Real and Accrual Earnings Management and IPO Failure Risk


Book Description

This paper analyzes the relationship between real and accrual earnings management activities and IPO failure risk. Recent research shows that IPO firms manage earnings upward around the offer year utilizing real and accrual earnings management activities (e.g., Wongsunwai, 2012) and that these activities have severe negative consequences for future stock returns and operating performance (e.g., Cohen and Zarowin, 2010; Kothari et al., 2012). Thus, we predict IPO firms that engaged in higher levels of real and accrual earnings management will exhibit a higher probability of failure and lower survival rates. We test this hypothesis based on a sample of 570 IPO firms that went public over the period 1998-2008. We find evidence that IPO firms manipulate earnings upward utilizing real and accrual earnings management around the IPO. We also find that IPO firms with higher levels of real and accrual earnings management during the IPO year have a higher probability of IPO failure and lower survival rates in subsequent periods.







Real Earnings Management and Governance Attributes in the Context of IPO Failure


Book Description

This study examines the association between real earnings management, governance attributes, and IPO failure risk. Using a sample of 4174 IPOs firms that went public over the period of 1998-2011, we find evidence that real earnings management and governance attributes are associated with IPO failure risk. Moreover, we find that among governance attributes, board independence and board size are negatively associated with IPO failure risk. However, audit committee independence and CEO duality are not related to the probability of IPO failure risk. This study contributes to the current hot debate around IPO failure risk factors.




A Comparative Analysis of Real and Accrual Earnings Management Around Initial Public Offerings Under Different Regulatory Environments


Book Description

While earnings management around IPOs has been researched in a number of settings, there has been a relative absence of work that analyses the impact of the regulatory environment on such activities. We find that the regulatory environment does impact the real and accrual earnings management activities of IPO firms. Our results show that IPO firms listing on the lightly regulated UK Alternative Investment Market (AIM) have higher (lower) levels of accrual based and sales based (discretionary expenses based) earnings management around the IPO than firms listing on the more heavily regulated Main market in the UK.




Earnings Management and Delisting Risk of Initial Public Offerings


Book Description

Earnings management is a corporate decision subject to costs. Both earnings management in the IPO process and the ex ante delisting risk of newly issued firms are related to firm fundamentals. With a sample of IPOs from 1980 to 1999, we find that the degree of earnings management possesses significant predictive power on IPO failure. IPO firms associated with aggressive earnings management are more likely to delist for performance failure, and tend to delist sooner. Furthermore, we find that IPO firms associated with conservative earnings management are more likely to be merged or acquired and they earn positive abnormal returns. Our results also show that IPO issuers manage earnings in response to market demand. Market-wide earnings management of IPO firms interacts with the IPO cycle documented by Lowry and Schwert (2002).




Earnings Accruals and Real Activities Management around Initial Public Offerings


Book Description

The beginning of the new millennium was characterized by company scandals in accounting around the world. A transparent and fair presentation of financial statements is beneficial for capital market participants. Especially around initial public offerings different incentives of these players exist to influence financial statements in diverse aspects. Therefore, studies of earnings management try to identify abnormal behavior. This thesis covers additional aspects to shed light on substantial drivers of discretionary reporting behavior around going public. Factors like influence on real activities, industry affiliation, and specific years in the IPO process add further insight to this theoretical and practical topic. The dependence on these factors is high and confirm that company specifics are important for interpretation of results.







Essays on IPO-firm Earnings Management


Book Description

PART 1 This paper provides evidence on the timing of earnings management behavior for initial public offering (IPO) firms in the annual periods surrounding the offering. It also examines whether this behavior is related to CEO and CFO trading after the offering. Using discretionary accruals as my proxy for earnings management, I find that, for firms that file a new 10-K before the trading restrictions provided in underwriter lockup agreements end, average IPO-firm discretionary accruals are significantly positive in the first 10-K filed after the offering, and that these discretionary accruals are significantly larger than those in the offering prospectus. I also find a positive relation between CEO and CFO trading activity and discretionary accruals for the same group of companies. Taken together, the results suggest that earnings management behavior is more prevalent in the first 10-K filed than in the offering prospectus, that it is concentrated in the firms that file this 10-K before their lockup period expires, and that it is positively related to CEO and CFO trading after the offering. PART 2 This paper examines whether earnings management behavior has decreased in the period following the passage of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 (SOX) for IPO firms. It also explores how any changes I observe for IPOs relate to any changes that have occurred for the broader set of public companies. I find that IPO firms have experienced a significant decrease in earnings management after the passage of SOX. The results also provide evidence that this decrease is driven by the smallest public companies. While pre-SOX discretionary accruals for IPO firms are larger than those for non-IPO firms, I find that the post-SOX decrease in discretionary accruals results in the level of IPO-firm discretionary accruals becoming indistinguishable from that of non-IPO firms. Finally, the evidence suggests that the characteristics of post-SOX offerings are different from those of pre-SOX offerings, and that the decrease in discretionary accruals in the post-SOX period remains after controlling for these changes.




Firms' Real Earnings Management and Subsequent Stock Price Crash Risk


Book Description

Using a large sample of U.S. firms for the period from 1994 to 2009, we find that firms' prior real earnings management (RM) is positively associated with their stock price crash. These results are robust to firm-fixed effects analysis, different crash likelihood measurements, and suspect-firm analysis. On the other hand, RM does not show any predicting power on positive jumps, which supports the argument that insiders use real activities to hide bad but not good information. We find that the predicting power of RM on crash risks after SOX 2002 is much stronger, with the marginal impact being nearly three times as it is in pre-SOX period. By contrast, and consistent with the finding by Hutton et al. (2009), the marginal impact of accrual-based earnings management on crash risks drops by about half after SOX.




Earnings Management and the Long-Term Market Performance of Initial Public Offerings


Book Description

We examine empirically whether earnings management as measured by discretionary accounting accruals explain post-issue stock return underperformance for IPO firms. We find that high discretionary accounting accruals are related to negative abnormal stock returns with high statistical significance. For example, a trading strategy of a short position in IPO firms with high discretionary accruals and a long position in IPOs with low discretionary accruals result in a mean (median) excess return of 102% (83.5%) in the 36-month period beginning after the first fiscal year end of the IPO. The evidence is consistent with Ritter's [1991] conjecture that investors are systematically overoptimistic about the growth prospects of IPO firms. The high discretionary accounting accruals seem to be associated with initial overoptimism of investors with subsequent revelations about the appropriateness of the accruals causing a subsequent downward revision in stock prices.