Subjective Probability and Statistical Practice
Author : Leonard Jimmie Savage
Publisher :
Page : 102 pages
File Size : 11,71 MB
Release : 1959
Category : Probabilities
ISBN :
Author : Leonard Jimmie Savage
Publisher :
Page : 102 pages
File Size : 11,71 MB
Release : 1959
Category : Probabilities
ISBN :
Author : Leonard Jimmie SAVAGE
Publisher :
Page : pages
File Size : 15,92 MB
Release : 1962
Category :
ISBN :
Author : Leonard J. Savage
Publisher :
Page : 162 pages
File Size : 39,61 MB
Release : 1961
Category : Mathematical statistics
ISBN :
Author : Henry Ely Kyburg
Publisher :
Page : 278 pages
File Size : 32,80 MB
Release : 1980
Category : Mathematics
ISBN :
Truth and probability; Foresight: its logical laws, its subjective sources; The bases of probability; Subjective probability as the measure of a non-measurable set; The elicitation of personal probabilities; Probability: beware of falsifications; Probable knowledge.
Author : Richard Jeffrey
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 144 pages
File Size : 11,18 MB
Release : 2004-04-12
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780521536684
Sample Text
Author : Leonard J. Savage
Publisher :
Page : 112 pages
File Size : 42,44 MB
Release : 1964
Category :
ISBN :
Author : Frank Lad
Publisher : Wiley-Interscience
Page : 516 pages
File Size : 42,99 MB
Release : 1996-09-27
Category : Mathematics
ISBN :
The mathematical implications of personal beliefs and values in science and commerce Amid a worldwide resurgence of interest in subjectivist statistical method, this book offers a fresh look at the role of personal judgments in statistical analysis. Frank Lad demonstrates how philosophical attention to meaning provides a sensible assessment of the prospects and procedures of empirical inferential learning. Operational Subjective Statistical Methods offers a systematic investigation of Bruno de Finetti's theory of probability and logic of uncertainty, which recognizes probability as the measure of personal uncertainty at the heart of its mathematical presentation. It identifies de Finetti's "fundamental theorem of coherent provision" as the unifying structure of probabilistic logic, and highlights the judgment of exchangeability rather than causal independence as the key probabilistic component of statistical inference. Broad in scope, yet firmly grounded in mathematical detail, this text/reference Invites readers to address the subjective personalist meaning of probability as motivating the mathematical construction Contains numerous examples and problems, including computing problems using Matlab, assuming no background in Matlab Explains how to use the material in three distinct sequential courses in math and statistics, as well as in courses at the graduate level in applied fields Provides an introductory basis for understanding more complex structures of statistical analysis Complete with fifty illustrations, Operational Subjective Statistical Methods makes an intriguing discipline accessible to professionals, students, and the interested general reader. It contains a wealth of teaching and research material, and offers profound insight into the relationship between philosophy, faith, and scientific method.
Author : Deborah G. Mayo
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 503 pages
File Size : 15,10 MB
Release : 2018-09-20
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 1108563309
Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Author : Paolo Manca
Publisher : goWare
Page : 106 pages
File Size : 34,23 MB
Release : 2017-07-06
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 8867978349
In the context of a non-deterministic view of the world, probability is a number which reflects the degree of confidence someone has that a given statement or event is true, based on the information they have. Probability and probability calculus, on the other hand, are essential tools for those who wish to recognise uncertainty and manage it responsibly. This presentation of subjective probability (the only one possible) will enable even those who are not experts to acquire the correct knowledge of an instrument which is essential and necessary for dealing with the world around us. The text takes only one hour to read, but it will help you to avoid many mistakes and enable you to understand the origin of those you might have made in the past. The reader will also be able to appreciate many funny examples and paradoxes such as this one: statistics tell us that 20% of motorway car accidents are caused by drivers with high blood alcohol levels. It can then be derived that 80% of accidents are caused by sober drivers. Therefore, we should supply alcohol to those who drive on motorways!
Author : W.L. Harper
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 334 pages
File Size : 27,93 MB
Release : 1976
Category : Gardening
ISBN : 9789027706171
Proceedings of an International Research Colloquium held at the University of Western Ontario, 10-13 May 1973.