FX Funding Risks and Exchange Rate Volatility–Korea’s Case


Book Description

This paper examines how exchange rate volatility and Korean banks’ foreign exchange liquidity mismatches interacted with each other during the Global Financial Crisis, and whether the vulnerability stemming from this interaction has been reduced since then. Structural and cyclical changes after the crisis, including decreasing demand for currency hedges and the diversifying investor base for bonds, point to a possible weakening of the interaction mechanism; and we find evidences are strongly supportive of this.




FX Funding Risks and Exchange Rate Volatility–Korea’s Case


Book Description

This paper examines how exchange rate volatility and Korean banks’ foreign exchange liquidity mismatches interacted with each other during the Global Financial Crisis, and whether the vulnerability stemming from this interaction has been reduced since then. Structural and cyclical changes after the crisis, including decreasing demand for currency hedges and the diversifying investor base for bonds, point to a possible weakening of the interaction mechanism; and we find evidences are strongly supportive of this.




FX Funding Risks and Exchange Rate Volatility–Korea’s Case


Book Description

This paper examines how exchange rate volatility and Korean banks’ foreign exchange liquidity mismatches interacted with each other during the Global Financial Crisis, and whether the vulnerability stemming from this interaction has been reduced since then. Structural and cyclical changes after the crisis, including decreasing demand for currency hedges and the diversifying investor base for bonds, point to a possible weakening of the interaction mechanism; and we find evidences are strongly supportive of this.




FX Funding Risks and Exchange Rate Volatility - Korea's Case


Book Description

This paper examines how exchange rate volatility and Korean banks' foreign exchange liquidity mismatches interacted with each other during the Global Financial Crisis, and whether the vulnerability stemming from this interaction has been reduced since then. Structural and cyclical changes after the crisis, including decreasing demand for currency hedges and the diversifying investor base for bonds, point to a possible weakening of the interaction mechanism; and we find evidences are strongly supportive of this.










Effective FX-Hedge Policy Using Financial Market in Korea


Book Description

Since the global financial crisis, inflows and outflows of foreign capital increased greatly and this resulted in a higher volatility in exchange rates. In addition, many countries introduced quantitative easing in order to overcome the eurozone financial crisis and the global recession. The value of their national currency declined as a consequence and this triggered concerns for a potential global currency war.Korea has constantly been exposed to the risk of foreign exchange market as a small open economy with internationally inconvertible domestic currency. Korea always needs to be prepared for foreign exchange risks that ebb and flow with the conditions of the global economy.In this paper, authors analyzed the current state of Korean companies' foreign exchange hedging activities to find out whether such hedging is required, by calculating currency exposure of each company. They also examined other cases from around the world to find out the most efficient measure.In general, Korean firms do appear to be vulnerable to foreign exchange volatility. This is because of low awareness among companies regarding foreign exchange risk management and the fact that there are not enough derivatives that allow firms to hedge foreign exchange risks via financial markets. Also, there is the companies' lack of understanding about foreign exchange risk management methods.The fear of derivatives as a result of the KIKO affair keeps the companies from financial market as well. The foreign exchange risk insurance, which is the most frequently used exchange risk hedging product in Korea, is provided exclusively by the Korea Trade Insurance Corporation (Ksure). However, it does not fully meet the consumers' demands and was even taken off the market in times of crisis.







Geopolitical Risk on Stock Returns: Evidence from Inter-Korea Geopolitics


Book Description

We investigate how corporate stock returns respond to geopolitical risk in the case of South Korea, which has experienced large and unpredictable geopolitical swings that originate from North Korea. To do so, a monthly index of geopolitical risk from North Korea (the GPRNK index) is constructed using automated keyword searches in South Korean media. The GPRNK index, designed to capture both upside and downside risk, corroborates that geopolitical risk sharply increases with the occurrence of nuclear tests, missile launches, or military confrontations, and decreases significantly around the times of summit meetings or multilateral talks. Using firm-level data, we find that heightened geopolitical risk reduces stock returns, and that the reductions in stock returns are greater especially for large firms, firms with a higher share of domestic investors, and for firms with a higher ratio of fixed assets to total assets. These results suggest that international portfolio diversification and investment irreversibility are important channels through which geopolitical risk affects stock returns.




The Curious Case of the Yen as a Safe Haven Currency


Book Description

During risk-off episodes, the yen is a safe haven currency and on average appreciates against the U.S. dollar. We investigate the proximate causes of yen risk-off appreciations. We find that neither capital inflows nor expectations of the future monetary policy stance can explain the yen’s safe haven behavior. In contrast, we find evidence that changes in market participants’ risk perceptions trigger derivatives trading, which in turn lead to changes in the spot exchange rate without capital flows. Specifically, we find that risk-off episodes coincide with forward hedging and reduced net short positions or a buildup of net long positions in yen. These empirical findings suggest that offshore and complex financial transactions should be part of spillover analyses and that the effectiveness of capital flow management measures or monetary policy coordination to address excessive exchange rate volatility might be limited in certain cases.