Is South Africa Receiving More than Its Fair Share of Portfolio Flows?


Book Description

This paper develops an empirical model of the drivers of portfolio flows, and concludes that South Africa has indeed received greater bond flows than can be explained by macroeconomic fundamentals. Bond flows in the four quarters through 2010:Q3 not only exceeded the average over the past 10 years, but also deviated significantly from the amount implied by explanatory variables, including the fiscal balance, the difference between the country's and world GDP growth rates and a summary indicator of external vulnerabilities. Some capital market factors specific to South Africa irrelevant to macro variables, such as size of capital market, which are reflected in remarkably high fixed effect compared to other emerging countries, have contributed to attracting equity flow.




Exchange Rate Flexibility and Credit during Capital Inflow Reversals


Book Description

We document the behavior of macro and credit variables during episodes of capital inflows reversals in economies with different degrees of exchange rate flexibility. We find that exchange rate flexibility is associated with milder credit growth during the boom but, even though smaller than in more rigid regimes, it cannot shield the economy from a credit reversal. Furthermore, we observe what we dub as a recovery puzzle: credit growth in economies with more flexible exchange rate regimes remains tepid well after the capital flow reversal takes place. This results stress the complementarity of macro-prudential policies with the exchange rate regime. More flexible regimes could help smoothing the credit cycle through capital surchages and dynamic provisioning that build buffers to counteract the credit recovery puzzle. In contrast, more rigid exchange rate regimes would benefit the most from measures to contain excessive credit growth during booms, such as reserve requirements, loan-to-income ratios, and debt-to-income and debt-service-to-income limits.




South Africa: Macro Policy Mix and Its Effects on Growth and the Real Exchange Rate--Empirical Evidence and GIMF Simulations


Book Description

This paper examines whether a mix of tighter fiscal policy, looser monetary policy, and greater reserve build-up would increase growth and depreciate the rand in real terms. The experience of South Africa over the last twenty years is looked at using a number of econometric techniques that control for the external environment.




Global Development Finance 2003


Book Description

This publication is the World Bank's annual review of recent trends in and prospects for financial flows to developing countries. It also contains the Bank's projections of the global outlook in light of current global geopolitical uncertainties. It describes a fundamental shift that has occurred in the pattern of private sector financial flows to developing countries. Debt flows have fallen sharply, while equity flows have remained comparatively robust. This shift from debt to equity should diminish the volatility of developing countries' external finance and improve their access to technology, markets, and management expertise. Recovery though has been weak due to broader geopolitical and financial market uncertainties.




South Africa: 2011 Article IV Consultation - Staff Report; Staff Supplement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for South Africa


Book Description

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.




The Millionaire Portfolio


Book Description

Magliolo's tried and tested trading strategies outlined in The Millionaire Portfolio will give even the absolute novice investor, with little capital, the skills to set up and maintain an efficient and profitable portfolio. Investment success need not be guess work or mere luck. This accessible guide explains clearly how the stock market works and makes sense of a complex mystical-like maze of issues affecting investment decisions. There are practical tips on identifying winners, evaluating risk and knowing when to sell. Various investment strategies are discussed to suit the needs of different individuals. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, the principles and strategies in this book will help you to make wise and profitable investment decisions.




Civil Society Organizations and the Global Response to HIV/AIDS


Book Description

Why has the response to HIV/AIDS been unique? How did civil society organizations gain access to global decision-making forums to demand exceptional attention and resources for HIV/AIDS? This book seeks to answer these questions, among others, through a critical international relations approach that enquires into the role of civil society in global health governance. It documents how civil society forged the initial response to HIV/AIDS within a rights-based paradigm, and built international networks. It analyses why civil society was able to gain the right to participate in global health institutions and assesses what influence civil society representatives have within these institutions, particularly focusing on outcomes related to institutional legitimacy and downward accountability. It then discusses changes in the broader political economy of global health and how HIV/AIDS organizations have, or have not, adapted to these shifts. Finally the book tells the story of the many struggles civil society organizations have engaged in to advance a rights-based response to HIV/AIDS, the transformations achieved and the resistance experienced.




Gentlemanly Capitalism and British Imperialism


Book Description

The publication by Longman of P J Cain and A.G. Hopkins two-volume study of "British Imperialism" (1688-1914; 1914-1994) caused a sensation amongst historians of European imperialism and economic international history. The theory of `gentlemanly capitalism' - the complex of economic, social and political power centring on the City of London - which they developed to explain Britain's imperial expansion has since been expanded , both in its original theory and its implications. Here now is a purpose-built volume prepared in collaboration with the original authors which reviews the latest state of scholarship in the field and develops it further.




Global Diasporas and Development


Book Description

​This volume discusses how diasporas have evolved and engaged in economic, social and cultural domains of their host and home countries across the globe. The volume is divided into six parts: Issues, Challenges and Development Experiences; Diaspora Finance and Economic Development; Knowledge Transfer and Diasporas; The Politics of Inclusion and Exclusion; Gender and Diasporas; and Representation in Film, Theatre and Literature. It is truly a global representation of diasporic engagement. Its contributions come from experts in various disciplines across the globe, and the chapters cover socioeconomic, policy-related and cultural elements in countries as far apart as New Zealand and Zimbabwe. The contributors discuss major issues related to local communities' engagement with the diaspora and diaspora--home relations in Africa, West Asia, South and South-east Asia, Australia and New Zealand, China, and the USA, providing a panoramic view of diasporic flows in the twenty-first century. The interdisciplinary thrust of the volume, together with its global focus, makes this volume useful to researchers, academics and experts from the social sciences, population sciences and development studies, as also to analysts and policymakers across the world.




Private Finance for Development


Book Description

The Covid-19 pandemic has aggravated the tension between large development needs in infrastructure and scarce public resources. To alleviate this tension and promote a strong and job-rich recovery from the crisis, Africa needs to mobilize more financing from and to the private sector.