Elements Of Stochastic Modelling (2nd Edition)


Book Description

This is the expanded second edition of a successful textbook that provides a broad introduction to important areas of stochastic modelling. The original text was developed from lecture notes for a one-semester course for third-year science and actuarial students at the University of Melbourne. It reviewed the basics of probability theory and then covered the following topics: Markov chains, Markov decision processes, jump Markov processes, elements of queueing theory, basic renewal theory, elements of time series and simulation.The present edition adds new chapters on elements of stochastic calculus and introductory mathematical finance that logically complement the topics chosen for the first edition. This makes the book suitable for a larger variety of university courses presenting the fundamentals of modern stochastic modelling. Instead of rigorous proofs we often give only sketches of the arguments, with indications as to why a particular result holds and also how it is related to other results, and illustrate them by examples. Wherever possible, the book includes references to more specialised texts on respective topics that contain both proofs and more advanced material.




Elements Of Stochastic Modelling (Third Edition)


Book Description

This is a thoroughly revised and expanded third edition of a successful university textbook that provides a broad introduction to key areas of stochastic modelling. The previous edition was developed from lecture notes for two one-semester courses for third-year science and actuarial students at the University of Melbourne.This book reviews the basics of probability theory and presents topics on Markov chains, Markov decision processes, jump Markov processes, elements of queueing theory, basic renewal theory, elements of time series and simulation. It also features elements of stochastic calculus and introductory mathematical finance. This makes the book suitable for a larger variety of university courses presenting the fundamentals of modern stochastic modelling.To make the text covering a lot of material more appealing and accessible to the reader, instead of rigorous proofs we often give only sketches of the arguments, with indications as to why a particular result holds and also how it is related to other results, and illustrate them by examples. It is in this aspect that the present, third edition differs from the second one: the included background material and argument sketches have been extended, made more graphical and informative. The whole text was reviewed and streamlined wherever possible to make the book more attractive and useful for readers. Where appropriate, the book includes references to more specialised texts on respective topics that contain both complete proofs and more advanced material.




Elements of Stochastic Modelling (Third Edition)


Book Description

This is a thoroughly revised and expanded third edition of a successful university textbook that provides a broad introduction to key areas of stochastic modelling. The original text was developed from lecture notes for a one-semester course for third-year science and actuarial students at the University of Melbourne.This book reviews the basics of probability theory and presents topics on Markov chains, Markov decision processes, jump Markov processes, elements of queueing theory, basic renewal theory, elements of time series and simulation. It also features elements of stochastic calculus and introductory mathematical finance. Thus enhancing the book's suitability for a larger variety of university courses presenting the fundamentals of modern stochastic modelling.To make the text covering a lot of material more appealing and accessible to the reader, instead of rigorous proofs we often give only sketches of the arguments, with indications as to why a particular result holds and also how it is related to other results, and illustrate them by examples. It is in this aspect that the present, third edition differs from the second one: the included background material and argument sketches have been extended, made more graphical and informative. The whole text was reviewed and streamlined wherever possible for it to be more attractive and useful for readers. Wherever possible, the book includes references to more specialised texts on respective topics that contain both proofs and more advanced material.




Introduction to Stochastic Models


Book Description

Newly revised by the author, this undergraduate-level text introduces the mathematical theory of probability and stochastic processes. Using both computer simulations and mathematical models of random events, it comprises numerous applications to the physical and biological sciences, engineering, and computer science. Subjects include sample spaces, probabilities distributions and expectations of random variables, conditional expectations, Markov chains, and the Poisson process. Additional topics encompass continuous-time stochastic processes, birth and death processes, steady-state probabilities, general queuing systems, and renewal processes. Each section features worked examples, and exercises appear at the end of each chapter, with numerical solutions at the back of the book. Suggestions for further reading in stochastic processes, simulation, and various applications also appear at the end.




An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling


Book Description

An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling provides information pertinent to the standard concepts and methods of stochastic modeling. This book presents the rich diversity of applications of stochastic processes in the sciences. Organized into nine chapters, this book begins with an overview of diverse types of stochastic models, which predicts a set of possible outcomes weighed by their likelihoods or probabilities. This text then provides exercises in the applications of simple stochastic analysis to appropriate problems. Other chapters consider the study of general functions of independent, identically distributed, nonnegative random variables representing the successive intervals between renewals. This book discusses as well the numerous examples of Markov branching processes that arise naturally in various scientific disciplines. The final chapter deals with queueing models, which aid the design process by predicting system performance. This book is a valuable resource for students of engineering and management science. Engineers will also find this book useful.




Elements of Applied Stochastic Processes


Book Description

This 3rd edition of the successful Elements of Applied Stochastic Processes improves on the last edition by condensing the material and organising it into a more teachable format. It provides more in-depth coverage of Markov chains and simple Markov process and gives added emphasis to statistical inference in stochastic processes. Integration of theory and application offers improved teachability Provides a comprehensive introduction to stationary processes and time series analysis Integrates a broad set of applications into the text Utilizes a wealth of examples from research papers and monographs




Elements Of Stochastic Dynamics


Book Description

Stochastic dynamics has been a subject of interest since the early 20th Century. Since then, much progress has been made in this field of study, and many modern applications for it have been found in fields such as physics, chemistry, biology, ecology, economy, finance, and many branches of engineering including Mechanical, Ocean, Civil, Bio, and Earthquake Engineering.Elements of Stochastic Dynamics aims to meet the growing need to understand and master the subject by introducing fundamentals to researchers who want to explore stochastic dynamics in their fields and serving as a textbook for graduate students in various areas involving stochastic uncertainties. All topics within are presented from an application approach, and may thus be more appealing to users without a background in pure Mathematics. The book describes the basic concepts and theories of random variables and stochastic processes in detail; provides various solution procedures for systems subjected to stochastic excitations; introduces stochastic stability and bifurcation; and explores failures of stochastic systems. The book also incorporates some latest research results in modeling stochastic processes; in reducing the system degrees of freedom; and in solving nonlinear problems. The book also provides numerical simulation procedures of widely-used random variables and stochastic processes.A large number of exercise problems are included in the book to aid the understanding of the concepts and theories, and may be used for as course homework.




Modeling and Analysis of Stochastic Systems Second Edition - Solutions Manual


Book Description

This practical and accessible text enables readers from engineering, business, operations research, public policy and computer science to analyze stochastic systems. Emphasizing the modeling of real-life situations with stochastic elements and analyzing the resulting stochastic model, it presents the major cases of useful stochastic processes-discrete and continuous time Markov chains, renewal processes, regenerative processes, and Markov regenerative processes. The author provides reader-friendly yet rigorous coverage. He follows a set pattern of development for each class of stochastic processes and introduces Markov chains before renewal processes, so that readers can begin modeling systems early. He demonstrates both numerical and analytical solution methods in detail and dedicates a separate chapter to queueing applications. Modeling and Analysis of Stochastic Systems includes numerous worked examples and exercises, conveniently categorized as modeling, computational, or conceptual and making difficult concepts easy to grasp. Taking a practical approach to working with stochastic models, this book helps readers to model and analyze the increasingly complex and interdependent systems made possible by recent advances.




Markov Processes for Stochastic Modeling


Book Description

Markov processes are processes that have limited memory. In particular, their dependence on the past is only through the previous state. They are used to model the behavior of many systems including communications systems, transportation networks, image segmentation and analysis, biological systems and DNA sequence analysis, random atomic motion and diffusion in physics, social mobility, population studies, epidemiology, animal and insect migration, queueing systems, resource management, dams, financial engineering, actuarial science, and decision systems. Covering a wide range of areas of application of Markov processes, this second edition is revised to highlight the most important aspects as well as the most recent trends and applications of Markov processes. The author spent over 16 years in the industry before returning to academia, and he has applied many of the principles covered in this book in multiple research projects. Therefore, this is an applications-oriented book that also includes enough theory to provide a solid ground in the subject for the reader. Presents both the theory and applications of the different aspects of Markov processes Includes numerous solved examples as well as detailed diagrams that make it easier to understand the principle being presented Discusses different applications of hidden Markov models, such as DNA sequence analysis and speech analysis.




Stochastic Modeling


Book Description

Three coherent parts form the material covered in this text, portions of which have not been widely covered in traditional textbooks. In this coverage the reader is quickly introduced to several different topics enriched with 175 exercises which focus on real-world problems. Exercises range from the classics of probability theory to more exotic research-oriented problems based on numerical simulations. Intended for graduate students in mathematics and applied sciences, the text provides the tools and training needed to write and use programs for research purposes. The first part of the text begins with a brief review of measure theory and revisits the main concepts of probability theory, from random variables to the standard limit theorems. The second part covers traditional material on stochastic processes, including martingales, discrete-time Markov chains, Poisson processes, and continuous-time Markov chains. The theory developed is illustrated by a variety of examples surrounding applications such as the gambler’s ruin chain, branching processes, symmetric random walks, and queueing systems. The third, more research-oriented part of the text, discusses special stochastic processes of interest in physics, biology, and sociology. Additional emphasis is placed on minimal models that have been used historically to develop new mathematical techniques in the field of stochastic processes: the logistic growth process, the Wright –Fisher model, Kingman’s coalescent, percolation models, the contact process, and the voter model. Further treatment of the material explains how these special processes are connected to each other from a modeling perspective as well as their simulation capabilities in C and MatlabTM.