The Precipice


Book Description

This urgent and eye-opening book makes the case that protecting humanity's future is the central challenge of our time. If all goes well, human history is just beginning. Our species could survive for billions of years - enough time to end disease, poverty, and injustice, and to flourish in ways unimaginable today. But this vast future is at risk. With the advent of nuclear weapons, humanity entered a new age, where we face existential catastrophes - those from which we could never come back. Since then, these dangers have only multiplied, from climate change to engineered pathogens and artificial intelligence. If we do not act fast to reach a place of safety, it will soon be too late. Drawing on over a decade of research, The Precipice explores the cutting-edge science behind the risks we face. It puts them in the context of the greater story of humanity: showing how ending these risks is among the most pressing moral issues of our time. And it points the way forward, to the actions and strategies that can safeguard humanity. An Oxford philosopher committed to putting ideas into action, Toby Ord has advised the US National Intelligence Council, the UK Prime Minister's Office, and the World Bank on the biggest questions facing humanity. In The Precipice, he offers a startling reassessment of human history, the future we are failing to protect, and the steps we must take to ensure that our generation is not the last. "A book that seems made for the present moment." —New Yorker




Meeting the Challenges of Existential Threats through Educational Innovation


Book Description

Meeting the Challenges of Existential Threats through Educational Innovation is the first book of its kind to provide an educational and systematic analysis of problems and solutions regarding the most pressing threats that humankind is facing. The book makes a case for the importance of education responding to significant threats; including climate change, pandemics, decline in global biodiversity, overpopulation, egoism, ideologies, nuclear, biological and chemical warfare, inequality, artificial intelligence, and ignorance and the distortion of truth. Written by leading experts in their field based on cutting-edge research, the chapters explore these issues and offer suggestions for how education can address these problems in the future. This groundbreaking and highly topical book will be an essential reading for academics, researchers and post-graduate students in the fields of education research, environmental studies, educational politics and organizational management.




Existential Threats and Civil-security Relations


Book Description

Existential Threats and Civil Security Relations critically analyzes, presents, and further develops the major approaches to existential threats--structural, cultural, and rational. It examines the influence these threats have on effective democracies, formal democracies, and democratizing states.




Cultural-Existential Psychology


Book Description

Bridging cultural and experimental existential psychology, this book offers a synthetic understanding of how culture shapes psychological threat.




Existential Threats


Book Description

In Existential Threats, Lisa Vox explores the growth of dispensationalist premillennialism alongside scientific understandings of the end of the world and contends that these two allegedly competing visions have converged to create an American apocalyptic imagination.




What’s the Worst That Could Happen?


Book Description

Why catastrophic risks are more dangerous than you think, and how populism makes them worse. Did you know that you’re more likely to die from a catastrophe than in a car crash? The odds that a typical US resident will die from a catastrophic event—for example, nuclear war, bioterrorism, or out-of-control artificial intelligence—have been estimated at 1 in 6. That’s fifteen times more likely than a fatal car crash and thirty-one times more likely than being murdered. In What’s the Worst That Could Happen?, Andrew Leigh looks at catastrophic risks and how to mitigate them, arguing provocatively that the rise of populist politics makes catastrophe more likely. Leigh explains that pervasive short-term thinking leaves us unprepared for long-term risks. Politicians sweat the small stuff—granular policy details of legislation and regulation—but rarely devote much attention to reducing long-term risks. Populist movements thrive on short-termism because they focus on their followers’ immediate grievances. Leigh argues that we should be long-termers: broaden our thinking and give big threats the attention and resources they need. Leigh outlines the biggest existential risks facing humanity and suggests remedies for them. He discusses pandemics, considering the possibility that the next virus will be more deadly than COVID-19; warns that unchecked climate change could render large swaths of the earth uninhabitable; describes the metamorphosis of the arms race from a fight into a chaotic brawl; and examines the dangers of runaway superintelligence. Moreover, Leigh points out, populism (and its crony, totalitarianism) not only exacerbates other dangers but is also a risk factor in itself, undermining the institutions of democracy as we watch.




Calamity Theory


Book Description

What are the implications of how we talk about apocalypse? A new philosophical field has emerged. “Existential risk” studies any real or hypothetical human extinction event in the near or distant future. This movement examines catastrophes ranging from runaway global warming to nuclear warfare to malevolent artificial intelligence, deploying a curious mix of utilitarian ethics, statistical risk analysis, and, controversially, a transhuman advocacy that would aim to supersede almost all extinction scenarios. The proponents of existential risk thinking, led by Oxford philosopher Nick Bostrom, have seen their work gain immense popularity, attracting endorsement from Bill Gates and Elon Musk, millions of dollars, and millions of views. Calamity Theory is the first book to examine the rise of this thinking and its failures to acknowledge the ways some communities and lifeways are more at risk than others and what it implies about human extinction. Forerunners: Ideas First is a thought-in-process series of breakthrough digital publications. Written between fresh ideas and finished books, Forerunners draws on scholarly work initiated in notable blogs, social media, conference plenaries, journal articles, and the synergy of academic exchange. This is gray literature publishing: where intense thinking, change, and speculation take place in scholarship.




Countdown to Extinction


Book Description

Countdown to Extinction: Navigating the Existential Threats That Could End Humanity is a comprehensive and thought-provoking exploration of the critical risks that could define—or end—the future of human civilization. In a world increasingly shaped by rapid technological advancements, environmental degradation, and global interconnectedness, this book takes a deep dive into the most pressing existential threats of our time and examines how we can navigate them to secure a thriving future for all. Spanning a wide range of topics, Countdown to Extinction begins by laying the groundwork with an introduction to the fragility of human civilization and the concept of existential risks. The book then systematically explores specific threats, including the transformative power and peril of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), the revolutionary potential and catastrophic risks of nanotechnology, and the unseen dangers posed by high-energy particle collisions. The narrative continues by examining the ever-present dangers of pandemics—both natural and engineered—and the ongoing threat of nuclear warfare, juxtaposed against the slow-burning crisis of climate change. It delves into cosmic hazards like asteroid impacts and supervolcanoes, the potential collapse of global ecosystems due to resource depletion, and the nightmarish scenarios involving rogue AI and cybersecurity failures. The book also addresses emerging risks associated with synthetic biology, economic collapse, and societal breakdown, while considering the unpredictable nature of "unknown unknowns." Each chapter is meticulously researched, combining scientific analysis with ethical considerations, historical case studies, and expert insights to paint a vivid picture of the potential futures we may face. Yet, Countdown to Extinction is not just about outlining dangers; it is equally a guide to mitigation and hope. The book offers a thorough discussion on global strategies for mitigating these risks, emphasizing technological safeguards, international cooperation, and the necessity of building societal resilience. It calls for the creation of a culture of awareness and preparedness, urging governments, businesses, and individuals to take responsibility and act decisively. The book concludes with a powerful call to action, reflecting on the imperative of addressing these risks and the role of human ingenuity and adaptation in creating a secure and sustainable future. Through detailed analysis and an engaging narrative, Countdown to Extinction challenges readers to reconsider their assumptions, recognize the gravity of the challenges ahead, and embrace the opportunities for transformative change. This is not just a book about survival; it is a manifesto for safeguarding humanity's future. It reminds us that while the risks are formidable, so too is our capacity to overcome them through collective action, innovation, and a deep commitment to the values that unite us all. The choices we make today will shape the course of history, and together, we can create a world that is secure, just, and sustainable for generations to come.




Global Catastrophic Risks


Book Description

A Global Catastrophic Risk is one that has the potential to inflict serious damage to human well-being on a global scale. This book focuses on such risks arising from natural catastrophes (Earth-based or beyond), nuclear war, terrorism, biological weapons, totalitarianism, advanced nanotechnology, artificial intelligence and social collapse.




Understanding America’s Greatest Existential Threats


Book Description

In this introductory volume, readers will learn about the vital role that the various Critical Infrastructure (CI) sectors play in America, in the context of homeland security. The protection, maintenance, and monitoring of these interdependent CI assets is a shared responsibility of governments, private sector owner/operators, first responders, and all those involved in homeland security and emergency management. As this foundational learning resource demonstrates, rapidly advancing technologies combined with exponential growth in demand on the aging infrastructure of America’s power grid is setting the stage for a potentially catastrophic collapse that would paralyze each and every facet of civilian life and military operations. This meticulously researched primer will guide readers through the known world of power failures and cyber-attacks to the emerging threat from a High-altitude Electromagnetic Pulse (HEMP). A HEMP would cause cascading failures in the power grid, communications, water treatment facilities, oil refineries, pipelines, banking, supply chain management, food production, air traffic control, and all forms of transportation. Each chapter in America’s Greatest Existential Threat (Vol. 1) begins with learning objectives and ends with a series of review questions to assess take-up of the chapter material. Similarly, subsequent volumes will explore HEMP and emerging issues in closer detail with current research and analysis now in development.