Author : Reuven Glick
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 494 pages
File Size : 32,31 MB
Release : 2001-04-23
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780521800204
The essays in this volume analyze causes of financial crises in emerging markets and different policy responses.
Author : Julia Lowell
Publisher : RAND Corporation
Page : 78 pages
File Size : 16,53 MB
Release : 1998
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN :
Explores why some financial crises appear to be contagious, and why some financial markets in emerging market countries appear to be vulnerable to contagion whereas others are not.
Author : Mr.F. Gulcin Ozkan
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 58 pages
File Size : 32,85 MB
Release : 2012-12-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1475518498
The recent global financial crisis was the first in recent history that was triggered by problems in the financial system of the mature economies. Existing work on financial crisis in emerging market countries, however, almost exclusively focus on the role of financial frictions in the domestic economy. In contrast, we propose a two-country DSGE model to investigate the transmission of a global financial crisis that originates from financial frictions in the rest of the world. We find that the scale of financial spillovers from the global to the domestic economy and trade openness are key determinants of the severity of the financial crisis for the domestic economy. Our results also suggest that the welfare ranking of alternative monetary policy regimes is determined by the degree of financial contagion, the degree of trade openness as well as the scale of foreign currency denominated debt in the domestic economy.
Author :
Publisher :
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 30,94 MB
Release : 1998
Category : Argentina
ISBN :
This study explores why some financial crises appear to be contagious, and why some financial markets in emerging market countries appear to be vulnerable to contagion while others are not. To begin, multicountry crisis episodes for the period January 1989 to August 1997 are identified and analyzed using statistical methods. Next, four informal models of contagion are developed and sets of indicators proposed. Finally, case studies are used to illustrate the usefulness of the models and indicators for explaining the experience of three countries with potentially contagious financial crises. This research was conducted within RAND's National Security Research Division (NSRD) which does work for the U.S. Department of Defense, for other U.S. government agencies, and for other sponsoring institutions.
Author : Mardi Dungey
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 232 pages
File Size : 30,85 MB
Release : 2011-01-07
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0199842604
Financial crises often transmit across geographical borders and different asset classes. Modeling these interactions is empirically challenging, and many of the proposed methods give different results when applied to the same data sets. In this book the authors set out their work on a general framework for modeling the transmission of financial crises using latent factor models. They show how their framework encompasses a number of other empirical contagion models and why the results between the models differ. The book builds a framework which begins from considering contagion in the bond markets during 1997-1998 across a number of countries, and culminates in a model which encompasses multiple assets across multiple countries through over a decade of crisis events from East Asia in 1997-1998 to the sub prime crisis during 2008. Program code to support implementation of similar models is available.
Author : Mr.Paul R. Masson
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 26 pages
File Size : 27,35 MB
Release : 1999-12-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1451857977
The paper surveys the types of models producing multiple equilibria in financial markets. It argues that such models are consistent with observed phenomena, such as the greater volatility of financial asset prices than of macroeconomic fundamentals. Alternative explanations are compared with the stylized facts concerning capital flows, portfolio shifts, and exchange rate crises. Implications for crisis prediction and prevention are then discussed.
Author : Stijn Claessens
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 461 pages
File Size : 14,60 MB
Release : 2013-04-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1475733143
No sooner had the Asian crisis broken out in 1997 than the witch-hunt started. With great indignation every Asian economy pointed fingers. They were innocent bystanders. The fundamental reason for the crisis was this or that - most prominently contagion - but also the decline in exports of the new commodities (high-tech goods), the steep rise of the dollar, speculators, etc. The prominent question, of course, is whether contagion could really have been the key factor and, if so, what are the channels and mechanisms through which it operated in such a powerful manner. The question is obvious because until 1997, Asia's economies were generally believed to be immensely successful, stable and well managed. This question is of great importance not only in understanding just what happened, but also in shaping policies. In a world of pure contagion, i.e. when innocent bystanders are caught up and trampled by events not of their making and when consequences go far beyond ordinary international shocks, countries will need to look for better protective policies in the future. In such a world, the international financial system will need to change in order to offer better preventive and reactive policy measures to help avoid, or at least contain, financial crises.
Author : Morris Goldstein
Publisher : Columbia University Press
Page : 150 pages
File Size : 13,86 MB
Release : 2000-06-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0881323047
The European currency crises of 1992-93, the Mexican crisis of 1994-95, and especially the Asian/global crisis of 1997-98, have all contributed to a heightened interest in the early warning signals of financial crises. This pathbreaking study presents a comprehensive battery of empirical tests on the performance of alternative early warning indicators for emerging-market economies that should prove useful in the construction of a more effective global warning system. Not only are the authors able to draw conclusions about which specific indicators have sent the most reliable early warning signals of currency and banking crises in emerging economies, they also test the out-of-sample performance of the model during the Asian crisis and find that it does a good job of identifying the most vulnerable economies. In addition, they show how the early warning system can be used to construct a "composite" crisis indicator to weigh the importance of alternative channels of cross-country "contagion" of crises, and to generate information about the recovery path from crises. This timely study comes on the eve of impending changes at the International Monetary Fund as that institution reexamines how it reacts to financial crises. Moreover, the study provides "... a wealth of valuable elements for anyone investigating and forecasting adverse developments in emerging markets as well as industrial countries," according to Ewoud Schuitemaker, vice president of the economics department at ABN AMRO Bank.
Author : Jonathan Batten
Publisher : Emerald Group Publishing
Page : 745 pages
File Size : 34,71 MB
Release : 2011-03-02
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0857247549
The Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2009 has highlighted the resilience of the financial markets and economies from the developing world. This title investigates and assesses the impact and response to the crisis from an emerging markets perspective including asset pricing, contagion, financial intermediation, market structure and regulation.
Author : Padma Desai
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 318 pages
File Size : 35,22 MB
Release : 2014-11-23
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0691164606
This book provides a sweeping, up-to-date, and boldly critical account of the financial crises that rocked East Asia and other parts of the world beginning with the collapse of the Thai baht in 1997. Retracing the story of Asia's "Crisis Five"--Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea, the Philippines, and Thailand--Padma Desai argues that the region's imprudently fast-paced opening to the free flow of capital was pushed by determined advocates, official and private, in the global economy's U.S.-led developed center. Turmoil ensued in these peripheral economies, the Russian ruble faltered, and Brazil was eventually hit. The inequitable center-periphery relationship also extended to the policy measures that the crisis-swept economies implemented under International Monetary Fund bailouts, which intensified the downturns induced by the panic-driven outflows of short-term capital. Financial Crisis, Contagion, and Containment examines crisis origin and resolution in a comparative perspective by combing empirical evidence from the most robust economies to the least. Why is the U.S. relatively successful at weathering economic ups and downs? Why is Japan stuck in policy paralysis? Why is the European Central Bank unable to achieve both inflation control and stable growth? How can emerging markets avoid turbulence amid free-flowing speculative capital from private lenders of the developed center? Engaging and nontechnical yet deeply insightful, this book appears at a time when the continuing turmoil in Argentina has revived policy debates for avoiding and addressing financial crises in emerging market economies.
