Initial Return and Long-Run Performance of Initial Public Offerings in the Nairobi Stock Exchange


Book Description

Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) marks an important turning point in the life of a company. To the company as an entity, it provides access to public equity capital and so may lower the cost of funding the company's operations and investments. To the public, it provides an opportunity for investment in a liquid market. The objective of this study is to investigate the long-run performance of initial public offerings in Kenya for the period from 2002 to 2008. Data used in this study comes from Nairobi Stock Exchange (NSE) weekly share price.In addition, the study uses a theory on IPO introduced by Ritter (1991) which specifically deals with long-run performance of IPOs and why some IPO companies have substantial positive returns and others have substantial negative long-run buy-and-hold abnormal returns. To evaluate the short-run and long-run performance, this study approaches the problem by differentiating the abnormal return patterns using financial economic methodologies. The empirical findings suggest that the subsequent trading activities in the stock market are the most important factor for determining the future performance of an IPO. These activities are extensively engineered by some of the influential investors with big stake in the stock market. Thus, it is very hard to analyze the fundamental value of this stock market.Future researchers should concentrate on statistical analysis of the dependency of several independent variables. With an attempt to investigate whether the percentage of share sold, the uncertainty about the future value of the firm, the market index fluctuation, the size of firm, the political stability and the value of issue on the first day of trading significantly influence the initial returns.and the long-run performance of IPOs.The results from this study suggest that firms with a superior performance have the opportunity to appreciate in value and can raise additional capital whereas the poor performers do not get a second chance to sell shares to the public. This means that companies have to earn at least their cost of capital in order to receive confidence from the investors. Compared to other research, this study gives a theoretical and empirical background on the performance and the significant difference in short-run and long-run performance of IPOs. This finding offers new insights to both Academics and practitioners alike.




Initial Public Offerings: Findings and Theories


Book Description

Initial public offerings (IPOs) play a crucial role in allocating resources in market economies. Because of the enormous importance of IPOs, an understanding of how IPOs work is fundamental to an understanding of financial markets generally. Of particular interest is the puzzling existence of high initial returns to equity IPOs in the United States and other free-market economies. Audience: Designed for use by anyone wishing to perform further academic research in the area of IPOs and by those practitioners interested in IPOs as investment vehicles.




Initial Returns and Long-Run Performance of Private Equity-Backed Initial Public Offerings on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange


Book Description

This paper investigates the initial returns and long run performance of initial public offerings (IPO) using a sample of 38 private equity-backed IPOs and 68 non-private equity-backed IPOs in the period 1985-1998 on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange. We find that private equity-backed firms outperform non-private equity-backed firms. In tests using several comparable benchmarks, private equity-backed firms show less underpricing than non-private equity-backed firms, however the difference is not significant. The evidence suggests that private equity-backed IPOs do not significantly underperform over a three-year period, while non-private equity-backed IPOs do. This paper also provides initial evidence on the sources of underpricing and underperformance. Evidence is presented that the reputation of the lead manager and the age of the firm have a negative effect on the level of underpricing and that the sales growth rate has a significant positive effect on the long-run performance of IPOs.










Price Performance of Initial Public Offerings in Turkey


Book Description

Öz/Özet/İçindekiler CONTENTS TABLE OF CONTENTS vii LIST OF FIGURES x LIST OF TABLES xi 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1. Importance of IPOs as a Research Area 1 1.2. Purpose of the Study 2 2. LITERATURE REVIEW 5 2.1. Initial Performance of IPOs 5 2.1.1. Short Term Underpricing 5 2.1.2. Hot Issue Markets 7 2.2 Claims of Investor Irrationality 8 2.3. Alternative Equilibrium Explanations 10 2.3.1. Information Asymmetry Between Informed and Uninformed Investors 10 2.3.2. Partial Adjustment Hypothesis 11 2.3.3. Information Asymmetry Between the Underwriter and the Issuer 12 2.3.4. Monopsony Power Hypothesis 13 2.3.5. Signaling by Underwriter Reputation 13 2.3.6. Signaling by Choice of Offering Method 14 2.3.7. Underpricing as a Signal of Firm Quality 15 2.3.8. Signaling by the Amount of Equity Retained 16 2.3.9. Signaling by Third Party Certification 16 2.3.10. Implicit Insurance Hypothesis 17 2.3.11. Market Structure as a Source of Underpricing 19 2.4. International Evidence 20 3. DATA AND METHODOLOGY 23 3.1. Data and Data Collection Methods 23 3.2. Variables Used 24 3.2.1. Performance Variables 24 3.2.1.1. Raw Returns 25 3.2.1.2. Market Adjusted Returns 26 3.2.1.3. Market Adjusted Aftermarket Returns 27 3.2.2. Characteristic Variables 28 3.2.2.1. Market Related Characteristics 28 3.2.2.2. Issue Related Characteristics 28 3.2.2.3. Issuing Firm Characteristics 29 3.2.3.1. Underwriter Characteristics 30 3.3. Methodology 30 3.3.1. Documentation of Return Structures 30 3.3.2. Tests on the Presence of Abnormal Returns 31 3.3.3. Relationship Between Initial and Aftermarket Returns 32 3.3.4. Cross-sectional Differences in IPO Returns 32 3.3.5. Determinants of Initial Returns 33 4. RESULTS 35 4.1. Return Structures of IPOs 35 4.1.1. Raw Returns 35 4.1.2. Market Adjusted Returns 41 4.1.2.1. Excess-over-the market Appoach 41 4.1.2.2. Cross-sectional Regressions Method 45 4.1.3. Adjusted Aftermarket Returns 47 4.2. Relationship, Between Market Performance Masures 51 4.3. Characteristics of IPOs 54 4.3.1. Performance Variables 54 4.3.1.1. Initial Performance 54 4.3.1.2. Long Term Performance 54 4.3.2. Market Related Characteristics 55 4.3.2.1. Year of Issue 56 4.3.2.2. Indicators of Market Trend 57 4.3.2.3. Indicators of Market Volatility 58 4.3.3. Issue Related Characteristics 58 4.3.3.1. Real Offer Price 59 4.3.3.2. Place of Offer 59 4.3.3.3. Real Amount for Sale 59 4.3.3.4. Source of Equity Sold 60 4.3.3.5. Percentage of Equity Offered 60 4.3.3.6. Nature of the Issue 61 4.3.4. Issuing Firm Characteristics 61 4.3.4.1. Age at the Offer 63 4.3.4.2. Industry Classification 62 4.3.4.3. Number of Shareholders Be forethcIPO 63 4.3.5. Underwriter Characteristics 63 4:3.5.1. Identity of the Lead Underwriter 63 4.3.5.2. Number of Underwriters in an Offer 65 4.3.5.3. Relationship Between the Underw and Issuer 66 4. Cross-sectional Differences in IPO Returns 66 4.4.1. Market Related Characteristics 67 4.4.1.1. Year of Issue 67 4.4.1.1.1. Initial Returns 68 4.4.1.1.2. Adjusted After market Returns 70 4.4.1.2. Market Trend at the Time of IPO 75 4-4.2. Issue Related Characteristics 77 4.4.2.1. Nature of the Issue 77 4.4.2.2. Real Offer Price 81 4.4.2.3. Place of Offe 82 4.4.3. Issuing Firm Related Characteristics 84 4.4.4 Underwriter Characteristics 85 4.4.4.1. Identity of the Lead Underwriter 85 4.4.4.2. Number of Underwriters in an Offer 86 4.4.4.3. Relationship Between the Underwriter and Issuer 86 4.5. Determinants of Initial Returns 90 4.5.1. Total Sample 91 4.5.2. Excluding Initial Outliers 95 5. CONCLUSIONS 97 6. REFERENCES 101.




The Short and Long Term Performance of Initial Public Offerings in the Cyprus Stock Exchange


Book Description

This study examines the price performance of initial public offerings (IPOs) in the Cyprus Stock Exchange during the period 1999-2002. It investigates the difference between the IPOs listing price and their equilibrium market price through studying a sample of 75 new listed companies. Specifically, it examines the differences between the listing price of IPOs and their equilibrium market prices at the end of the first day, sixth, twelfth, twenty-fourth and thirty-sixth month. From the derived results it is evident that Cypriot IPOs have large positive initial returns, especially on the end of the first trading day. Long term results, not taking into account the first day returns, are much lower and in many cases even negative. Both these trends are in agreement with the outcomes of international empirical studies.The first day underpricing phenomenon forces to search for possible factors, which may have caused it. Different variables, used in similar international studies were used to do so. Our research shows that positive initial returns, amongst other factors, may have been affected by increase in the General Index of the Stock Exchange between the last day of public offerings' period and the first trading day (time lag), the reputation of the companies underwriters, the firms issue size and the companies history. It is also evident that our sample was affected by the extraordinary stock exchange conditions that prevailed during the specified period, which is examined. The intriguing Cyprus Stock Exchange behaviour is further examined by looking into its investment, parallel and alternative primary markets.







A Study on the Long-Run Performance of Initial Public Offerings in India


Book Description

This paper examines the long run performance of 438 initial public offerings in India that got listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange from 1992 to 2001. It further attempts to identify the factors explaining the long-run performance of IPO firms. The cumulative abnormal return at the end of fifth year is 184.64% which is very high in contrast with the returns observed in the developed countries. Substantial variations have been observed across firms belonging to different age groups and industries. Variations in performance of IPO firms is also evident when firms are segmented according to their initial returns, issue price and issue size. Initial returns, issue size and market conditions primarily explain variations in long run performance of Indian IPOs.