The Emergence of Countercyclical U.S. Fertility


Book Description

"Two conclusions can be drawn from this study. First, economic models of fertility behavior that emphasize the distinctions between income and price effects - what we have called male income and female wage effects - are successful in explaining not only important features of cross-sectional variations but also aggregate movements of U.S. fertility over time. Second, the model we propose successfully predicts both procyclical and countercyclical variations in fertility in a unified framework, across age groups, and over a long time span." : - p. 326.