Empirical Evidence on the Efficiency of Forward and Futures Foreign Exchange Markets


Book Description

This book presents a critical review of the empirical literature that studies the efficiency of the forward and futures markets for foreign exchange. It provides a useful foundation for research in developing quantitative measures of risk and expected return in international finance.




The Foreign Exchange Market


Book Description

The flotation of exchange rates in the early 1970s saw a significant increase in the importance of foreign exchange markets and in the interest shown in them. Apart from the consequent institutional changes, this period also witnessed a revolution in macroeconomic analysis and finance theory based on the concept of rational expectations. This book provides an integrated approach to recent developments in the understanding of foreign exchange markets. It begins by charting the institutional background and looks at the recent history of movements in some of the major exchange rates. The theoretical sections focus on the economic and finance theory of the asset market approach, the macroeconomic models developed from this approach, and on interest rate parity theory. The empirical chapters draw on the authors' own research from a high quality set of exchange rate and interest rate data. The statistical properties of exchange rates are analysed; the relationship between spot and forward rates is examined; and the modelling and impact of new information on the forward and spot relationship is considered. The final chapter is devoted to the estimation and testing of exchange rate models.




The Empirical Evidence on the Efficiency of Forward and Futures Foreign Exchange Markets


Book Description

This book presents a critical review of the empirical literature that studies the efficiency of the forward and futures markets for foreign exchange. It provides a useful foundation for research in developing quantitative measures of risk and expected return in international finance.










Exchange Rate Economics


Book Description

This important reference collection presents the leading papers on theoretical and empirical modelling of exchange rates. Volume I: Exchange Rate Determination: Theory and Evidence, consists of four sections. Section 1 contains 'groundwork' papers; these are essentially survey papers, which set the scene for much of the theoretical and empirical work presented in the volumes. Seminal papers relating to the theoretical determination of exchange rates are contained in Section 2, whilst the empirical evidence on such models is contained in Section 3. Volume I closes with a number of papers indicating the likely future development of research on the exchange rates. The papers in Volume II: Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency, are again grouped into four sections. The key papers from the efficiency of foreign exchange markets are presented in Section 1, with papers which seek to explain the oft-quoted finding of market inefficiency grouped in Section 2. Papers which seek to model the influence of new information on the exchange rate are contained in Section 3. The final section of the book contains papers on key international parity conditions, which are so central to exchange rate economics. As an introduction to both volumes, the editors have prepared a comprehensive literature survey. This survey places the papers contained in the volumes in the context of the exchange rate literature.




Exchange Rate Economics


Book Description

We survey the literature on the two main views of exchange rate determination that have evolved since the early 1970s: the monetary approach to the exchange rate (in flex-price, sticky-price and real interest differential formulations) and the portfolio balance approach. We then go on to discuss the extant empirical evidence on these models and conclude by discussing how the future research strategy in the area of exchange rate determination is likely to develop. We also discuss the literature on foreign exchange market efficiency, on exchange rates and ‘news’ and on international parity conditions.