Inter-nation Conflict, Dyadic and Mediated: Case Studies of Egypt, Israel, and the United Nations at Five Points in Time (phase Two: October 28-november 25, 1956).


Book Description

This report represents an interim statement on research accomplished during the second phase of the study, covering the period 1 October 1965-30 September 1966. Chapter One of this report describes the historical background of the Suez crisis and carries the narrative through the entire five periods of this study. Nearly seventy-five thousand words of documents authored by top leaders in Egypt and Israel during periods two (28 October-10 November 1956) and three (11 November-25 November 1956) were content analyzed by the IBM 7090 computer. A preliminary report on these attitudinal data is presented in Chapter Two. The results of scaling action data for the period 25 October-25 November 1956 is reported in Chapter Three. A technique for scaling international events and for comparing the results of two or more situations is described in Chapter Four. Chapter Five reports on the content analysis program developed during the past year which resolves a number of difficulties previously existing. Chapter Six summarizes a theoretical study on a concept of major importance to our analysis of the Middle East crisis: hostility. (Author).










Inter-nation Conflict, Dyadic and Mediated: Case Studies of Egypt, Israel, and the United Nations at Five Points in Time. Phase Three: October 1-september 30, 1966


Book Description

The report represents an interim statement on the third phase of a study of Arab-Israeli conflict undertaken during the period October 1, 1966-September 30, 1967. Coding and keypunching of all documents for the 1956-57 period of the conflict were completed and content analysis was undertaken on the IBM 7090 computer. Further developments in scaling of action data were completed with the collaboration of two professional statisticians. Refinements were made in the computerized content analysis and steps undertaken to adapt the system for the IBM 360-67.
















Democracy and War


Book Description

Conventional wisdom in international relations maintains that democracies are only peaceful when encountering other democracies. Using a variety of social scientific methods of investigation ranging from statistical studies and laboratory experiments to case studies and computer simulations, Rousseau challenges this conventional wisdom by demonstrating that democracies are less likely to initiate violence at early stages of a dispute. Using multiple methods allows Rousseau to demonstrate that institutional constraints, rather than peaceful norms of conflict resolution, are responsible for inhibiting the quick resort to violence in democratic polities. Rousseau finds that conflicts evolve through successive stages and that the constraining power of participatory institutions can vary across these stages. Finally, he demonstrates how constraint within states encourages the rise of clusters of democratic states that resemble "zones of peace" within the anarchic international structure.