Weekly Momentum Study on Indian Stock Markets


Book Description

The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) has been one of the dominant topics in the financial research literature. The main purpose of this study is to explore the existence of return continuation in the Indian Stock Markets, thus investigating its efficiency at the weak form level (Fama,1970). Momentum strategies which buy stocks that have performed well in the past and sell stocks that have poor performances previously - generate significant positive returns. The weekly momentum strategies can be executed by the investor to generate significant profits. The explanation of momentum remains challenge in literature. The behavioral factors may account for the momentum phenomena.




Momentum Trading on the Indian Stock Market


Book Description

This study is an exploration of the Indian stock market, focusing on the possible presence of momentum trading. One thing, however, should be noted. While it is true that momentum trading, which tends to generate speculative bubbles, may result in a financial market crash, its nature in contrast might depend on the nature of the economy itself. The study, while exploring the presence and nature of momentum trading on the Indian stock market in recent years, seeks to relate it to significant structural breaks in the Indian or global economy. To be precise, it outlines a potential correlation between the instability in the stock market and the speculative trading on the market, exploring the question of whether it is human psychology that drives financial markets. In the process, the choice of a significant structural break has been obvious: the global financial meltdown of 2007-2008 – a crisis that has often been referred to as the worst ever since the crash of 1929. While analyzing the nature of momentum trading on the Indian stock market with regard to the financial crisis of 2007-08, the study takes into account two major representatives of the market, the BSE (Bombay Stock Index) and NSE (National Stock Index), for the period 2005 to 2012. This study seeks to answer a few important questions. First of all, it tries to unveil the underlying structure of the market. In doing so, it examines the following issues: (i) What was the latent structure of the Indian stock market leading up to the crisis of 2007-08? Does the structure offer insights into designing profitable trading strategies? (ii) Is it possible to construct a profitable portfolio on the Indian stock market? (iii) Is there any profitable trading strategy on the Indian stock market? While exploring these issues, the study delves deeper, breaking the whole period down into two sub-periods, before the crisis of 2008 and after the crisis. The purpose of this division is to determine whether there has been any discernible change in the market structure since the shock.




Momentum and Contrarian Strategies in the Indian Stock Market - An Evaluative Study


Book Description

Stock prices are generally governed by rational inputs and irrationality in the market can cause only daily, weekly and short run fluctuations. While irrationality takes prices away from its intrinsic value, rationality brings it back. Contrarian investment strategy is followed under the assumption that typical herd behaviour leads to overreaction to information and hence stocks which have gone up recently is overvalued or vice versa. By taking the opposite position, contrarian expects profit when the market turns rational. On the other hand, momentum investment strategy is followed by moving along with the tide. Here it is found useful to follow the crowd and be a part of it. But if market is efficient in pricing, then both these strategies will fail.The present study is conducted to test the effectiveness of these two investment strategies in the Indian stock market. As a first step to this, the researcher tested the market efficiency of Indian stock market. Indian Market is found to be Weak-form inefficient and Strong form efficient. However, the study found out that momentum and contrarian strategies could not deliver any superior returns to Indian investors during the study period. Separate analysis was carried out by the researcher to test the efficiency o these tools, when Indian markets were severely hit by global financial crisis. Interdependency of Indian Stock Market with other leading emerging markets was also part of the study. The results confirmed the evidence of significant correlation with these markets. The study is expected to help the Indian investors while taking various investment decisions.




Momentum and Overreaction Effect a Study of Indian Stock Market


Book Description

The search and investigation of stock market anomalies have always been a popular area of research among the academicians. The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) that was once very well accepted and adored the most dominant place in the traditional finance theories, somehow, in recent times, the validity of the same has been questioned. The evidence of various stock market anomalies that document excess profit making opportunities resulted in critical re-examination of EMH. Probably the two most famous anomalies that have attracted the interest of both academicians and practitioners are the ones that are based on stocks return continuation (known as momentum effect) and long-term stock returns reversal (known as overreaction effect). Ever since DeBondt and Thaler (1985) and Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) drew attention towards the overreaction and momentum effect, these have remained as some of the most hotly debated anomalies in the academic literature. The investment strategies based on such continuation and long-term return reversal effects are commonly known as momentum and contrarian strategies, respectively. Both momentum and long-term reversal effect were found to persist in a majority of the out-of-sample tests using data from the U.S. as well as other developed stock markets across different time periods. Initially, most of the early investigations were based on the U.S. stock market, but gradually the investigation for the same spread out internationally to other developed stock markets. As a result, there exists a vast majority of literature supporting momentum and contrarian profitability in majority of the developed markets.




A Study of Contrarian and Momentum Profits in Indian Stock Market


Book Description

This paper studies the Indian stock market within the framework of momentum and contrarian strategies, using the monthly-adjusted prices of all the stocks listed on National Stock exchange (NSE) having complete data for the sample period January 1997 to March 2013. The findings reveal the presence of statistically significant small term momentum and long term overreaction effect in Indian stock market. Further, the paper also evaluates the predictions of various behavioural models that propose that momentum profits eventually reversed in long term. The evidence of the paper provides support for the behavioural explanation of momentum and overreaction effect in Indian stock market.




Seasonality in Momentum Profits


Book Description

The paper investigates Indian momentum profitability along with its performance stability round the year using the stock price data from National Stock Exchange (NSE). Results show evidence in favor of momentum profitability over the sample period from 1997 to 2013. Moreover, the momentum performance is not specific to any particular month suggesting no influence of calendar effects on momentum anomaly in the Indian stock market. Though, momentum strategies performed differently in different calendar months, with particularly strong negative returns in the month of May. However, no statistically significant difference was observed among the mean monthly momentum returns across calendar months. Contrary to the US market findings, no January or similar April seasonality is observed in the Indian momentum profits suggesting some unique characteristics of Indian momentum profitability. In nutshell, the results from the study suggest support in favor of practical implementation of momentum strategies throughout the year in the Indian stock market.




Quantitative Momentum


Book Description

The individual investor's comprehensive guide to momentum investing Quantitative Momentum brings momentum investing out of Wall Street and into the hands of individual investors. In his last book, Quantitative Value, author Wes Gray brought systematic value strategy from the hedge funds to the masses; in this book, he does the same for momentum investing, the system that has been shown to beat the market and regularly enriches the coffers of Wall Street's most sophisticated investors. First, you'll learn what momentum investing is not: it's not 'growth' investing, nor is it an esoteric academic concept. You may have seen it used for asset allocation, but this book details the ways in which momentum stands on its own as a stock selection strategy, and gives you the expert insight you need to make it work for you. You'll dig into its behavioral psychology roots, and discover the key tactics that are bringing both institutional and individual investors flocking into the momentum fold. Systematic investment strategies always seem to look good on paper, but many fall down in practice. Momentum investing is one of the few systematic strategies with legs, withstanding the test of time and the rigor of academic investigation. This book provides invaluable guidance on constructing your own momentum strategy from the ground up. Learn what momentum is and is not Discover how momentum can beat the market Take momentum beyond asset allocation into stock selection Access the tools that ease DIY implementation The large Wall Street hedge funds tend to portray themselves as the sophisticated elite, but momentum investing allows you to 'borrow' one of their top strategies to enrich your own portfolio. Quantitative Momentum is the individual investor's guide to boosting market success with a robust momentum strategy.




Momentum and Contrarian Profitability


Book Description

The study explored the effectiveness of momentum and long-term contrarian strategy in the Indian stock market using data from National Stock Exchange (NSE). The study further examined the similarities and difference in momentum and long-term contrarian profitability using multiple return computation method. The results from the study provide support in favor of both momentum and long-term contrarian strategy in the Indian stock market. The strong momentum and contrarian profits in the Indian stock market are not explained by biases and errors in return computation method as argued in International literature. Such results provide support in favor of momentum and long-term contrarian profitability in the Indian stock market. Earlier studies in the Indian context were primarily focused on testing momentum and contrarian profitability. The study enhances the current literature by empirically showing that such mispricing in the Indian stock market is not an outcome of faulty methodology.




Stock Market Guide (India)


Book Description

Step into the dynamic world of the Indian stock market with Abcd Of Indian Stock Market, a comprehensive guide designed for both novice and budding investors. This book breaks down the complexities of stock trading into simple, digestible concepts, making it the perfect starting point for anyone eager to learn the fundamentals of investing. Explore key topics such as the basics of shares, market indices, and sectors, and gain insights into essential strategies like fundamental analysis, technical analysis, and even futures and options. With clear explanations and practical advice, this book demystifies the art of buying and selling shares, helping you navigate market volatility with confidence. Whether you’re looking to grow your wealth or simply understand how the stock market operates, Abcd Of Indian Stock Market offers a well-rounded foundation to build your investment knowledge. Packed with tips, guidelines, and real-world examples, this is more than just a book—it’s your personal guide to mastering the stock market in India. Ashok Nahar




Long Term Price Momentum, Early, and Late Strategies in Indian Market Stock Return


Book Description

In recent days price momentum has gained considerable attention among the financial market researchers, as it deals with simple trading strategies offering abnormal returns based on historical market informations. However there is scarcity of works in this line of research in emerging markets. This paper investigates the long horizon relationship between historical trading volume and momentum return in Indian stock market, which is one of the most promising emerging markets. We also investigate the profitability of early-stage and late-stage strategies in Indian context. Our sample contains the blue-chip stocks represented in BSE-100 index over a period of eight years starting from August 2004 to July 2012. The study created double-sorted portfolios for measuring the volume based price momentum returns by applying Lee and Swaminathan (2000) methodology, which necessitated measuring the differences in the momentum return of low and high trading volume stocks. Our results suggest that there is no role for historical trading volume in boosting the magnitude of momentum profits over long horizon portfolios. Our findings also shows that neither long-term price momentum nor long-term price reversal strategy are pronounced in early-stage and late-stage respectively.