Bursting the Big Data Bubble


Book Description

As we get caught up in the quagmire of big data and analytics, it is important to be able to reflect and apply insights, experience, and intuition as part of the decision-making process. This book focuses on this intuition-based decision making. The first part of the book presents contributions from leading researchers worldwide on the topic of intuition-based decision making as applied to management. In the second part, executives and senior managers in industry, government, universities, and not-for-profits present vignettes that illustrate how they have used intuition in making key decisions.




The Truth About Using Facts AND Intuition in Decision Making


Book Description

This is the eBook version of the printed book. This Element is an excerpt from The Truth About Making Smart Decisions (9780132354639) by Robert E. Gunther. Available in print and digital formats. How to combine knowledge and intuition to consistently make better decisions. I recently kayaked down the Grand Canyon. There are scorpions and 14 different kinds of rattlesnakes, cliffs and rocks that can break limbs, and some of the West’s biggest water. That trip offered plenty of ways to be injured or killed. But what actually almost killed me had nothing to do with the risks I’d identified before I left. It was a simple toe infection....




Intuition in Judgment and Decision Making


Book Description

The central goal of this volume is to bring the learning perspective into the discussion of intuition in judgment and decision making. The book gathers recent work on intuitive decision making that goes beyond the current dominant heuristic processing perspective. However, that does not mean that the book will strictly oppose this perspective. The unique perspective of this book will help to tie together these different conceptualizations of intuition and develop an integrative approach to the psychological understanding of intuition in judgment and decision making. Accordingly, some of the chapters reflect prior research from the heuristic processing perspective in the new light of the learning perspective. This book provides a representative overview of what we currently know about intuition in judgment and decision making. The authors provide latest theoretical developments, integrative frameworks and state-of-the-art reviews of research in the laboratory and in the field. Moreover, some chapters deal with applied topics. Intuition in Judgment and Decision Making aims not only at the interest of students and researchers of psychology, but also at scholars from neighboring social and behavioral sciences such as economy, sociology, political sciences, and neurosciences.




Decisions Over Decimals


Book Description

Become a confident leader and use data, experience, and intuition to drive your decisions Agile decision making is imperative as you lead in a data-driven world. Amid streams of data and countless meetings, we make hasty decisions, slow decisions, and often no decisions. Uniquely bridging theory and practice, Decisions Over Decimals breaks this pattern by uniting data intelligence with human judgment to get to action — a sharp approach the authors refer to as Quantitative Intuition (QI). QI raises the power of thinking beyond big data without neglecting it and chasing the perfect decision while appreciating that such a thing can never really exist. Successful decision-makers are fierce interrogators. They square critical thinking with open-mindedness by blending information, intuition, and experience. Balancing these elements is at the heart of Decisions Over Decimals. This book is not only designed to be read - but frequently referenced - as you face innumerable decision moments. It is the hands-on manual for confident, accurate decision-making you've been looking for; the rare resource that provides a set of pragmatic leadership tools to accelerate: Effectively framing the problem for stakeholders Synthesizing intelligence from incomplete information Delivering decisions that stick Strike the right balance between information and intuition and lead the smarter way with the real-world guidance found in Decisions Over Decimals.




How Well Do Executives Trust Their Intuition


Book Description

In this age of Big Data and analytics, knowledge gained through experiential learning and intuition may be taking a back seat to analytics. However, the use of intuition should not be underestimated and should play an important role in the decision process. How Well Do Executives Trust Their Intuition covers the Fulbright research study conducted by this international team of editors. The main question of their investigation is: How well do executives trust their intuition? In other words, do they typically prefer intuition over analysis and analytics. And equally importantly, what types of intuition may be most favorable looking at different variables? The research utilizes survey and biometrics approaches with C-level executives from Canada, U.S., Poland, and Italy. In addition, the book contains chapters from leading executives in industry, academia, and government. Their insights provide examples of how their intuition enabled key decisions that they made. This book covers such topics as: Using intuition How gender, experience, role, industry, and country affect intuition Trust and intuition in management Trusting intuition It’s a matter of heart Leadership intuition and the future of work Creating an intuitive awareness for executives Improvisation and instinct. The book explores how executives can use intuition to guide decision making. It also explains how to trust intuition-based decisions. How Well Do Executives Trust Their Intuition is a timely and prescient reminder in this age of data-driven analytics that human insight, instinct, and intuition should also play key roles.




Summary: Intuition at Work


Book Description

The must-read summary of Gary Klein's book: "Intuition at Work: Why Developing Your Gut Instincts Will Make You Better at What You Do". This complete summary of the ideas from Gary Klein's book "Intuition at Work" shows that about 90% of the critical decisions a person actually makes will generally be based more on their “gut feelings” about the right thing to do than hard data. Yet intuition is an undervalued facet of business decisions. This summary suggests that a better strategy would be to acknowledge the importance of intuition and become better at using it. It defines intuition as “the way we translate our past experiences into decisions about our present actions”. Excellent intuition is not ESP or magic; it’s making quick, good decisions on experience. Firefighters, for example, are able to make life-and-death decisions rapidly because they pick up on the clues of what is happening and know intuitively how they should react without requiring detailed analysis. This summary recommends analysing past decisions for their effectiveness and your thought processes; it suggests specific decision making exercises to practice your skills. It also demonstrates that sometimes waiting to make a decision is still an intuitive process. Added-value of this summary: • Save time • Understand key concepts • Expand your business knowledge To learn more, read "Intuition At Work" and discover an excellent guidebook for good decisions and long-term strategy.




Judgment Misguided


Book Description

People often follow intuitive principles of decision making, ranging from group loyalty to the belief that nature is benign. But instead of using these principles as rules of thumb, we often treat them as absolutes and ignore the consequences of following them blindly. In Judgment Misguided, Jonathan Baron explores our well-meant and deeply felt personal intuitions about what is right and wrong, and how they affect the public domain. Baron argues that when these intuitions are valued in their own right, rather than as a means to another end, they often prevent us from achieving the results we want. Focusing on cases where our intuitive principles take over public decision making, the book examines some of our most common intuitions and the ways they can be misused. According to Baron, we can avoid these problems by paying more attention to the effects of our decisions. Written in a accessible style, the book is filled with compelling case studies, such as abortion, nuclear power, immigration, and the decline of the Atlantic fishery, among others, which illustrate a range of intuitions and how they impede the public's best interests. Judgment Misguided will be important reading for those involved in public decision making, and researchers and students in psychology and the social sciences, as well as everyone looking for insight into the decisions that affect us all.







The influence of intuition and emotions on decision making


Book Description

Seminar paper from the year 2016 in the subject Business economics - Miscellaneous, University of Applied Sciences Rosenheim, language: English, abstract: The influencing factors on decision making, however, are rated very different. This study aims to answer where the similarities and differences within the decision making approaches are and what influence intuition and emotions have.