Predicting 3rd Grade and 10th Grade FCAT Success for 2007-08. Research Brief


Book Description

For the past few years the Florida School Code has set the Florida Comprehensive Assessment Test (FCAT) performance requirements for promotion of 3rd graders and graduation for 10 graders. Grade 3 students who do not score at level 2 or higher on the FCAT SSS Reading must be retained unless exempted for special circumstances. Grade 10 students must earn a passing score of 300 or higher in reading and mathematics to qualify for a standard diploma. Many of our students are at risk of not meeting these requirements and having their academic progress interrupted. Clearly, any help in predicting which students may be in jeopardy of not passing the FCAT would help in providing targeted academic remediation to the students most in need. The service of providing predictions has been very well received by school sites and has proved useful in identifying and prioritizing those students needing additional attention. This research brief is a continuation of that annual service. [For the 2006-07 edition of this report, see ED538075.].




Predicting 3rd Grade and 10th Grade FCAT Success for 2006-07. Research Brief


Book Description

For the past few years the Florida School Code has set the Florida Comprehensive Assessment Test (FCAT) performance requirements for promotion of 3rd graders and graduation for 10th graders. Grade 3 students who do not score at level 2 or higher on the FCAT SSS Reading must be retained unless exempted for special circumstances. Grade 10 students must earn a passing score of 300 or higher in reading and mathematics to qualify for a standard diploma. Many of our students are at risk of not meeting these requirements and having their academic progress interrupted. Clearly, any help in predicting which students may be in jeopardy of not passing the FCAT would help in providing targeted academic remediation to the students most in need. The service of providing predictions has been very well received by schools sites and has proved useful in identifying and prioritizing those students needing additional attention. This research brief is a continuation of that annual service.




An Early Warning System


Book Description

This Research Brief presents a method for predicting 10th grade Florida Comprehensive Assessment Test (FCAT) success from 6th grade FCAT performance. A simple equation provides the most probable single score prediction, and give-or-take error margins define high and low probability zones for expected 10th grade scores. In addition, a double-entry table provides estimates of the probability of success on both the Reading and Mathematics tests in 10th grade. The procedures are presented in an extended analogy to weather predictions.




Predicting 10th Grade FCAT Success. Research Brief


Book Description

Florida law requires that students achieve a passing score on the Grade 10 Florida Comprehensive Assessment Test (FCAT) to qualify for a standard high school diploma (Section 1008.22(3)(c)5, Florida Statutes). Students who were administered the Grade 10 FCAT for the first time during the 2002 administrations or later must earn a developmental score of 1926 (SSS passing score of 300) or higher in reading and 1889 (300) or higher for mathematics. Among students taking the 10th Grade FCAT for the first time in 2004, 53% did not achieve passing scores in reading, and 29% did not achieve passing scores in mathematics. Although students are granted many opportunities to retake the tests, any early identification of students in jeopardy of not passing the 10th Grade tests would be a welcome contribution to providing targeted academic remediation to the students most in need. This study addresses an approach to the early identification of students who may be at risk of scoring below the passing score of 300 on their 10th grade FCAT Reading and Mathematics Tests. The two prediction equations in this study each utilize a single predictor: the student's score on the 9th grade FCAT Reading and Mathematics Tests, respectively.




Predicting FCAT Science Scores 2007-08. Research Brief


Book Description

Although students have been taking the Florida Comprehensive Assessment Test (FCAT) Science test for a few years, the State included the performance on the Science test in the school grade calculations for the first time in 2006-07. Although no official guidelines exist presently, the Science scores may also be incorporated in the NCLB Adequately Yearly Progress requirements in the near future. With the growing importance of the Science test, it becomes increasingly desirable to have some way of predicting the performance of students. In other FCAT testing areas, prediction formulas and cutoff scores for success have been developed by this office and made available to schools for several years. However, because the Science test is relatively new and because it is administered in only Grades 5, 8, and 11, prediction for this test must proceed along different lines. This paper presents the results of an analysis directed toward predicting students' Science scores based on their performance on the FCAT Mathematics test of the previous year. [For the 2006-07 edition of this report, see ED538076.].




Predicting FCAT Science Scores 2006-07. Research Brief


Book Description

Although students have been taking the Florida Comprehensive Assessment Test (FCAT) Science test for a few years, the State has only recently set the achievement-level standards for the Science test. Science will be included in the school grade calculations for the first time in 2006-07. In addition, although no official guidelines exist presently, the FCAT Science scores will also be incorporated in the Adequate Yearly Progress requirements in the near future. With the growing importance of the FCAT Science test, it becomes increasingly desirable to have some way of predicting the performance of students. In other FCAT testing areas, prediction formulas and cutoff scores for success have been developed by this office and made available to schools for several years. However, because the FCAT Science test is relatively new and because it is administered in only Grades 5, 8, and 11, prediction for this test must proceed along different lines. This paper presents the results of an analysis directed toward predicting students' Science scores based on their performance on the FCAT Mathematics test of the previous year.




Targeting Remediation by Predicting 3rd Grade Retention. Research Brief


Book Description

Recent revisions of the Florida School Code by the Florida Legislature include a major component focusing on proficiency in reading. In particular, grade 3 students who do not score at level 2 or higher on the Florida Comprehensive Assessment Test (FCAT) SSS Reading Test must be retained, unless exempted for special circumstances. This new requirement has resulted in the retention of thousands of 3rd graders in this district over the last two years. The impact on the lives of the students and their families is inestimable. Additionally, the restructuring of grade level membership has put considerable strain on the schools and the system as a whole. Clearly, any help in predicting which students may be in jeopardy of not "passing" the FCAT Reading test in 3rd grade would be a welcome contribution to providing targeted academic remediation to the students most in need. This study addresses an approach to the early identification of students who may be at risk of scoring at level 1 on their 3rd grade FCAT Reading Test.




Educational Assessment


Book Description

Grounded in the real world of public schools and students, this engaging, insightful, and highly readable text introduces the inner-workings of K–12 educational assessment. There has never been a time when it is more important for educators to have an understanding of testing and assessments. Accountability is now a fact of life for all public school educators, and testing is at the core of all educational assessment programs. It is no longer prudent or even possible for educators to ignore this national zeitgeist. Educational Assessment: Tests and Measurements in the Age of Accountability addresses all of the constructs central to understanding the design, construction and evaluation of educational measures. It goes on to provide students with insight into the link between today′s high-stakes testing mandates and the traditions of the past 125 years of "scientific" measurement in the United States. It addresses the problem of understanding and correctly interpreting test scores on local, statewide, national, and international assessments. It also addresses how certain issues such as institutionalized cheating, test preparation, and individual differences among students and their families influence test score outcomes. Key Features Covers traditional topics in an approachable and understandable way: Reliability, validity, performance assessments, standardized achievement tests, and many more topics are included. Analyzes and interprets "hot-button" issues of today′s complex measurement concerns: The score-gap, high-stakes testing, grade retention, drop-out crises, "academic redshirting,", diversity, family influence, and educational technology, are examined. Relates theory to practice: Each chapter includes relevant real-life examples and case studies to demonstrate how the technical-measurement principles impact those involved. Addresses the needs of diverse students: Issues related to students with special needs and the testing of English Language Learners are discussed. Intended Audience: Educational Assessment: Tests and Measurements in the Age of Accountability has been written to meet the needs of students in graduate programs of special education, reading, school counseling, school social work, curriculum supervision, or administration. Providing grounding in all aspects of measurement, this book is perfect for undergraduate and graduate courses such as Educational Tests and Measurements, Assessment in Education, and Student Assessment.







Educational Assessment


Book Description

Educational Tests and Measurements in the Age of Accountability is a core text for use in a first level graduate course in educational measurement and testing. In addition to covering the topics traditionally found in core textbooks for this course, this text also provides coverage of contemporary topics (including national testing programs, international achievement comparisons, the value added assessment of schools and teachers, and the public policy debate on selective admissions vs. affirmative minority enrollment).