Models to Estimate Risk to Pedestrians at Signalized Intersections


Book Description

Presently there is no common method or measure to estimate the pedestrian crashes at intersections. Consequently the total number of pedestrian crashes at an intersection depends on pedestrian exposure or activity at the intersections. In general, pedestrian activity at a signalized intersection depends on the land use characteristics, demographic characteristics (population, household units), socio-economic characteristics (mean income, total employment), road network characteristics (average speed, number of approaches, number of lanes, presence of median), land use characteristics ( single family residential area, urban commercial residential area, commercial center area) and accessibility to public transit systems. These characteristics could be used as explanatory variables to estimate risk to pedestrian at a signalized intersection. The focus of this paper is to study the relationship between pedestrian crashes and explanatory variables, and develop models to estimate risk to pedestrians at signalized intersections. Data collected for 176 signalized intersections in the City of Charlotte, North Carolina are used to study the relationship and develop models using generalized linear models based on negative binomial analysis distribution. The number of pedestrian crashes at each signalized intersection is considered as the dependent variable and the land use characteristics, demographic characteristics, socio-economic characteristics, road network characteristics, number of transit stops and other explanatory variables are considered as the independent variables. The models developed could be proactively used to estimate risk to pedestrians and could be helpful in identifying suitable countermeasures to improve pedestrian safety at signalized intersections.




Models to Estimate Risk at Intersections


Book Description

The prime objective of this thesis is to develop models to estimate the crash occurrence and risk at intersections. Data collected at 150 intersections in the City of Charlotte, North Carolina are used in the development of models. Factors such as demographic (population and households), socio-economic (income, employment), networking (number of lanes, speed limit, signalized or not, skewed, number of left turn and right turn lanes and traffic volumes) and land use (commercial, residential) characteristics at each intersection were considered as independent variables. The numbers of crashes at each intersection was used as a dependent variable. Generalized linear models were then developed to estimate risk at intersections. These models provide valuable insights on characteristics that contribute to crashes at intersection. They could be used by practitioners to estimate potential risk at new intersections and at intersections near new developments so as to proactively apply appropriate treatments.










Traffic Monitoring Guide


Book Description




Use of Traffic Conflicts to Estimate Vehicle-pedestrian Safety at Signalized Intersections


Book Description

Understanding how vehicle drivers and pedestrians interact is key to identifying countermeasures that improve the safety of the interactions. As a result, techniques that can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of traffic control device-based safety countermeasures without the need to wait for the availability of crash data are needed. Using video data, the interactions between right-turning vehicles and conflicting pedestrians were documented for sites with a permissive circular green indication or a flashing yellow arrow (FYA) permissive right turn indication and quantified using vehicle and pedestrian position timestamps. Multiple non-probabilistic linear regression models were created to describe the relationship between the position of the pedestrian within the crosswalk and the time for a right turning vehicle maneuver to be completed. Given the nature of the models output, a Pedestrian Respect Indicator (PRI) is introduced as an indicator of the safety of vehicle-pedestrian interactions. The higher the PRI, the more "respect" towards pedestrians. Surrogate safety measures (SSMs) have allowed to step away from traditional approach and analyze safety performance without relying on crash records. In recent years, the use of surrogate measures to estimate crash probabilities with extreme value theory (EVT) models has been an alternative approach to its use as aggregate crash frequency predictors. Univariate and bivariate extreme value theory models were developed using the block maxima (BM) approach and the peak over threshold (POT) approach. In addition, Bayesian hierarchical models were developed for each approach. Using the resulting estimates, the number of crashes was estimated for each model. The estimated crashes from the Bayesian hierarchical models were closer to the observed number of crashes than those from other models. Time to complete a turn produced better fit models indicating that the time to complete a turn is a good representation of traffic interactions. Obtaining SSMs from video data requires complex processing and large video data sizes. A software-based framework to estimate SSMs, such as PET and time-to-collision (TTC) values between right-turn-on-red (RTOR) and through vehicles was proposed and it demonstrated the feasibility of using vehicle trajectories obtained from existing radar-based vehicle detection systems to calculate such measures.







Spatial Factors Impacting Non-motorized Exposures and Crash Risks


Book Description

This research investigates spatial factors, that impact non-motorized exposures and crashes, and examines the relationship between exposure at signalized intersections and crash frequencies involving pedestrians and bicycles at a census tract level. The four Michigan cities of Ann Arbor, East Lansing, Flint and Grand Rapids are examined. After completing an extensive literature review to provide a list of required data, 92 intersections are selected from the four cities to collect pedestrian and bicyclist counts. Five year crash records, special attractions, non-motorized facilities and transportation infrastructure data for the four cities are gathered for the four cities. This data are later mapped and processed by ArcGIS for further analyses. Buffer zones are produced at signalized intersections (quarter miles for pedestrians and half miles for bicycles) to create log-linear models to estimate and verify the number of pedestrians and bicycles. Next, negative binomial models are developed to predict non-motorized crashes at a census tract level to identify influential and correlation factors of crashes with exposure. The results show a correlation between exposure and crashes. They also indicate that land use, certain age groups, income, home based work mode choice, access points, public transportation and special attractions have an influence on non motorized exposure and crashes. Based on these findings, the importance of selection of appropriate crash risk measures is discussed.




Smart Trajectories


Book Description

This book highlights the developments, discoveries, and practical and advanced experiences related to responsive distributed computing and how it can support the deployment of trajectory-based applications in smart systems. Smart Trajectories: Metamodeling, Reactive Architecture for Analytics and Smart Applications deals with the representation and manipulation of smart trajectories in various applications and scenarios. Presented in three parts, the book first discusses the foundation and principles for spatial information systems, complex event processing, and building a reactive architecture. Next, the book discusses modeling and architecture in relation to smart trajectory metamodeling, mining and big trajectory data, and clustering trajectories. The final section discusses advanced applications and trends in the field, including congestion trajectory analytics and real-time Big Data analytics in cloud ecosystems. Metamodeling, distributed architectures, reactive programming, Big Data analytics, NoSQL databases, connected objects, and edge-fog-cloud computing form the basis of the concepts and applications discussed. The book also presents a number of case studies to demonstrate smart trajectories related to spatiotemporal events such as traffic congestion and pedestrian accidents. This book is intended for graduate students in computer engineering, spatial databases, complex event processing, distributed systems, and geographical information systems (GIS). The book will also be useful for practicing traffic engineers, city managers, and environmental engineers interested in monitoring and security analysis.




Models of Pedestrian Crossing Behavior at Signalized Intersections


Book Description

This report focuses on the crossing behavior of pedestrians at traffic signalised intersections. Since a non-compliant pedestrian attempting to cross on a "don't walk" phase looks for gaps in the traffic stream, the gap-acceptance theory is used to model the crossing maneuver. An inconsistent behavior model is assumed wherein the critical gap is treated as a random quantity varying both within and across individuals. On-site surveys were conducted to obtain information on the behavior using a video recording technique