The Deficit and the Economy


Book Description

Uses a long term economic growth model to simulate 3 of many possible fiscal paths through the year 2025: one path that takes no action on the deficit, a path that "muddles through" with deficits at 3% of gross domestic product, roughly approximating deficits of recent years, and a path that reaches balance in 2002 and sustains it. Examines possible outcomes and affects of these paths. 8 charts and tables




Do Deficits Matter?


Book Description

Do deficits matter? Yes and no, says Daniel Shaviro in this political and economic study. Yes, because fiscal policy affects generational distribution, national saving, and the level of government spending. And no, because the deficit is an inaccurate measure with little economic content. This book provides an invaluable guide for anyone wanting to know exactly what is at stake for Americans in this ongoing debate. "[An] excellent, comprehensive, and illuminating book. Its analysis, deftly integrating considerations of economics, law, politics, and philosophy, brings the issues of 'balanced budgets,' national saving, and intergenerational equity out of the area of religious crusades and into an arena of reason. . . . A magnificent, judicious, and balanced treatment. It should be read and studied not just by specialists in fiscal policy but by all those in the economic and political community."—Robert Eisner, Journal of Economic Literature "Shaviro's history, economics, and political analysis are right on the mark. For all readers."—Library Journal




Budget Policy


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Budget Policy


Book Description

Discusses the long-term effects of the federal budget, ways of enhancing the long-term perspective in budgeting, the need for a new decision-making framework to highlight the choice between consumption and investment spending, and difficult choices that are required concerning what responsibilities the federal government will carry and how those activities will be financed. 51 charts and tables




Expansionary Austerity New International Evidence


Book Description

This paper investigates the short-term effects of fiscal consolidation on economic activity in OECD economies. We examine the historical record, including Budget Speeches and IMFdocuments, to identify changes in fiscal policy motivated by a desire to reduce the budget deficit and not by responding to prospective economic conditions. Using this new dataset, our estimates suggest fiscal consolidation has contractionary effects on private domestic demand and GDP. By contrast, estimates based on conventional measures of the fiscal policy stance used in the literature support the expansionary fiscal contractions hypothesis but appear to be biased toward overstating expansionary effects.




Budget Policy


Book Description




The Deficit and the Economy


Book Description




The Deficit and the Economy


Book Description

This report updates a 1992 GAO study (GAO/OCG-92-2) on the long-term economic impact of the deficit, which concluded that deficit reduction was the key to America's long-term economic health. GAO noted that a path of inaction could not be sustained over the long run. If policymakers failed to take the initiatives, the economic consequences would force action. GAO identified three forces driving the long-term growth of budget deficits: health spending, interest costs, and--after 2010--Social Security. In its current report, GAO uses a long-term economic growth model to simulate three possible fiscal paths through the year 2025: (1) no action on the deficit; (2) "muddling through" with deficits at three percent of gross domestic product, roughly approximating deficits of recent years; and (3) reaching a balanced budget in 2002 and sustaining it.