Technical Research Note


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Prediction of Officer Performance


Book Description

The Officer Prediction Task, established within the U.S. Army Personnel Research Office (USAPRO), has a requirement to provide the Army with improved techniques and prerequisites for selecting officers who have aptitudes and other characteristics to meet demands for successful performance in different types of officer command responsibility. The study was centered on the differential prediction of officer performance in the technical, administrative, and combat areas of assignment. Validation of the Differential Officer Battery (DOB), a battery of experimental predictors administered in 1961-1962, is in progress. Situational criterion measures, five for each of the three fields, were developed and integrated into a regularly scheduled testing operation administered since July 1963 in a simulated MAAG setting at the Officer Evaluation Center (OEC), Fort McClellan. Initial statistical processing has begun.




Report


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Development of an Optimum Computerized Allocation System


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One objective of the FUTURE COMBAT Task, USAPRO is to develop a system of enlisted personnel allocation to maximize individual skills and preferences and at the same time meet Army staffing requirements. After determination that quality of manpower in the combat arms was perceptibly below that in the rest of the Army, computer based plans for allocating basic combat trainees to advanced training were developed and implemented experimentally on a trainee sample. The selection and testing of different allocation techniques, the mathematical bases for selected computerized systems, and results of comparison of three systems are reported. Two alternate plans, one of which takes into account individual training preference, proved more effective than the current procedure and were provided the Data Services and Administrative Systems Command.