This Time Is Different


Book Description

An empirical investigation of financial crises during the last 800 years.




OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2014 Issue 1


Book Description

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. A special chapter covers growth prospects and fiscal requirments over the long term.




OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2016 Issue 1


Book Description

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years.




OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2013 Issue 2


Book Description

OECD’s twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years.




OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2016 Issue 2


Book Description

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years.




Commodity Price Movements and Banking Crises


Book Description

We develop an empirical model to predict banking crises in a sample of 60 low-income countries (LICs) over the 1981-2015 period. Given the recent emergence of financial sector stress associated with low commodity prices in several LICs, we assign price movements in primary commodities a key role in our model. Accounting for changes in commodity prices significantly increases the predictive power of the model. The commodity price effect is economically substantial and robust to the inclusion of a wide array of potential drivers of banking crises. We confirm that net capital inflows increase the likelihood of a crisis; however, in contrast to recent findings for advanced and emerging economies, credit growth and capital flow surges play no significant role in predicting banking crises in LICs.




Bank Recovery and Resolution


Book Description

Bank Recovery and Resolution Second Edition Sven Schelo Since 2008, enormous efforts have been made worldwide to draft rules to prevent a reoccurrence of the devastating financial events of that year. In the process, bank business has been laid open to intense public and government scrutiny, and regulation of banking has grown to spectacular proportions. Prominent among the measures taken is the EU Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (BRRD), which, together with the Single Resolution Mechanism (SRM) and the Single Resolution Fund, constitutes a crucial new pillar in the European Banking Union. Practitioners searching for orientation in what can readily be perceived as a ‘jungle’ have an urgent need for a clear and systematic description and analysis of these new rules, which are sure to have a massive impact on bank business from this time on, not only in Europe but also wherever European business is to be found. The solidly grounded analysis in this important book sets the new rules under BRRD into their full context as cross-border phenomena. With its crystal-clear explanation of key provisions, procedures, and ‘triggers’, the book organises a highly complex legal system into patterns and action plans that can be applied in virtually any eventuality likely to arise in cases where bank business is of central significance. Among the topics covered are the following: – entities covered by BRRD; – exceptions under BRRD; – objective and scope of BRRD tools – bail-in, bridge bank, sale of business, asset separation; – asset quality reviews; – curing or mitigating the continuing problem of non-performing loans; – new rules as response to lack of private solutions; – banks’ requirement to provide a minimum amount of eligible liabilities; – safety buffers to protect resolution; – need to be ‘resolvable’ in a worst case; – leverage and liquidity ratios; – forced mergers; – market spillover effects of recovery planning; – group recovery planning; – effects of foreign law contracts and assets; – write-down of capital instruments; and – special problems of cross-border restructuring. The presentation is enhanced by a comparative dimension, which includes reference to United States and other national developments and a full-scale analysis of Switzerland’s regulatory response to the crisis. Given that a full seamless global system of bank recovery and resolution has not yet been found, and that major banks are global players headquartered in different jurisdictions and even different continents, this book will greatly assist in the work of practitioners who must deal with cases involving international banking under the prevailing status quo. Its usefulness to officials and academics in international banking and finance law and policy, who are working towards a global solution, is of incalculable value.




OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2015 Issue 2


Book Description

This OECD Economic Outlook analyses the current economic situation and examines the economic policies required to foster a sustained recovery in member countries. The present issue covers the outlook to end 2017 for both OECD countries and selected non OECD economies.




OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2015 Issue 1


Book Description

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years.




OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2014 Issue 2


Book Description

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD's twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years.