Projecting World Raw Sugar Prices


Book Description

Three factors are critical to the long-term outlook for U.S. sugar supply and use: the U.S. sugar program, the availability of sugar imports from Mexico, and the level of sugar prices in the world market. This report presents a modeling framework that can be used to generate world sugar price projections. In addition to using the traditional world supply and demand analysis, the modeling framework emphasizes the role of Brazil, the world's largest producer of sugarcane, sugar, and sugarcane-based ethanol. The resulting model is intended to improve the U.S. Dept. of Agriculture's (USDA's) world sugar price forecasts and enhance scenario analyses to derive implications for future world prices and U.S. sugar policy. The report includes documentation, analysis, and model projections for world sugar markets through 2024/25. Tables and figures. This is a print on demand report.




World Raw Sugar Prices


Book Description

World sugar prices are forecast to remain above current support levels through 2021. Understanding the dynamics that affect the world price of sugar is imperative for U.S. sugar policy. There are three basic determinants of medium- to long-term world raw sugar pricing. The first is the long-term equilibrium relationship between world raw sugar prices and costs of producing sugar in Brazil, the world's largest sugar producer and exporter. An important effect on costs operates through the Brazilian currency exchange rate with the U.S. dollar. The second is the effect of medium-term world sugar supply-demand imbalances on pricing. Relative stockholding has an important effect on the sensitivity of the world sugar prices to changes in overall world sugar availability. The third is a risk-related component: how current prices are affected by errors in forecasting supply and demand balances of previous years due to unanticipated events. Tables and figures. This is a print on demand report.










Implications of World Sugar Markets, Policies, and Production Costs for U.S. Sugar


Book Description

Extract: Most of the major sugar producing and exporting countries, including the United States, have adopted national policies to protect domestic producers from the periodic price depressions. U.S. sugar production costs are above both current world sugar prices and the prices at which the major cane sugar exporters can operate profitably. Consequently, the U.S. sugar industry cannot now compete in an open domestic sweetener market without upheaval in its production and processing sectors, unless it receives Government assistance on a continuing basis.




The World Sugar Situation


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Staff Report on Sugar Prices


Book Description




The World Sugar Situation


Book Description