PAIS Bulletin
Author :
Publisher :
Page : 360 pages
File Size : 43,19 MB
Release : 1915
Category : Policy sciences
ISBN :
Author :
Publisher :
Page : 360 pages
File Size : 43,19 MB
Release : 1915
Category : Policy sciences
ISBN :
Author : Asian Development Bank
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
Page : 201 pages
File Size : 44,21 MB
Release : 2020-04-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9292621823
Futures thinking and foresight is a powerful planning approach that can help Asia and the Pacific countries meet economic, political, social, and environmental and climate change challenges. This publication shows how the Asian Development Bank (ADB) piloted this approach to understand entry points to support transformational change in the region. It compiles lessons from an ADB initiative to apply futures and foresight tools in Armenia, Cambodia, Kazakhstan, Mongolia, the People's Republic of China, the Philippines, and Timor-Leste. Futures terminology is introduced as are specific tools such as emerging issues analysis, scenario planning, and backcasting. It also describes how futures and foresight tools were applied in the countries.
Author : Jennifer Gidley
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 185 pages
File Size : 37,77 MB
Release : 2017
Category : Science
ISBN : 0198735286
Can we ever truly influence, predict, and direct our own futures? Are there multiple futures or only one awaiting us? Jennifer Gidley explains our innate fascination with the unknown future, and considers the role of the human consciousness in embracing multiple future possibilities, and creating a world of our choices.
Author : Jennifer M. Gidley
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 193 pages
File Size : 43,64 MB
Release : 2017-03-13
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 0191054259
From the beginning of time, humans have been driven by both a fear of the unknown and a curiosity to know. We have always yearned to know what lies ahead, whether threat or safety, scarcity or abundance. Throughout human history, our forebears tried to create certainty in the unknown, by seeking to influence outcomes with sacrifices to gods, preparing for the unexpected with advice from oracles, and by reading the stars through astrology. As scientific methods improve and computer technology develops we become ever more confident of our capacity to predict and quantify the future by accumulating and interpreting patterns form the past, yet the truth is there is still no certainty to be had. In this Very Short Introduction Jennifer Gidley considers some of our most burning questions: What is "the future "?; Is the future a time yet to come?; Or is it a utopian place?; Does the future have a history?; Is there only one future or are there many possible futures? She asks if the future can ever be truly predicted or if we create our own futures - both hoped for and feared - by our thoughts, feelings, and actions, and concludes by analysing how we can learn to study the future. ABOUT THE SERIES: The Very Short Introductions series from Oxford University Press contains hundreds of titles in almost every subject area. These pocket-sized books are the perfect way to get ahead in a new subject quickly. Our expert authors combine facts, analysis, perspective, new ideas, and enthusiasm to make interesting and challenging topics highly readable.
Author : Robert Rosen
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 447 pages
File Size : 31,80 MB
Release : 2013-10-22
Category : Science
ISBN : 1483286274
The first detailed study of this most important class of systems which contain internal predictive models of themselves and/or of their environments and whose predictions are utilized for purposes of present control. This book develops the basic concept of a predictive model, and shows how it can be embedded into a system of feedforward control. Includes many examples and stresses analogies between wired-in anticipatory control and processes of learning and adaption, at both individual and social levels. Shows how the basic theory of such systems throws a new light both on analytic problems (understanding what is going on in an organism or a social system) and synthetic ones (developing forecasting methods for making individual or collective decisions).
Author : Ziauddin Sardar
Publisher : Praeger
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 24,42 MB
Release : 1999-03-30
Category : Science
ISBN : 0275965597
This book argues that 'futures studies' has abandoned its goal of exploring diverse and alternative futures. Its over-emphasis on forecasting and prediction, its over-preoccupation with technology and its neglect of non-western cultures and concerns have all transformed it into an instrument for the colonisation of the future.
Author : Jib Fowles
Publisher : Greenwood
Page : 848 pages
File Size : 20,86 MB
Release : 1978-06-14
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN :
Author : Ian Miles
Publisher : Springer
Page : 279 pages
File Size : 38,39 MB
Release : 2016-08-29
Category : Science
ISBN : 3319325744
Decision-makers at all levels are being confronted with novel complexities and uncertainties and face long-term challenges which require foresight about long-term future prospects, assumptions, and strategies. This book explores how foresight studies can be systematically undertaken and used in this context. It explicates why and how methods like horizon scanning, scenario planning, and roadmapping should be applied when dealing with high levels of uncertainty. The scope of the book moves beyond “narrow” technology foresight, towards addressing systemic interrelations between social, technological, economic, environmental, and political systems. Applications of foresight tools to such fields as energy, cities, health, transportation, education, and sustainability are considered as well as enabling technologies including nano-, bio-, and information technologies and cognitive sciences. The approaches will be illustrated with specific actual cases.
Author : Deborah A. Schreiber
Publisher : Springer
Page : 435 pages
File Size : 49,53 MB
Release : 2018-12-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 3319949233
This book proposes that organizational policies are what ensure the institutionalization and sustainability of futures thinking in organizations. It presents several case studies from corporations and other institutions that describe effective use of foresight methods and internal policies to respond to rapid change. The case studies address changing trends in technology, globalization and/or workforce diversity, and the impact on the economic and political well-being of the organization. The editors also develop an organizational capability maturity model for futures thinking as well as providing questions for discussion that promote critical review of each case chapter. This book will inform scholars and organizational leaders how best to utilize foresight methodologies and organizational policies to sustain successful management strategies within futures thinking organizations. Chapter 9 is available open access under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License via link.springer.com.
Author : P. Bishop
Publisher : Springer
Page : 322 pages
File Size : 39,74 MB
Release : 2012-06-26
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1137020709
The faculty at the University of Houston's program in Futures Studies share their comprehensive, integrated approach to preparing foresight professionals and assisting others doing foresight projects. Provides an essential guide to developing classes on the future or even establishing whole degree programs.