Impact of New Technologies on the Arms Race


Book Description

Det 10. symposium i en serie af Internationale Puggwash Symposier er organiseret af udvalget for Puggwash konferencerne for "Science and World Affairs". Bogen indeholder de enkelte oplæg samt de efterfølgende diskussioner, med hovedvægt på den teknologiske udvikling indenfor våbenproduktion, især i forhold til antiballistiske missilforsvar.




Cyber Threats and Nuclear Weapons


Book Description

The technology controlling United States nuclear weapons predates the Internet. Updating the technology for the digital era is necessary, but it comes with the risk that anything digital can be hacked. Moreover, using new systems for both nuclear and non-nuclear operations will lead to levels of nuclear risk hardly imagined before. This book is the first to confront these risks comprehensively. With Cyber Threats and Nuclear Weapons, Herbert Lin provides a clear-eyed breakdown of the cyber risks to the U.S. nuclear enterprise. Featuring a series of scenarios that clarify the intersection of cyber and nuclear risk, this book guides readers through a little-understood element of the risk profile that government decision-makers should be anticipating. What might have happened if the Cuban Missile Crisis took place in the age of Twitter, with unvetted information swirling around? What if an adversary announced that malware had compromised nuclear systems, clouding the confidence of nuclear decision-makers? Cyber Threats and Nuclear Weapons, the first book to consider cyber risks across the entire nuclear enterprise, concludes with crucial advice on how government can manage the tensions between new nuclear capabilities and increasing cyber risk. This is an invaluable handbook for those ready to confront the unique challenges of cyber nuclear risk.







Arms and Artificial Intelligence


Book Description

The impact of information technology in the field of military decision making is superficially less visible than that of a number of other weapon developments, though its importance has grown steadily since the beginning of the 1980s. Owing to its potential role in modern weapon systems and the prospect of its inclusion as an essential ingredient in many military projects such as the Strategic Defence Initiative, it has become the focus of special interest and efforts. This book is the first attempt to present a broad overview of the prospects for information technology in general, and machine intelligence in particular, in the context of international security. The dangers and promises of weapon and arms control applications of computers and artificial intelligence to decision-making processes are analysed in a technical, strategic, and political perspective by experts from six different countries. In an introductory chapter, Allan Din presents a generic overview of artificial intelligence and its prospects. Thirteen contributors then discuss the conceptual and technical framework of artificial intelligence, analyse implications for weapon systems and strategy, and discuss possible applications to arms control verification and modelling.




Technology, Strategy, And Arms Control


Book Description

Focusing on the most urgent issues of arms control, this collection of essays discusses the East-West military balance, the nature of U.S.-Soviet relations, the political dynamics of developments in weapons technology, the problems that conflicting national security policies pose for the management of the Western alliance, the influence of U.S. dom




The Future of Arms Control


Book Description

Arms control, for decades at the core of the foreign policy consensus, today is among the more contentious issues in American politics. It is pilloried and considered out of mode in many conservative quarters, while being viewed as nearly sacrosanct in many liberal circles. In this new book, Michael Levi and Michael O'Hanlon argue that neither the left nor the right has a correct view of the proper utility of arms control in the age of terror. Arms control in the traditional sense--lengthy treaties to limit nuclear and other military competitions among the great powers--is no longer particularly useful. Nor should arms control be pursued as a means to the end of constraining the power of nations or of promoting global government. It is still a critical tool, though, for controlling dangerous technologies, particularly those that, in the hands of hostile states or terrorist organizations, could cause massive death and destruction. Arms control and coercive action, including military force, must be integrated into an overall strategy for preventing proliferation, now more than ever before. Arms control should be used to gain earlier warning of illicit activities inside dangerous states, allowing the international community to take coercive action in a timely way. The authors propose three new criteria to guide future arms control efforts, designed to respond to today's geopolitical realities. Arms control must focus on the dangers of catastrophic technology, not so much in the hands of major powers as of small states and terrorist groups. Their criteria lead to a natural focus on nuclear and biological technologies. Much tougher measures to prevent countries from gaining nuclear weapons technoloty while purportedly complying with the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and procedures for controlling dangerous biological technologies will be most prominent in this framework, while lower priority is giben to efforts such as bilateral nuclear accords and most t




Nuclear Arms Control


Book Description

This nontechnical overview of developments in nuclear arms control describes how the United States and the Soviet Union arrived at their present positions-and where they might go from here. According to Foreign Affairs, "This book is proof that the complexities of arms control can be successfully explained in a nontechnical, and even more importantly, nonpartisan manner....It presents the key issues in a clear, thorough, and remarkably up-to-date way....Strongly recommended as a primary source for classroom and public discussions."




Arms Control and Technological Innovation


Book Description

Of proceedings / Herbert M. Levine -- New technologies and new weapons systems / Kosta Tsipis -- Can conventional new technologies and new tactics replace tactical nuclear weapons in Europe? / Jorma K. Miettinen -- International political economy of proliferation / Steven J. Baker -- Arms limitation and security policies required to minimise the proliferation of nuclear weapons / Enid C.B. Schoettle -- Anglo-American nuclear relationship : proliferatroy or anti-proliferatory? / David Carlton -- Proliferation : sophisticated weapons and revolutionary options -- the sub-state perspective / J. Bowyer Bell -- Arms and politics : old issues, new perceptions / Michael Nacht -- Different approach to arms control -- reciprocal unilateral restraint / Herbert Scoville, Jr. -- New approach to strategic arms limitation and reduction / William Epstein -- Strategic arms limitation and military strategic concepts / M.A. Milstein -- Nuclear testing -- no end in sight? / Thomas A. Halsted -- Reconnaissance satellites and the arms race / Herbert F. York -- Realities of arms control : the cruise missile case / Robert A. Nalewajek -- Diffusion of economic and military power and its impact on the Middle East Conflict / Mario'n Mushkat -- Fallacy of thinking conventionally about nuclear weapons / Hans J. Morgenthau -- All at sea? A critique of the American strategic force structure / Peter King -- Function of military power / B.V.A. Roling -- 116 wars in 30 years / Istvan Kende -- Role of arms in capitalist economies : the process of overdevelopment and underdevelopment / Mary Kaldor -- Economic and technological prerequisites for achieving political and military stability / Tom Stonier.




Integrated Arms Control in an Era of Strategic Competition


Book Description

Can contemporary arms control keep pace with the rapid rate of change in both geopolitics and technology? While the challenges to future arms control point to a rocky road ahead, measures that build confidence, reduce miscalculation, enhance transparency, restrain costly and dangerous military competition, and offer useful mechanisms and venues for addressing sources of conflict will be of increasing value. For arms control tools to succeed, however, they must be adapted to the current security environment, account for rapidly evolving technological and informational factors, and consider alternative structures, modalities, and participation models. Indeed, now is the time for a recoupling of arms control with deterrence in a way that recognizes these new realities. Now is the time for integrated arms control that enhances stability, embraces plurality, and reinforces resiliency. This CSIS study examines the implication and prospects for the future of arms control in a highly competitive security environment in which challenges from advanced technologies and diminished state control over processes of verification become increasingly prominent features, even as the scope and modalities of arms control grow more complex and multifaceted. The report offers a reexamination of the broad contours of arms control and its role in managing competitive security risks and challenges and the implications for U.S. policymakers, academics, and strategic thinkers engaged in U.S. nuclear policy.