Estimation of Bid-Ask Spread and Its Components in Indian Stock Market Using Trade Prices


Book Description

In the absence of order-book data and limited information on quoted bid-ask spreads in the Indian stock market, this paper attempts to analyze the bid-ask spread in Indian market by estimating bid-ask spreads and its components from trade prices. The sample consists of tick-by-tick data for the time period January 2002 through to October 2008 of 160 stocks traded on the National Stock Exchange of India. We estimate implied bid-ask spreads and its components (adverse selection costs; combined inventory and order processing costs) using theoretical models. We find that all the models used in the study produce consistent estimates of bid-ask spreads and its components. In the Indian Stock Market, we find that the adverse selection cost and the combined order-processing and inventory-holding cost each account for approximately 50 percent of the bid-ask spread. We also find that the estimated bid-ask spreads are approximately 80 percent of the quoted bid-ask spreads. In our sample period, we find that the relative bid-ask spreads have decreased over the years.







The Components of the Bid-Ask Spread


Book Description

We analyze the components of the bid-ask spread in the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE), which was recently characterized as a developed market. For 18 large and 13 medium capitalization stocks, we estimate the adverse selection and the order handling component of the spreads as well as the probability of a trade continuation on the same side of either the bid or the ask price, using the Madhavan et al. (1997) model. We extend it by incorporating the traded volume and we find that the adverse selection component exhibits U-shape patterns, while the cost component pattern depends on the stock price. For high priced stocks, the usual U-shape applies, while for low-priced ones, it is an increasing function of time, mainly due to the different magnitude of the order handling spread component. Our analysis shows that the order handling component dominates inventory effects, particularly in the first and last half hour of the trading day and hence we observe economies of scale in trading. Furthermore, the expected price change is higher in the low capitalization stocks, while the most liquid stocks are the high priced ones. Moreover, by estimating the Madhavan et al. (1997) model for two distinct periods we explain why there are differences in the components of the bid-ask spread.




Three Essays on the Cost Components of the Bid-ask Spread


Book Description

This dissertation consists of three interrelated essays. The first essay focuses on the adverse selection component of the bid-ask spread. A regime switching model applied to the trading process leads to a parsimonious model of the time-series evolution of the bid-ask spread in which market participants use trade data to answer the following question: Is there currently private information in the market for a given stock? If there is a high probability of private information in the market, this leads contemporaneously to a greater revision in beliefs about the true price. Together with compensation for transactions costs, this leads to a greater revision in transaction price. Using TSE 35 trade and quote data for March and May 1996, the pooled cross-section and time series results support this view. The second essay examines the costs of adverse information and order processing in light of transaction size, type of trader and type of trading method. Specifically, it is found that adverse selection increases with the trade size (consistent with numerous empirical studies relating trade size and the cost components of the bid-ask spread). However, whether the trade was undertaken by the designated market maker, by a principal trader or by an individual belonging to neither of these two categories is also of importance. In addition, we show that trades consummated within the investment dealer's firm have a lower adverse information cost component than trades executed externally. For order processing, it is found that the single most important determinant of cost is whether the transaction is internal or external to the investment dealer firm, with internal trades being more costly. The third essay examines the robustness of the Huang and Stoll (1997) model estimates to the use of different clustering methods and to a minimum quotation increment reduction (MQIR) on the Toronto Stock Exchange. We find that adequate reversal of trade flow is a necessary but not sufficient condition for model performance. We also find that model estimates are quite sensitive to the data clustering method selected. In addition, we show that this model fails to provide adequate cost component estimates of the spread in the post-MQIR period due to a fundamental change in market-maker behavior.










Determinants of the Components of Bid-Ask Spreads on Stocks


Book Description

In this paper we show that George, Kaul and Nimalendran's (GKN) estimators of the adverse selection and order processing cost components of the bid-ask spread are biased due to intertemporal variations in the bid-ask spread. We provide new estimators that correct this bias and that are applicable to individual securities, and estimate these cost components empirically using data on NYSE/AMEX stocks. As expected, our results indicate that on average adverse selection costs account for approximately 50 percent of the bid-ask spread, sharply higher than the estimates of 8-10 percent obtained by GKN for NASDAQ stocks and 21 percent that we obtain for NYSE/AMEX stocks using GKN's estimators. We then conduct cross-sectional regressions designed primarily to determine whether adverse selection costs vary across specialists after controlling for firm size and other factors. Consistent with previously-established hypotheses, we find that adverse-selection costs vary across specialists, and that this variation is related to the number of securities that the specialist handles.




Roll's Model of Bid Ask Spread


Book Description

This paper empirically studies the bid ask spread model as proposed by Richard Roll using the data from Bombay Stock Exchange (henceforth, BSE). The objective is to understand and determine whether the impact of various events like the abolition of Badla, introduction of Electronic Trading and Futures Trading in BSE, are sufficiently captured by Roll's model or not. The order processing cost model was taken into consideration for the three period event study, namely:i. Pre and post impact when the Badla was banned,ii. Introduction of Electronic trading in BSE, andiii. Commencement of futures trading in BSEAlthough the empirical findings presented here are those of the stocks which comprises the Sensex, but it gives a good picture of the market response as a whole as the volume of trading in the BSE is highly skewed in favor of the Sensex scripts.The results indicate that Roll's model does not fit the data very well. There is a large number of covariance of price change which is positive, which is contrary to the proposed model. The variation of the calculated spread is also significant on a month to month basis. Further research is needed to propose a theoretical framework for Indian stock market.




Determinants of Bid-Ask Spreads in Time-Series Analysis


Book Description

This study empirically examines the determinants of bid-ask spreads using a time series approach. Consistent with cross-sectional models in the literature, time-series analysis shows that bid-ask spreads for most ASX300 stocks exhibit a negative relationship with trading activity and a positive relationship with price volatility. Partitioning the stocks based on their market capitalisation, we find bid-ask spreads for smaller sized stocks are more sensitive to changes in trading activity and less sensitive to price volatility vis-a-vis high-valued stocks.




Forecasting Financial Markets in India


Book Description

Papers presented at the Forecasting Financial Markets in India, held at Kharagpur during 29-31 December 2008.