Irrelevant Elections?


Book Description

This book, the most elaborate survey of its kind ever carried out in Britain, examines the controversy surrounding the political and electoral basis for local government. Drawing on extensive interviews with 1100 electors in November 1985 and follow-up interviews with 745 of them just after the local elections of 1986, Miller documents the many factors influencing voter participation and choice in local elections, and their implications for the continued existence of elective local democracy.




The VP Advantage


Book Description

A widespread perception exists among political commentators, campaign operatives and presidential candidates that vice presidential (VP) running mates can deliver their home state's electoral votes in a presidential election. In recent elections, presidential campaigns have even changed their strategy in response to the perceived VP home state advantage. But is the advantage real? And could it decide a presidential election? In the most comprehensive analysis to date, Devine and Kopko demonstrate that the VP home state advantage is actually highly conditional and rarely decisive in the Electoral College. However, it could change the outcome of a presidential election under narrow but plausible conditions. Sophisticated in its methodology and rich in historical as well as contemporary insight, The VP Advantage is essential and accessible reading for anyone interested in understanding how running mates influence presidential elections.




Democracy for Realists


Book Description

Why our belief in government by the people is unrealistic—and what we can do about it Democracy for Realists assails the romantic folk-theory at the heart of contemporary thinking about democratic politics and government, and offers a provocative alternative view grounded in the actual human nature of democratic citizens. Christopher Achen and Larry Bartels deploy a wealth of social-scientific evidence, including ingenious original analyses of topics ranging from abortion politics and budget deficits to the Great Depression and shark attacks, to show that the familiar ideal of thoughtful citizens steering the ship of state from the voting booth is fundamentally misguided. They demonstrate that voters—even those who are well informed and politically engaged—mostly choose parties and candidates on the basis of social identities and partisan loyalties, not political issues. They also show that voters adjust their policy views and even their perceptions of basic matters of fact to match those loyalties. When parties are roughly evenly matched, elections often turn on irrelevant or misleading considerations such as economic spurts or downturns beyond the incumbents' control; the outcomes are essentially random. Thus, voters do not control the course of public policy, even indirectly. Achen and Bartels argue that democratic theory needs to be founded on identity groups and political parties, not on the preferences of individual voters. Now with new analysis of the 2016 elections, Democracy for Realists provides a powerful challenge to conventional thinking, pointing the way toward a fundamentally different understanding of the realities and potential of democratic government.




Stealing Elections


Book Description

"Butterfly ballots, balky machines, absentee ballot scandals, felons voting, Supreme Court intervention - all these made headlines during the infamous 2000 Florida recount. Could it happen again in this year's presidential election? The answer is yes, because not much has changed to improve our election systems, while both major parties are poised on a hair trigger to file lawsuits and challenge any close statewide vote. The issues may boil down to whether the margin of victory in any state exceeds the "margin of litigation."" "John Fund offers a guided tour of our error-prone election systems, which nearly half of Americans say they don't trust. When some states have systems so flawed that you can't tell where incompetence ends and possible fraud begins, it isn't surprising that scandals have ranged from rural Texas to big cities such as Milwaukee and St. Louis. Fund dissects some anomalies of Florida 2000 and analyzes the bitterly protracted election for governor of Washington State in 2004. He spotlights the perils of "provisional ballots," the flaws of the "Motor Voter" law that has allowed people to get absentee ballots for phantom voters, and the shady registration drives of the radical group ACORN. Meanwhile, the simple safeguard of a photo ID requirement meets vigorous opposition on the specious claim that it would disenfranchise poor and minority voters." "Stealing Elections presents a chilling portrait of electoral vulnerability, as a combination of bureaucratic bungling and ballot rigging put our democracy at risk."--BOOK JACKET.




Let the People Pick the President


Book Description

“Wegman combines in-depth historical analysis and insight into contemporary politics to present a cogent argument that the Electoral College violates America’s ‘core democratic principles’ and should be done away with..." —Publishers Weekly The framers of the Constitution battled over it. Lawmakers have tried to amend or abolish it more than 700 times. To this day, millions of voters, and even members of Congress, misunderstand how it works. It deepens our national divide and distorts the core democratic principles of political equality and majority rule. How can we tolerate the Electoral College when every vote does not count the same, and the candidate who gets the most votes can lose? Twice in the last five elections, the Electoral College has overridden the popular vote, calling the integrity of the entire system into question—and creating a false picture of a country divided into bright red and blue blocks when in fact we are purple from coast to coast. Even when the popular-vote winner becomes president, tens of millions of Americans—Republicans and Democrats alike—find that their votes didn't matter. And, with statewide winner-take-all rules, only a handful of battleground states ultimately decide who will become president. Now, as political passions reach a boiling point at the dawn of the 2020 race, the message from the American people is clear: The way we vote for the only official whose job it is to represent all Americans is neither fair nor just. Major reform is needed—now. Isn't it time to let the people pick the president? In this thoroughly researched and engaging call to arms, Supreme Court journalist and New York Times editorial board member Jesse Wegman draws upon the history of the founding era, as well as information gleaned from campaign managers, field directors, and other officials from twenty-first-century Democratic and Republican presidential campaigns, to make a powerful case for abolishing the antiquated and antidemocratic Electoral College. In Let the People Pick the President he shows how we can at long last make every vote in the United States count—and restore belief in our democratic system.




Elections Without Choice


Book Description




Decisions and Elections


Book Description

It is not uncommon to be frustrated by the outcome of an election or a decision in voting, law, economics, engineering, and other fields. Does this 'bad' result reflect poor data or poorly informed voters? Or does the disturbing conclusion reflect the choice of the decision/election procedure? Nobel Laureate Kenneth Arrow's famed theorem has been interpreted to mean 'no decision procedure is without flaws'. Similarly, Nobel Laureate Amartya Sen dashes hope for individual liberties by showing their incompatibility with societal needs. This highly accessible book offers a new, different interpretation and resolution of Arrow's and Sen's theorems. Using simple mathematics, it shows that these negative conclusions arise because, in each case, some of their assumptions negate other crucial assumptions. Once this is understood, not only do the conclusions become expected, but a wide class of other phenomena can also be anticipated.




Cardinal Voting


Book Description

Unlock the power of voting systems with "Cardinal Voting," part of the "Political Science" series. This book delves into cardinal voting—a revolutionary method where voters rate candidates, offering a new perspective on electoral fairness and decision-making. 1-Cardinal Voting-Learn the basics of cardinal voting, where voters use a numerical scale to express preferences, providing a richer view than traditional methods. 2-Approval Voting-Understand approval voting, where voters simply approve or disapprove of candidates, and its connection to cardinal voting for better accuracy. 3-Score Voting-Explore score voting, where candidates are rated, and its impact on elections compared to other systems. 4-Condorcet Paradox-Discover the Condorcet paradox and its effects on cardinal voting by highlighting voting system complexities. 5-Arrow's Impossibility Theorem-Analyze Arrow's theorem and its implications for designing effective cardinal voting systems. 6-Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives-Examine this key criterion affecting fairness in voting systems and its relevance to cardinal voting. 7-Gibbard–Satterthwaite Theorem-Understand this theorem’s insights into strategic voting and its limitations within cardinal voting. 8-Bucklin Voting-Learn about Bucklin voting, blending ranked and cardinal voting elements, and its decision-making impact. 9-Majority Criterion-Review the majority criterion’s role in ensuring cardinal voting reflects true majority preferences. 10-Positional Voting-Compare positional and cardinal voting systems, and see how each affects electoral outcomes. 11-Strategic Voting-Investigate strategic voting and its impact on the integrity of cardinal voting systems. 12-Allan Gibbard-Explore Allan Gibbard’s contributions to voting theory and their influence on cardinal voting. 13-Social Choice and Individual Values-Examine the link between social choice theory and individual preferences in cardinal voting. 14-Later-no-harm Criterion-Understand how this criterion preserves voter preferences in cardinal voting systems. 15-Majority Judgment-Consider majority judgment as an alternative to cardinal voting and its potential benefits. 16-Ranked Voting-Compare ranked voting with cardinal voting to evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of each. 17-Comparison of Electoral Systems-Get a detailed comparison of electoral systems and the unique benefits of cardinal voting. 18-Gibbard's Theorem-Revisit Gibbard’s theorem and its effect on strategic behavior in cardinal voting. 19-Combined Approval Voting-Explore combined approval voting and its integration with cardinal voting principles. 20-Highest Median Voting Rules-Understand highest median voting rules and their role in cardinal voting. 21-Usual Judgment-Learn about usual judgment and its impact on electoral outcomes alongside cardinal voting. "Cardinal Voting" offers deep insights into electoral systems, bridging theory with practical application. Elevate your understanding of voting systems today.




Fundamentally Flawed


Book Description

How are the electoral procedures used in presidential nomination campaigns? Haskell provides an overview of the historical developments that led to the presidential nomination process and analyzes the basic elements of public choice analysis as they apply to nomination campaigns. The book serves as a basic text and an introduction to the study of the nomination process as a method of public choice. Haskell argues that the current arrangements in the presidential nomination process are deeply flawed and offers a set of reforms to the existing system, including using approval voting in the earliest primaries and diminishing the effect of frontloading primaries. Fundamentally Flawed will interest scholars and students of American government, political parties, the presidency, and campaigns and elections.




Forecasting Presidential Elections


Book Description

Describes a method for analyzing the forces that influence election results and predicting the outcome of elections for the president of the United States