Brexit’s Winners and Losers. An Empirical Analysis of Economic Effects of Deglobalisation on the Financial Services Industry


Book Description

Bachelor Thesis from the year 2020 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,0, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), language: English, abstract: This paper aims to analyse what the impact of a no-deal Brexit on the Financial Services Industry is. Given the significant global integration of the UK’s financial services industry as the largest exporter and the host of the world’s leading centre of financial services (House of Lords, 2016), the gained observations and experiences from the example of Brexit shed greater light on determining the consequences of deglobalisation on the financial services industry. In order to determine the impact of a no deal Brexit on the financial services industry, it will be assumed that not only within the transition period but also in the long term, i.e. after an initial period of no relations, no further agreements will be reached between the UK and the EU. Further, the impact will be analysed solely for the industries of the two directly involved parties, thus the EU and the UK. In this course, given that the UK’s exports in financial services strongly exceed their imports of financial services in trade with the EU (House of Commons, 2020), the UK will be considered as the exporting nation; and consequently, the EU will be treated as the importing nation of financial services. Based on this trade surplus indicating a greater reliance from UK-based financial services firms on the EU than from EU-based financial services firms on the UK, the focus will be laid on UK-based financial services firms, which as a whole represent the UK’s financial services industry. The remainder of this paper is structured as follows: after an initial introduction to Brexit and the development of the relationship negotiation; in the third section, the status quo of the financial services industry ante Brexit will be depicted. In this regard, the legal framework will be emphasised, and the mutual reliance will be identified. In order to forecast the future situation of the financial services industry after the transition period, the legal relationship under WTO terms will be thematised in the fourth section. Within this section, a focus will be laid on the possible legal paths of the provision of financial services. Based on the derived legal aspects and considering the political influences in the absence of any relationship, in the fifth section, a post transition period outlook for the financial services industry will be given.




Brexit's Winners and Losers. An Empirical Analysis of Economic Effects of Deglobalisation on the Financial Services Industry


Book Description

Bachelor Thesis from the year 2020 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,0, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), language: English, abstract: This paper aims to analyse the impact of a no-deal Brexit regarding the Financial Services Industry. Given the significant global integration of the UK's financial services industry as the largest exporter and the host of the world's leading centre of financial services, the gained observations and experiences from the example of Brexit shed greater light on determining the consequences of deglobalisation on the financial services industry. It will be assumed that no further agreements regarding Financial Services will be reached between the UK and the EU. Further, the impact will be analysed solely for the industries of the two directly involved parties, thus the EU and the UK. The UK will be considered as the exporting nation and the focus will be laid on UK-based financial services firms, which as a whole represent the UK's financial services industry. The remainder of this paper is structured as follows: after an initial introduction to Brexit and the development of the relationship negotiation; in the third section, the status quo of the financial services industry ante Brexit will be depicted. In this regard, the legal framework will be emphasised, and the mutual reliance will be identified. In order to forecast the future situation of the financial services industry after the transition period, the legal relationship under WTO terms will be thematised in the fourth section. Within this section, a focus will be laid on the possible legal paths of the provision of financial services. Based on the derived legal aspects and considering the political influences in the absence of any relationship, in the fifth section, a post transition period outlook for the financial services industry will be given.




The Economics of Brexit


Book Description

The Economics of Brexit – Revisited builds upon and extends the analysis contained within the authors' previous book, The Economics of Brexit: A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the UK's Economic Relationship with the EU, which arguably represented the most comprehensive and systematic evaluation of the UK’s economic relationship with the EU. The Economics of Brexit – Revisited continues where the previous volume left off, given that the UK has now formally withdrawn from the EU, and therefore the focus of the evidence presented concerns the potential economic implications arising from Brexit and considering the options available to those negotiating the UK's future economic relationship both regionally and globally. The Economics of Brexit – Revisited seeks to provide greater clarity to a range of issues that have been hotly debated over the past few years, ranging from the trade and fiscal implications of Brexit, to the economic impact of regulation and migration. The significance of different Brexit options are discussed in detail, including the significance of demands for regulatory harmonisation (the 'level playing field'), along with their implications for UK trade with the EU and the rest of the world. A wide range of economic analyses are evaluated to determine their relative methodological strengths and weaknesses, and ultimately whether their conclusions are sufficiently robust to engender confidence. Finally, noting that a key determinant of the effectiveness of any post-Brexit economic strategy depends upon the degree of flexibility created for economic policy, the book provides an extended examination of the potential relating to different economic policy options available to the UK government, depending upon the form of final trade settlement that is agreed with the EU. These policy options include more active forms of macroeconomic management, combined with industrial and procurement policy. The Economics of Brexit – Revisited therefore seeks to combine evaluation of the available evidence indicating the economic impact of Brexit, together with consideration of policy trade-offs that lie at the heart of the choices surrounding Brexit, and how these might be resolved. The Economics of Brexit – Revisited therefore maintains its position as the most comprehensive analysis of the economics of Brexit in the market today.




Examining an EU Exit


Book Description




International Macroeconomics in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis


Book Description

This book collects selected articles addressing several currently debated issues in the field of international macroeconomics. They focus on the role of the central banks in the debate on how to come to terms with the long-term decline in productivity growth, insufficient aggregate demand, high economic uncertainty and growing inequalities following the global financial crisis. Central banks are of considerable importance in this debate since understanding the sluggishness of the recovery process as well as its implications for the natural interest rate are key to assessing output gaps and the monetary policy stance. The authors argue that a more dynamic domestic and external aggregate demand helps to raise the inflation rate, easing the constraint deriving from the zero lower bound and allowing monetary policy to depart from its current ultra-accommodative position. Beyond macroeconomic factors, the book also discusses a supportive financial environment as a precondition for the rebound of global economic activity, stressing that understanding capital flows is a prerequisite for economic-policy decisions.




Global Economic Prospects, June 2021


Book Description

The world economy is experiencing a very strong but uneven recovery, with many emerging market and developing economies facing obstacles to vaccination. The global outlook remains uncertain, with major risks around the path of the pandemic and the possibility of financial stress amid large debt loads. Policy makers face a difficult balancing act as they seek to nurture the recovery while safeguarding price stability and fiscal sustainability. A comprehensive set of policies will be required to promote a strong recovery that mitigates inequality and enhances environmental sustainability, ultimately putting economies on a path of green, resilient, and inclusive development. Prominent among the necessary policies are efforts to lower trade costs so that trade can once again become a robust engine of growth. This year marks the 30th anniversary of the Global Economic Prospects. The Global Economic Prospects is a World Bank Group Flagship Report that examines global economic developments and prospects, with a special focus on emerging market and developing economies, on a semiannual basis (in January and June). Each edition includes analytical pieces on topical policy challenges faced by these economies.




Cultural Backlash


Book Description

Authoritarian populist parties have advanced in many countries, and entered government in states as diverse as Austria, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland, and Switzerland. Even small parties can still shift the policy agenda, as demonstrated by UKIP's role in catalyzing Brexit. Drawing on new evidence, this book advances a general theory why the silent revolution in values triggered a backlash fuelling support for authoritarian-populist parties and leaders in the US and Europe. The conclusion highlights the dangers of this development and what could be done to mitigate the risks to liberal democracy.




Brexit and India


Book Description

Papers presented at national seminar held during 17th-18th March, 2017 at Centre for Economic Studies, Central University of Punjab, Bathinda, India.




The Globalization Paradox


Book Description

For a century, economists have driven forward the cause of globalization in financial institutions, labour markets, and trade. Yet there have been consistent warning signs that a global economy and free trade might not always be advantageous. Where are the pressure points? What could be done about them? Dani Rodrik examines the back-story from its seventeenth-century origins through the milestones of the gold standard, the Bretton Woods Agreement, and the Washington Consensus, to the present day. Although economic globalization has enabled unprecedented levels of prosperity in advanced countries and has been a boon to hundreds of millions of poor workers in China and elsewhere in Asia, it is a concept that rests on shaky pillars, he contends. Its long-term sustainability is not a given. The heart of Rodrik’s argument is a fundamental 'trilemma': that we cannot simultaneously pursue democracy, national self-determination, and economic globalization. Give too much power to governments, and you have protectionism. Give markets too much freedom, and you have an unstable world economy with little social and political support from those it is supposed to help. Rodrik argues for smart globalization, not maximum globalization.




Brexit Geographies


Book Description

This comprehensive volume explores the political, social, economic and geographical implications of Brexit within the context of an already divided UK state. It demonstrates how support for Brexit not only sharpened differences within England and between the separate nations comprising the UK state, but also reflected how austerity politics, against which the referendum was conducted, impacted differently, with north and south, urban and rural becoming embroiled in the Leave vote. This book explores how, as the process of negotiating the secession of the UK from the EU was to demonstrate, the seemingly intractable problem of the Irish border and the need to maintain a ‘soft border’ provided a continuing obstacle to a smooth transition. The authors in this book also explore various other profound questions that have been raised by Brexit; questions of citizenship, of belonging, of the probable impacts of Brexit for key economic sectors, including agriculture, and its meaning for gender politics. The book also brings to the forefront how the UK was geographically imagined – a new lexicon of ‘left behind places’, ‘citizens of somewhere’ and ‘citizens of nowhere’ conjuring up new imaginations of the spaces and places making up the UK. This book draws out the wider implications of Brexit for a refashioned geography. It was originally published as a special issue of the journal Space and Polity.