Author : Brian J. L. Berry
Publisher : Johns Hopkins University Press
Page : 256 pages
File Size : 43,53 MB
Release : 1991-01-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780801840364
Is economic development a "random walk" or do underlying rhythms and cycles make it possible to anticipate long-term trends? After extensive analysis of economic data, distinguished scholar Brian J. L. Berry has found new evidence for the reliability--and the value--of "long-wave" theory.
Author : J.J. Van Duijn
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 254 pages
File Size : 36,41 MB
Release : 2013-11-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1136599878
Of all fluctuations in economic activity, the long wave or Kondratieff cycle is easily the most puzzling and least understood one. Does it really exist, and if so, is it only a cycle in prices or a cycle in economic activity at large? What causes it, and has it been confined to Europe or does it affect the world economy as a whole? These questions, which seemed of little relevance in the prosperous years of the postwar growth era, have gained new importance since 1973. With the downturn of the long wave, interest in it has enjoyed a revival, as it did in the 1930s. A great number of publications on the long wave have appeared since 1973, many of which have added to our insight of what causes the recurrent alternations of growth acceleration and retardation. This book is the first in the English language in which all important long wave theories, old as well as recent, are brought together. It focuses on the long wave as an international phenomenon, affecting all industrialised countries. It contains new theory as well as empirical evidence and in the final section suggests a number of policy recommendations to generate innovation. This book offers an interpretation of long-term economic development different from those commonly found in the literature. It will be of interest to students and scholars of the economics of growth and change, as well as to economic historians and policy-makers. This book was first published in 1983.
Author : Nikolai D. Kondratieff
Publisher : Ravenio Books
Page : 32 pages
File Size : 29,1 MB
Release :
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN :
THE idea that the dynamics of economic life in the capitalistic social order is not of a simple and linear but rather of a complex and cyclical character is nowadays generally recognized. Science, however, has fallen far short of clarifying the nature and the types of these cyclical, wave-like movements. When in economics we speak of cycles, we generally mean seven to eleven year business cycles. But these seven to eleven year movements are obviously not the only type of economic cycles. The dynamics of economic life is in reality more complicated. In addition to the above-mentioned cycles, which we shall agree to call “intermediate,” the existence of still shorter waves of about three and one-half years’ length has recently been shown to be probable. But that is not all. There is, indeed, reason to assume the existence of long waves of an average length of about 50 years in the capitalistic economy, a fact which still further complicates the problem of economic dynamics.
Author : Alfred Klienknecht
Publisher : Springer
Page : 355 pages
File Size : 37,66 MB
Release : 1993-02-12
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1349224502
This book presents new methods for the analysis of time series and the identification of long waves. In Part One it is shown that new time series analyses confirm the existence of Kondratieff long waves in economic growth for the 19th and 20th centuries. Part Two presents evidence on long waves in aggregate profit rates for selected major industrialized countries. Part Three covers theoretical discussions and attempts at modeling social, economic and technological factors in long waves.
Author : Christopher Freeman
Publisher : Westport, Conn. : Greenwood Press
Page : 240 pages
File Size : 23,40 MB
Release : 1982
Category : Economic development
ISBN :
Study on interrelations among unemployment, innovations, business cycles and economic development - discusses the theoretical background, clustering of inventions and innovations (partic. Electronics industry), historical and current trends (1870-1980) and long term fluctuations in research and development, investment, economic growth, economic structure and employment creation, etc.; stresses the need for well-conceived economic policies to simultaneously promote technological change and combat unemployment and inflation. Graphs and references.
Author : Tibor Vasko
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 439 pages
File Size : 44,24 MB
Release : 2013-03-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 3662103516
The proceedings reflect the state-of-the-art of long-term fluctuations in economic growth as well as discussing promising areas of research in this field. The unique combination of participants from East and West (including the People's Republic of China) is a guarantee for wide coverage and unusual insights. The problems treated range from the identification of long-term fluctuations in developing and developed countries in both East and West to their relationship to important economic variables (profit, prices, money supply). Particular attention is focused on structural changes and the role of technological development in the light of the long-term fluctuation concept. It is interesting to follow the treatment of this issue by scientists with different orientations. The role of financial and monetary variables is also analyzed by leading researchers in the field.
Author : Николай Дмитриевич Кондратьев
Publisher : [New York] : Richardson & Snyder
Page : 160 pages
File Size : 48,6 MB
Release : 1984
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN :
Author : Ernest Mandel
Publisher : Verso
Page : 188 pages
File Size : 46,63 MB
Release : 1995-06-17
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781859840375
Provides an in-depth explanation of the underlying determinants of trade cycles and the essential political and other extraeconommic factors that are required for the timing of the all-important upswing. Ernest Mandel is the author of "The Formation of the
Author : Leo Nefiodow
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Page : 252 pages
File Size : 20,23 MB
Release : 2017-04-19
Category :
ISBN : 9781545485149
What are the major new growth markets of the future? Why do groundbreaking innovations - like the computer, the automobile or the steam engine in the past - increasingly fail to materialize? What are the current growth barriers that hinder the further development of economy and society? The reader will find answers to these questions in this book. The Theory of Long Waves serves as a scientific foundation. In short, it states that economic and social development is significantly determined by periodic cycles that last between 40 and 60 years. In honor of their discoverer Nikolai Kondratieff, these long waves are called Kondratieff cycles. Since the late 18th century, economists have empirically proven five Kondratieff cycles. The long waves have a particularly strategic role: those, who identify the respective current Kondratieff cycle early on are able to focus on the future, to take the lead in economic and social development and benefit the most from its momentum - just like the leading command of information technology during the last, the fifth Kondratieff cycle made full employment and increasing wealth possible for these countries. The sixth Kondratieff cycle has begun with the turn of this century. As the analyses in this book show, health care will be the driving force of this new Kondratieff cycle. However, health is not just seen in a physical, but also in a holistic sense, encompassing the physical, psychological, mental, psycho-mental, social, ecological and spiritual aspects. Why are health expenditures that were previously considered a mere cost factor going to assume the role of a growth locomotive in the future? We need to recall the findings of modern growth theory here: the most important source for economic growth in developed countries is productivity advancements. The analyses in this book show that a new understanding of health is indispensable to improve productivity on all levels of the economy and society. Thanks to this new understanding, health will become a strategic weapon for the next decades. This book is tailored to a general audience, includes 76 graphics and 13 tables and is aimed at stakeholders in economy and society, experts and managers and all those, who are interested in the future. Aside from a profound analysis, the book also describes measures to develop the sixth Kondratieff.
Author : John Sterman
Publisher : Franklin Classics
Page : 64 pages
File Size : 50,4 MB
Release : 2018-10-15
Category :
ISBN : 9780343311230
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