Handbook of Research on Advances in Data Analytics and Complex Communication Networks


Book Description

"This edited book discusses data analytics and complex communication networks and recommends new methodologies, system architectures, and other solutions to prevail over the current limitations faced by the field"--




Modelling House Prices


Book Description

This booklet is a final complement to the series of investigations (”A Field Theory of House Prices”, ISBN 978-952-6613-36-9 and ”Nonstandard House Price Theory”, ISBN 978-952-6613-66-6) on the fundamental nature of house prices, which is, strictly speaking, a mathematical question. As in the earlier e-books on the scientific essence of house prices by the author, this booklet analyses house prices using the concept of a vector field. The fundamental idea underlying this e-book is that housing demand, housing supply and house prices can be investigated not as scalar functions but as genuine vector fields.




The Housing Boom and Bust


Book Description

Explains how we got into the current economic disaster that developed out of the economics and politics of the housing boom and bust. The "creative" financing of home mortgages and "creative" marketing of financial securities based on these mortgages to countries around the world, are part of the story of how a financial house of cards was built up--and then collapsed.




Charting a Sustainable Future of ASEAN in Business and Social Sciences


Book Description

This volume showcases selected conference papers addressing the sustainable future of ASEAN from the perspectives of business and social science disciplines. In addressing the 17 Sustainable Developments Goals (SDGs) envisioned by the United Nations in the domains of environment, health and well-being, posing potential means of reducing inequalities globally, the authors target specific issues and challenges confronting the fast-growing region of ASEAN and present suggestions for co-operation and commitment from governments, non-governmental organisations (NGOs) and society at large, in line with the ASEAN Vision 2020. Papers are selected from the 3rd International Conference on the Future of ASEAN (ICoFA) 2019, organised by Universiti Teknologi MARA in Malaysia, whose conference theme “Charting the Sustainable Future of ASEAN” enables intellectual discourse on sustainability issues from business and the social sciences, as well as science and technology. The selection of papers is published in two volumes, comprising scholarly and practical insights into sustainability in ASEAN. This first volume of papers from business and social science scholars will be of interest to researchers and policymakers interested in sustainability developments in the ASEAN region.




House Price Methodology


Book Description

This booklet discusses some major methodological issues relating to the construction of house price models on a macro level. There is no single method that always produces the optimal results; the choice of a particular approach, method, theory, model and technique is context-dependent. This is especially true in housing markets, where a multitude of different submarkets exist. The methodology chosen should be based on sound theory, from which the basic concepts of analysis can be derived. This booklet discusses the use of potential models, which can be constructed using a general field theory, and which act as a theoretical foundation for further analysis. If we use potential models for house price analysis we can discover additional features from the data set that other approaches would simply miss. This e-book presents a pragmatic overview of key methodological concerns with the emphasis on the use of potential models. Theoretical methodological questions are left unanswered, and are not even presented in this text, since they have little relevancy to real-world modelling questions.




House Price Synchronization and Financial Openness: A Dynamic Factor Model Approach


Book Description

This paper investigates the developments in house price synchronization across countries by a dynamic factor model using a country- and city-level dataset, and examines what drives the synchronization. The empirical results indicate that: (i) the degree of synchronization has been rising since the 1970s, and (ii) a large heterogeneity in the degree of synchronization exists across countries and cities. A panel and cross-sectional regression analysis show that the heterogeneity of synchronization is partly accounted for by the progress in financial and trade openness. Also, the city-level analysis implies that the international synchronization is mainly driven by the city-level connectivity between large and international cities.




Fundamental Drivers of House Prices in Advanced Economies


Book Description

House prices in many advanced economies have risen substantially in recent decades. But experience indicates that housing prices can diverge from their long-run equilibrium or sustainable levels, potentially followed by adjustments that impact macroeconomic and financial stability. Therefore there is a need to monitor house prices and assess whether they are sustainable. This paper focuses on fundamentals expected to drive long run trends in house prices, including institutional and structural factors. The scale of potential valuation gaps is gauged on the basis of a cross-country panel analysis of house prices in 20 OECD countries.




Modelling Spatial Housing Markets


Book Description

Spatial fixity is one of the characteristics that distinguishes housing from most other goods and services in the economy. In general, housing cannot be moved from one part of the country to another in response to shortages or excesses in particular areas. The modelling of housing markets and the interlinkages between markets at different spatial levels - international, national, regional and urban - are the main themes of this book. A second major theme is disaggregation, not only in terms of space, but also between households. The book argues that aggregate time-series models of housing markets of the type widely used in Britain and also in other countries in the past have become less relevant in a world of increasing income dispersion. Typically, aggregate relationships will break down, except under special conditions. We can no longer assume that traditional location or tenure patterns, for example, will continue in the future. The book has four main components. First, it discusses trends in housing markets both internationally and within nations. Second, the book develops theoretical housing models at each spatial scale, starting with national models, moving down to the regional level and, then, to urban models. Third, the book provides empirical estimates of the models and, finally, the models are used for policy analysis. Analysis ranges over a wide variety of topics, including explanations for differing international house price trends, the causes of housing cycles, the role of credit markets, regional housing market interactions and the role of housing in urban/suburban population drift.




Predicting Downside Risks to House Prices and Macro-Financial Stability


Book Description

This paper predicts downside risks to future real house price growth (house-prices-at-risk or HaR) in 32 advanced and emerging market economies. Through a macro-model and predictive quantile regressions, we show that current house price overvaluation, excessive credit growth, and tighter financial conditions jointly forecast higher house-prices-at-risk up to three years ahead. House-prices-at-risk help predict future growth at-risk and financial crises. We also investigate and propose policy solutions for preventing the identified risks. We find that overall, a tightening of macroprudential policy is the most effective at curbing downside risks to house prices, whereas a loosening of conventional monetary policy reduces downside risks only in advanced economies and only in the short-term.




Nonstandard House Price Theory


Book Description

This is an e-book about a dynamic field theory of house prices, which simplifies the ideas in the author’s previous work, A Field Theory of House Prices (ISBN 978-952-6613-36-9). The text provides new, highly workable ideas based on the major ideas of classical physics combined with the major ideas of classical economics. This synthesis is known as a dynamic field theory of house prices. This is a novel theory that provides a unified, general framework for decision-making that can be applied to any macro-level question about house prices. In order to understand the ideas of this e-book, it is assumed that the reader has a basic understanding of mathematics, which is the language of exact science. The workability of the ideas presented in this e-book are demonstrated using some real, large data sets. These empirical results are documented in the presented material. The local disposable income and the interest variable typically applied in Finland are the ”pushing forces” that generate the demand field. The supply side is the ”attracting force” that does not influence the house prices in the samples investigated, but is still a force that exists. What is a house price? What are the demand field and supply field of housing? This book explains these issues.