Creating Fiscal Space for Poverty Reduction in Ecuador


Book Description

This publication reviews Ecuador's fiscal management and public expenditure policies in the context of its development and poverty reduction goals. Findings include that the country's impressive fiscal performance of 2003 is encouraging but fragile, as several structural bottlenecks could impede fiscal discipline and recovery. Reversing poverty trends is critical for the country's stability, and this can only be achieved with well-targeted, effective and efficient pro-poor programmes.
















Ecuador - Creating Fiscal Space for Poverty Reduction


Book Description

The report, a joint effort by the Bank, and the Inter-American Development Bank, seeks to provide the Ecuadorian authorities with a comprehensive account of both institutions' diagnoses and recommendations in the area of fiscal management and public expenditure. This report consists of two volumes. Volume I examines whether, and how, the core goals of public expenditure management, i.e., balanced fiscal aggregates, resource allocations to strategic sectors, and equity and microeconomic efficiency of public spending are met in Ecuador. Volume II presents sector studies on fiscal sustainability, the fiscal rules, education, health, pensions, water and sanitation, electricity, telecommunications, and oil, including the results of a national teachers tracking survey, as it concerns the education sector. It focuses on the main themes that are critical to Ecuador's fiscal consolidation and poverty reduction following dollarization. In most cases, it does provide choices for key policy questions, and, provides an independent analysis of the selected areas where both Banks are specifically involved, and a set of possible recommendations to address them. Volume I, in particular, correctly identifies fiscal vulnerabilities in the new context of dollarization, and proposes an adequate fiscal management that increases expenditure flexibility, develops budget management reform, increases public (social) investment, and brings transparency to public expenditure. All this is supported by an implicit proposal for a Fiscal Pact for Poverty Reduction. For its part, Volume II deals with sectoral policies and their link to fiscal management. It identifies the most efficient and cost-effective interventions in the social sectors, while making an optimal use of the reduced and available fiscal space. The study also recognizes the importance of political constraints, and the difficulties of setting steady rules in a non-cooperative game among national political actors that are particularly reflected in budget allocations. It correctly emphasizes the need to bring full transparency of information on the management of public accounts among all domestic actors, as a starting point for sectoral reform. The study should contribute to align fiscal and institutional policies in the social and basic infrastructure sectors, and to strengthen them in the context of the ongoing negotiations for a Free Trade Agreement with the United States, while preserving difficult domestic equilibria on...




Ecuador - Creating Fiscal Space for Poverty Reduction


Book Description

The report, a joint effort by the Bank, and the Inter-American Development Bank, seeks to provide the Ecuadorian authorities with a comprehensive account of both institutions' diagnoses and recommendations in the area of fiscal management and public expenditure. This report consists of two volumes. Volume I examines whether, and how, the core goals of public expenditure management, i.e., balanced fiscal aggregates, resource allocations to strategic sectors, and equity and microeconomic efficiency of public spending are met in Ecuador. Volume II presents sector studies on fiscal sustainability, the fiscal rules, education, health, pensions, water and sanitation, electricity, telecommunications, and oil, including the results of a national teachers tracking survey, as it concerns the education sector. It focuses on the main themes that are critical to Ecuador's fiscal consolidation and poverty reduction following dollarization. In most cases, it does provide choices for key policy questions, and, provides an independent analysis of the selected areas where both Banks are specifically involved, and a set of possible recommendations to address them. Volume I, in particular, correctly identifies fiscal vulnerabilities in the new context of dollarization, and proposes an adequate fiscal management that increases expenditure flexibility, develops budget management reform, increases public (social) investment, and brings transparency to public expenditure. All this is supported by an implicit proposal for a Fiscal Pact for Poverty Reduction. For its part, Volume II deals with sectoral policies and their link to fiscal management. It identifies the most efficient and cost-effective interventions in the social sectors, while making an optimal use of the reduced and available fiscal space. The study also recognizes the importance of political constraints, and the difficulties of setting steady rules in a non-cooperative game among national political actors that are particularly reflected in budget allocations. It correctly emphasizes the need to bring full transparency of information on the management of public accounts among all domestic actors, as a starting point for sectoral reform. The study should contribute to align fiscal and institutional policies in the social and basic infrastructure sectors, and to strengthen them in the context of the ongoing negotiations for a Free Trade Agreement with the United States, while preserving difficult domestic equilibria on...




Fiscal Policies and Increased Trade Openness


Book Description

This research quantifies the effects on poverty in Ecuador of bilateral trade liberalization with the U.S. and fiscal changes (value added tax and direct taxes) which seek to compensate tariff revenue losses, so that the government deficit remains constant. This is a very important issue for Ecuador because it adopted the U.S. dollar as its currency in 2000, forgoing the use of monetary and exchange rate policy instruments. This paper highlights labor market effects and fiscal policies as the main mechanisms through which trade impacts poverty. The paper combines a reduced-form micro household income and occupational choice model (using the 2005/6 Ecuadorian household survey) with a standard single-country computable general equilibrium model (employing a 2004 Social Accounting Matrix). A sequential approach that simulates the full income and distributional impact of trade and tax policies is followed. The impact of these policy changes on the economy is small. Indigence and in- come distribution effects are small but positive. There are mixed results on poverty. The best poverty reduction outcomes are attained when only direct taxes are used for making up tariff revenue losses and the worst when a flat VAT rate is employed, including the elimination of current VAT exemptions (mostly for agricultural goods). A key contribution of this research is to illustrate the significance for poverty of policy choices available to the government.




Public Policies for Human Development


Book Description

This book assesses financing strategies in Latin America and the Caribbean, in pursuance of the United Nations' millennium development goals (MDGs) and their achievement in 2015. It looks at how to make public policies more conducive to support sustained growth and reduce the still widespread poverty and inequality in the region




Revisiting Ecuador's Economic and Social Agenda in an Evolving Landscape


Book Description

Ecuadorian society has overcome adversity with great determination over the past few years. Periodic economic crises, external shocks, and even natural disasters tested the country's ability to cope with difficulties. Despite these challenges, the country has maintained a forward looking perspective and has achieved some important goals. Economic stability in the last few years has ushered in a period of sustained economic growth. During this period several development indicators have improved, and several sectors of the economy have demonstrated the dynamism and entrepreneurship that is present in the Ecuadorian culture. Revisiting Ecuador's Economic and Social Agenda in an Evolving Landscape aims to provoke a lively discussion between the World Bank, the new Correa administration, and the entire country, in addressing the unresolved issues that require a thoughtful approach.