these two components of total wealth. The model shows that aggregate consumption and wealth increase when human capital is more mobile. However, at the same time, aggregate risk and the equity risk premium also increase under human capital mobility. I assume that the workforce in the economy is exogenously given in the first two chapters of this dissertation. This assumption is relaxed in the third chapter, Investments in Human Capital and Expected Asset Returns, where I endogenize the composition of occupations to discuss the interaction between human capital investments and labor mobility. This chapter focuses on the decision of workers to acquire different types of costly human capital with different degrees of associated labor mobility. This part introduces a two-sector general-equilibrium model with production and investments in human capital (i.e. education). Ex-ante identical workers face a trade-off between breadth and depth in the acquisition of industry-specific labor productivity. This chapter derives sufficient conditions for the existence of mobile workers. When these conditions are met, a fraction of workers chooses to acquire mobile but less productive generalist skills, even when labor risk can be fully hedged in financial markets.






















Essays on Human Capital and Financial Economics


Book Description

This thesis consists of three essays examining issues related to human capital, careers, and financial economics. In the first chapter, I examine how the process of corporate bankruptcy varies by human capital intensity using a sample of 1,493 public firms that filed for Chapter 11 between 1980 and 2003. I document two key patterns. First, human-capital-intensive are more likely to avoid and delay bankruptcy conditional upon entering distress, and they are more likely to use debt issuance to raise funds prior to bankruptcy. Second, human-capital-intensive firms are more likely to be liquidated within bankruptcy. In the second chapter (co-authored with Pierre Azoulay and Joshua Graff Zivin), we estimate the magnitude of human capital spillovers generated by 112 academic "superstars" who died prematurely and unexpectedly, thus providing an exogenous source of variation in the structure of their collaborators' coauthorship networks. Following the death of a superstar, we find that collaborators experience, on average, a lasting 5 to 8% decline in their quality-adjusted publication rates. By exploring interactions of the treatment effect with a variety of star, coauthor and star/coauthor dyad characteristics, we find evidence that spillovers are circumscribed in idea space, but less so in physical or social space. In particular, superstar extinction reveals the boundaries of the scientific field to which the star contributes - the "invisible college." In the third chapter, I examine the role of artistic films in the careers of star actors and directors. Using data from all films released in the United States from 1980 and 2005 and the career histories of 100 star directors and 94 star actors, I document evidence on the interaction between artistic films and the value of stars over their careers. Artistic films make up 12% of star careers, and they are associated both with significantly lower film revenues and lower monetary compensation. The propensity for stars to work on artistic films is relatively constant across their career, although it is slightly higher when stars are under 30 or over 60 relative to middle age. Furthermore, artistic films are significantly associated with Oscar awards.