Science Based Stockpile Stewardship


Book Description

The FY1994 National Defense Authorization Act calls on the Secretary of Energy to establish a stewardship program to ensure the preservation of the core intellectual and technical competencies of the United States in nuclear weapons. The DOE asked JASON to review its Science Based Stockpile Stewardship program with respect to three criteria: (1) contributions to important scientific and technical understanding and to national goals; (2) contributions to maintaining and renewing the technical skill base and overall level of scientific competence in the defense program and the weapons labs, and to the broader U.S. scientific and engineering strength; and (3) contributions to maintaining U.S. confidence in our nuclear stockpile without nuclear testing through improved understanding of weapons physics and diagnostics. In this report JASON analyzes the DOE program and makes specific recommendations regarding it. Stewardship, Hydrotests, Pulsed power, Advanced computing, Sbss program, Non-proliferation.




Science Based Stockpile Stewardship


Book Description

The FY1994 National Defense Authorization Act calls on the Secretary of Energy to establish a stewardship program to ensure the preservation of the core intellectual and technical competencies of the United States in nuclear weapons. The DOE asked JASON to review its Science Based Stockpile Stewardship program with respect to three criteria: (1) contributions to important scientific and technical understanding and to national goals; (2) contributions to maintaining and renewing the technical skill base and overall level of scientific competence in the defense program and the weapons labs, and to the broader U.S. scientific and engineering strength; and (3) contributions to maintaining U.S. confidence in our nuclear stockpile without nuclear testing through improved understanding of weapons physics and diagnostics. In this report JASON analyzes the DOE program and makes specific recommendations regarding it. Stewardship, Hydrotests, Pulsed power, Advanced computing, Sbss program, Non-proliferation.




Science Based Stockpile Stewardship, Uncertainty Quantification, and Surrogate Reactions


Book Description

Stewardship of this nation's nuclear weapons is predicated on developing a fundamental scientific understanding of the physics and chemistry required to describe weapon performance without the need to resort to underground nuclear testing and to predict expected future performance as a result of intended or unintended modifications. In order to construct more reliable models, underground nuclear test data is being reanalyzed in novel ways. To improve the interpretation of these experiments with quantified uncertainties, improved nuclear data is required. As an example, the thermonuclear yield of a device was often inferred through the use of radiochemical detectors. Conversion of the detector activations observed to thermonuclear yield was accomplished through explosion code calculations (models) and a good set of nuclear reaction cross-sections. Because of the unique high-fluence environment of an exploding nuclear weapon, many reactions occurred on radioactive nuclides, for which only theoretically calculated cross-sections are available. Surrogate nuclear reactions at STARS/LIBERACE offer the opportunity to measure cross-sections on unstable nuclei and thus improve the quality of the nuclear reaction cross-section sets. One radiochemical detector that was loaded in devices was mono-isotopic yttrium (89Y). Nuclear reactions produced 87Y and 88Y which could be quantified post-shot as a ratio of 87Y/88Y. The yttrium cross-section set from 1988 is shown in Figure 1(a) and contains approximately 62 cross-sections interconnecting the yttrium nuclides. The 6 experimentally measured cross-sections are shown in Figure 1(b). Any measurement of cross-sections on 87Y or 88Y would improve the quality of the cross-section set. A recent re-evaluation of the yttrium cross-section set was performed with many more calculated reaction cross-sections included.




Stockpile Stewardship in an Era of Renewed Strategic Competition


Book Description

Since the end of the Cold War, the United States has maintained the safety and effectiveness of its aging nuclear arsenal through the stockpile stewardship program. This program utilizes advanced scientific and computational means as a substitute for underground explosive nuclear testing. For three decades, science-based stockpile stewardship has served the United States well. But as the global security environment has evolved, and relationships with Russia and China have been more competitive and confrontational, it is necessary to examine whether and how the U.S. approach to maintaining a nuclear deterrent might need to evolve. Russia and China have also maintained nuclear deterrents with advanced scientific and computational means; but they have gone well beyond the stewardship of legacy capabilities to modernize and significantly adapt their arsenals. Rather than compete with both on their terms, the United States must compete on its own terms with an eye to maintaining deterrence, assurance, and strategic stability.




Stockpile Stewardship Program Strategy


Book Description

In announcing the extension of the moratorium on nuclear testing, President Clinton reaffirmed the importance of maintaining confidence in the enduring U.S. nuclear stockpile: ''To assure that our nuclear deterrent remains unquestioned under a test ban, we will explore other means of maintaining our confidence in the safety, reliability, and performance of our weapons.'' To this end, the Department of Energy's nuclear weapon program is undergoing fundamental change--from advancing military characteristics to maintaining the reliability and safety of the existing stockpile. Consequently, a new strategy was needed to meet these new mission requirements. This report summarizes the new strategy. The fundamental premise of the new strategy lies in the ability to respond to problems in monitoring and maintaining the existing stockpile by preserving specialized facilities, maintaining the skill and knowledge bases, and advancing our understanding of nuclear weapon physics necessary to manage the nuclear future in an era without nuclear testing. The foundation of this Science-based Stockpile Stewardship strategy was laid at a workshop attended by DOE officials, DoD customers, stakeholders from other government agencies, nuclear weapon experts, and members of the scientific community. The principles of the evolving strategy were regularly discussed during the formative stages with the primary customers and stakeholders and reviewed by the JASONs. This report summarizes the strategy as it now exists, but we recognize that stockpile stewardship must be a continuing process--updated as necessary to respond to national security objectives.




Stockpiles Stewardship Program


Book Description

Nuclear weapons, while simple in principle, are technically complex devices with a multitude of components. There may be concern that, over time, a weapon¿s ability could decline unless mitigating precautions are taken. To coordinate our ability to maintain the nation¿s existing nuclear weapons, the Nat. Nuclear Security Agency developed a Stockpile Stewardship Program (SSP). Three major components of SSP are seriously over budget & seriously behind schedule. Contents: A Brief Review of the Origins of Nuclear Testing; The CTBT & the Birth of the Science-Based Stockpile Stewardship Program; The Scientific Tools, or ¿Three Pillars,¿ of SSP; SSP¿s Newer Tools: JASPER & the Z Machine; & Conclusions, SSP 15 Years On. Illustrations.




Science Based Stockpile Stewardship, Uncertainty Quantification, and Fission Fragment Beams


Book Description

Stewardship of this nation's nuclear weapons is predicated on developing a fundamental scientific understanding of the physics and chemistry required to describe weapon performance without the need to resort to underground nuclear testing and to predict expected future performance as a result of intended or unintended modifications. In order to construct more reliable models, underground nuclear test data is being reanalyzed in novel ways. The extent to which underground experimental data can be matched with simulations is one measure of the credibility of our capability to predict weapon performance. To improve the interpretation of these experiments with quantified uncertainties, improved nuclear data is required. As an example, the fission yield of a device was often determined by measuring fission products. Conversion of the measured fission products to yield was accomplished through explosion code calculations (models) and a good set of nuclear reaction cross-sections. Because of the unique high-fluence environment of an exploding nuclear weapon, many reactions occurred on radioactive nuclides, for which only theoretically calculated cross-sections are available. Inverse kinematics reactions at CARIBU offer the opportunity to measure cross-sections on unstable neutron-rich fission fragments and thus improve the quality of the nuclear reaction cross-section sets. One of the fission products measured was 95Zr, the accumulation of all mass 95 fission products of Y, Sr, Rb and Kr (see Fig. 1). Subsequent neutron-induced reactions on these short lived fission products were assumed to cancel out - in other words, the destruction of mass 95 nuclides was more or less equal to the production of mass 95 nuclides. If a 95Sr was destroyed by an (n,2n) reaction it was also produced by (n,2n) reactions on 96Sr, for example. However, since these nuclides all have fairly short half-lives (seconds to minutes or even less), no experimental nuclear reaction cross-sections exist, and only theoretically modeled cross-sections are available. Inverse kinematics reactions at CARIBU offer the opportunity, should the beam intensity be sufficient, to measure cross-sections on a few important nuclides in order to benchmark the theoretical calculations and significantly improve the nuclear data. The nuclides in Fig. 1 are prioritized by importance factor and displayed in stoplight colors, green the highest and red the lowest priority.







Multiscale Science for Science-based Stockpile Stewardship


Book Description

This is the final report of a three-year, Laboratory-Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project at the Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). The goal of this project has been to develop and apply the methods of multi scale science to the problems of fluid and material mixing due to instability and turbulence, and of materials characterization. Our specific focus has been on the SBSS (science-based stockpile stewardship) issue of assessing the performance of a weapons with off-design, aged, or remanufactured components in the absence of full-scale testing. Our products are physics models, based on microphysical principles and parameters, and suitable for implementation in the large scale design and assessment codes used in the nuclear weapons program.