R&D, Patents and Productivity


Book Description

"An essential reference for specialists in the economics of technological change."--D. G. McFertridge, Canadian Journal of Economics




Research and Productivity Growth


Book Description

I use the aggregate behavior of three indicators of technology (employment of research and scientists and enginerrs, patented inventions, and total factor productivity) to identify a model of endogenous technological change. In the United States and several other developed countries, research employment and total factor productivity have both grown substantially while the rate of patenting has remained relatively flat. One interpretation of these facts is that: (i) patentable inventions are becoming increasingly difficult to discover as the quality of techniques in use increases, (ii) inventions that are patented represent percentage improvements on techniques currently in use, and (iii) the size of the economy is growing, making patents increasingly valuable and justifying increased research efforst devoted to discovering them. I develop a general-equilibrium search-theoretic model of invention to formalize this view. I then fit the model to data for the U.S. economy. The calibrated model implies that as much as 25% of U.S. productivity growth can be attributed to industrial research activity and that the equilibrium fraction of resources devoted to research is less than two-thirds of the level that a social planner would choose.













Trade in Ideas


Book Description

We develop and estimate a model of technological innovation and its contribution to growth at home and abroad. International patents indicate where innovations come from and where they are used. Countries grow at a common steady-state rate. A country's relative productivity depends upon its capacity to absorb technology. We estimate that, except for the United States, OECD countries derive almost all of their productivity growth from abroad.




Measuring the "ideas" Production Function


Book Description

This paper estimates the parameters of the ideas production function central to recent models of economic growth. We do so by evaluating the determinants of international patenting rates across the OECD, where an international patent is one granted by the U.S. patent office to a foreign establishment. Taking advantage of variation in the flow of ideas produced by different countries over time, we provide evidence for three main findings. First, at the level of the production of international patents, country-level R & D productivity increases proportionally with the stock of ideas already discovered, a key parametric restriction associated with the Romer model of ideas-driven growth (Romer, 1990; Jones, 1995). Second, We find that ideas productivity in a given country is constant or declining in the worldwide stock of ideas. Ideas production by other countries raises the bar for producing new-to-the-world technology domestically, outweighing the positive effects of international knowledge spillovers. Finally, ideas productivity is concave in the size of the R & D workforce and the linkage between ideas production and overall productivity growth is small. These results suggest that while the parametric restrictions required to generate endogenous technological change may be satisfied for individual economies, the growth rate associated with such effects may be modest. There seems to be a gap between the sustained production of ideas by advanced economies and the ability to translate ideas into measured productivity growth."




A Model of Research, Patenting, and Technological Change


Book Description

I use the aggregate behavior of three indicators of technology (employment of research scientists and engineers, patented inventions, and total factor productivity) to identify a plausible model of endogenous technological change. In the US (as well as in other developed countries) research employment and total factor productivity have both grown, while the rate of patenting has remained relatively flat. One interpretation of these facts is that: (i) patentable inventions are becoming increasingly difficult to discover as the quality of techniques in use increases, (ii) inventions which are patented represent percentage improvements on techniques currently in use, and (iii) the size of the economy is growing, making patents increasingly valuable and justifying increased research efforts devoted to discovering them. This paper presents a general equilibrium search theoretic model of invention which formalizes this view.