Export Led Growth Hypothesis Revisited


Book Description

Numerous studies in the literature have tried to test whether export causes economic growth or economic growth causes export growth. The statistical approach has been one of applying Granger or Sims causality test to data drawn from individual country. In order to increase the power of existing tests, in this paper we pool data from 61 developing countries over 1960-1999 period and employ panel unit root tests and panel cointegration technique to establish the long rrun relationship between exports and output. Cointegration receives support in a model in which export is the dependent variable.













Is the Export-led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Developing Countries?


Book Description

The export-led growth hypothesis (ELGH) postulates that export growth is one of the determinants of economic growth. This study tests the hypothesis by examining the economy of Costa Rica, using data going back to 1950. It found that although exports had a positive effect on growth, their impact was relatively. It thus challenges some of the empirical literature on ELGH and expresses doubts about using exports as a comprehensive development strategy.




Export-led Hypothesis


Book Description







On Exports and Economic Growth


Book Description




On the Causality Between Export Growth and GDP Growth


Book Description

Although conventional wisdom suggests that export growth contributes positively to economic growth, empirical studies on the causal links between exports and output have provided little support for the export-led growth hypothesis. This paper re-examines the direction of causation by handling properly two important issues in causality tests: the characteristics of the data, and the choice of optimal lags. The results of this study show that in a sample of thirty-two economies, the export-led growth hypothesis is supported by seventeen economies and is strongly supported by nine economies.