Applied Econometric Times Series


Book Description

This advanced text for a course on time series econometrics introduces modern time series analyses through the use of wide-ranging examples and applications. Providing a balance between macro- and microeconomic applications, the book covers recent work that has only been published in journals.




Price Dispersion and Informational Frictions


Book Description

Traditional demand models assume that consumers are perfectly informed about product characteristics, including price. However, this assumption may be too strong. Unannounced sales are a common supermarket practice. As we show, retailers frequently change position in the price rankings, thus making it unlikely that consumers are aware of all deals offered in each period. Further empirical evidence on consumer behavior is also consistent with a model with price information frictions. We develop such a model for horizontally differentiated products and structurally estimate the search cost distribution. The results show that in equilibrium, consumers observe a very limited number of prices before making a purchase decision, which implies that imperfect information is indeed important and that local market power is potentially high. We also show that a full information demand model yields severely biased price elasticities.







Consumer Search Behavior and Its Effect on Markets


Book Description

Consumer Search Behavior and its Effect on Markets focuses on the consumer side of the market, on what is known about how consumers search for needed information, and on how this impacts the behavior of markets. The author discusses three broad strands of this literature -- normative models of search and their application to consumer search; empirical studies of the search process; and implications of consumer search for the behavior of markets, including pricing, advertising and retailing. In general, the author examines external search -- the search for information from sources other than memory. Particular attention is paid to the impact of the Internet on markets. Consumer Search Behavior and its Effect on Markets also examines the broader issues about alternatives considered, sources consulted, extent of consumer knowledge, and the impact of these factors on markets and marketing institutions.




Price Differentiation and Dispersion in Retailing


Book Description

Determining the “right” product price is one of the most dazzling challenges of modern retailing. Although the price as a marketing instrument has enormous infl uence on consumer decisions and corporate profits, those responsible for effective pricing and profitable price management continue to face significant difficulties. Progress in the field of digitization allows to set prices more dynamically and individually than ever before. This expands the decision-making space of companies and at the same time increases consumers' concerns about excessive and unfair prices. However, the question arises whether everything that is technically possible can also be successfully implemented in the market. The present study analyses corporate and consumer behavior and macroeconomic effects of pricing decisions under various conditions (static/dynamic, isolated/within market competition). The results show that the current debate about individualized prices expands well beyond the field of current corporate practice. Retailers are particularly conservative towards certain types of price differentiation such as short-term adjustments depending on the time of day or even customer specific prices. In addition, there is a large number of market barriers that conflict with particularly controversial practices of price differentiation. The study provides insights on how price differentiation can be used to achieve a balance between company interests and consumer protection. Finally, differentiated prices can have a welfareenhancing effect when companies are customer-oriented and rules of fair competitive policy are in place.




Essays on Consumer Shopping Behavior and Price Dispersion


Book Description

Essay 1: "Price-Matching in a Sequential Search Duopoly" While substantial research has tried to determine if price-matching guarantees are anti-competitive, most previous studies have overlooked the effect that these policies have on consumer search behavior. This essay examines how price-matching guarantees affect consumer behavior and prices in a model of sequential price search. By endogenizing consumers' acquisition of price information, I find that price-matching may raise prices in three new ways. First, price-matching diminishes firms' incentives to lower prices to attract consumers who have no cost of search. Second, for consumers with positive search costs, price-matching lowers the marginal benefit of search, inducing them to accept higher prices. Finally, higher prices may come about because price-matching can lead to asymmetric equilibria where one firm runs fewer sales and both firms tend to offer smaller discounts than in a symmetric equilibrium. These price increasing effects grow in proportion to the number of consumers who make use of price-matching guarantees as well as in the amount of asymmetry that prevails in equilibrium. Essay 2: "Asymmetric Sequential Search" (with Carmen Astorne-Figari) Rival firms often find themselves catering to a very different mix of customers from that of their competitors. This can lead to variations in pricing behavior even when other factors, such as product quality and the cost of production, are held constant across firms. In this essay, we use a model of sequential consumer price search to explore how asymmetries in the demand structures across firms impact firm pricing. In our model, a fraction of consumers must pay a cost to search for prices beyond their local firm and firms serve different fractions of local consumers. The price distribution of a firm with more local consumers first order stochastically dominates that of a firm with fewer local consumers and places positive probability on its upper bound. This means that a firm with more local consumers has a higher average price and runs sales less frequently. The frequency of sales diminishes in the number of local consumers, but price dispersion persists even if all consumers are local to a single firm. Moreover, as the fraction of consumers who search without cost increases, firms tend to offer bigger discounts, while the likelihood of a sale may fall. Essay 3: "Energizer: The Bunny or the Battery? Advertising as a Way to Publicize Either the Brand or the Good" (with Carmen Astorne-Figari) Experimental studies and surveys of consumers suggest that an important role of advertising is to convince consumers that they want the product and to buy it from the brand advertising it. However, because of competitive clutter, an advertisement that induces a consumer to enter the market may lead her to purchase from a competing brand. Thus, we can characterize two effects of advertising: (i) an effect that benefits the individual firm by promoting binding between the brand and the advertised good and (ii) a "public good" quality that benefits all producers of the good by inducing additional consumers to enter the market. We analyze these two effects to study the relationship between advertising and market size, price, firm profit and consumer welfare.




Handbook of Behavioral Industrial Organization


Book Description

The Handbook of Behavioral Industrial Organization integrates behavioral economics into industrial organization. Chapters cover concepts such as relative thinking, salience, shrouded attributes, cognitive dissonance, motivated reasoning, confirmation bias, overconfidence, status quo bias, social cooperation and identity. Additional chapters consider industry issues, such as sports and gambling industries, neuroeconomic studies of brands and advertising, and behavioral antitrust law. The Handbook features a wide array of methods (literature surveys, experimental and econometric research, and theoretical modelling), facilitating accessibility to a wide audience.