Screening Versus Sorting in a Principal-Agent Model with Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection


Book Description

This paper proposes a principal-agent model of moral hazard and adverse selection that introduces the notion of screening, which is distinct from sorting; and distinguishes between ability that is privately known by the agent versus general ability that is observable by the principal and market. Sorting is the traditional process by which the adverse selection problem is resolved. Screening is the process we propose by which agents that are deemed to be unsuitable are rejected. Used in conjunction with sorting, we consider ex-ante screening on the basis of the measure of general ability; and ex-post screening on the basis of the private measure of ability. We find that the principal may favor an agent with high or low general ability, but always prefers an agent with superior private ability. We derive the properties of the ex-ante and ex-post screening rules as they relate to the characteristics of the principal-agent relationship. Surprisingly, a positive relationship between the private and general measures of ability tends to imply that general ability has a negative effect on the incentives and compensation of the agent, as well as the expected outcome and profit of the firm. Finally, we discuss the econometric methods by which empirical studies of executive compensation should be adjusted to take into account the fact that CEOs were selected for their positions.







Relative Weights on Performance Measures in a Principal-Agent Model with Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection


Book Description

This paper examines the role of multiple measures of performance in a principal-agent model incorporating both moral hazard and adverse selection. The outcome of interest to the principal depends stochastically on the agent's unobservable ability and effort, while the principal implements a contract contingent on two noisy measures of the outcome. There are three main findings. First, the weights assigned the performance measures are reduced in the presence of adverse selection because the informational rent paid to the agent lowers the return to the principal of hiring the agent, but it does not affect how informative one signal is relative to another. Second, the weights assigned the signals are decreasing in the sensitivity of performance to ability. Third, a signal is assigned more weight if and only if it is more precise and sensitive to the agent's effort; thus, the Banker and Datar (1989) result is robust to the introduction of adverse selection. An empirical test of the model is provided in the context of the CEO pay-for-performance sensitivity and the investment opportunities set (IOS) of the firms they manage. If high IOS firms are more ability-intensive, the model predicts the weights on the performance measures are decreasing in IOS. We examine a sample of 12,221 firm-year observations for 1,411 firms spanning the period 1992-2006 obtained from ExecuComp, CRSP, and Compustat. In agreement with the model, we find that CEO compensation is less sensitive to accounting and stock returns in high IOS firms.




Design of Incentive Systems


Book Description

Monetary incentives, as a driving force for human behavior, are the main theme of this book. The primary goals underlying the application of monetary incentive systems in companies are motivating employees to strive for superior productivity in line with the interests of employers, and hiring adequately skilled employees. The first goal refers to incentive effects, the latter to sorting effects. This book introduces important theories and concepts concerning behavior under influence of monetary incentives; it reviews existing economic frameworks and identifies specific contingency variables. Based on an integrative framework of elements influencing incentive and sorting effects, a laboratory experiment is presented including detailed methodological discussion on experimentation and data analysis as well as an extensive presentation of findings and discussion of implications.​




Do Tournaments Solve the Adverse Selection Problem?


Book Description

This paper provides a solution to a puzzle in the analysis of tournaments, that of why there is no agent discrimination in practice. The paper examines the problem of a principal contracting with multiple agents whose activities are subject to common shocks, when there is moral hazard and adverse selection. The presence of common shocks invites the use of relative performance evaluation to minimize the costs of moral hazard. But, in the additional presence of adverse selection, the analysis shows that at the optimum there may be no need for ex ante screening through menus of contract offers (i.e., for agent discrimination). This is so because the principal becomes better informed ex post about agent types, via the realization of common uncertainty, and can effectively penalize or reward the agents ex post. Thus, unlike the standard adverse selection problem without common uncertainty where the principal always benefits from ex ante screening, it is shown that ex post sorting through relative performance evaluation reduces the scope for ex ante screening through menus, and eliminates it completely if agents are known to not be very heterogeneous. This is consistent with observed practice in industries where the primary compensation mechanism is a cardinal tournament which is uniform among agents.




Multitasking, Multidimensional Screening, and Moral Hazard with Risk Neutral Agents


Book Description

In this paper we consider a model where a risk-neutral principal devises a contract for a risk neutral agent who can exert effort along different dimensions. On the top of that the agent possesses multidimensional private information about her cost of effort. We show that as long as effort is exerted along different dimensions that exceed in number the available performance measures, hidden action prevents implementing the second best solution, obtained under pure adverse selection situation, even if both parties are risk neutral and private information of the agent is not correlated with the production technology. Therefore, hidden action leads to additional welfare loss. The result implies that it can be more efficient to compensate employees on the basis of a variety of performance measures rather than base their compensation on a "bottom-line" measure (e.g. their contribution to the company's profits).




Payment Schemes and Moral Hazard


Book Description

In a principal-agent relationship, the principal offers a take-it-or-leave-it contract to the agent, who decides to either accept it or not. In game theory terminology, the principal agent relationship is a Stackelberg game in which the principal is the leader, proposing the contract, and the agent is the follower, choosing to accept or reject the proposal. Examples of such relationships are plentiful, such as a principal bank manager hiring an agent employee to work as a teller, a principal land-owner acting hiring an agent farmer to grow crops on her land, or an insurance company offering a home insurance plan to a homeowner. The principal-agent problem concerns how the principal should structure the proposed contract to best incentivize the agent to perform in the way the principal would prefer, taking into account that there are informational asymmetries between the principal and the agent due to the agent having some kind of "private information." Information asymmetries between principal and agent fall into two categories: the agent might have private information about their own characteristics, which gives rise to adverse selection problems; or the agent might have private information about what actions he takes after agreeing to the contract, which gives rise to moral hazard problems. In this paper, I focus on a model with moral hazard. The texts by Kreps and Salanié both offer good expositions of canonical adverse selection and moral hazard problems, which I used as a starting point for this paper. The survey of different extensions of the principal-agent model by Sappington provided a high-level guide to different sub-problems and primary sources. To motivate the model analyzed in this paper, suppose you own several tracts of land that are suitable for agriculture. You want to set up farms on these tracts of land, but you lack the time or expertise to farm the land yourself. You decide, then, to hire several farmers to set up and manage farms on your land. The farmers work year-round and, come harvest time, you pay each of them a sum of money based on their total production. Your challenge is to decide how much money to pay each farmer. Ideally, you would like to be able to pay each worker for the amount of effort that they put in. Unfortunately, you are only able to observe each farmer's output, and there are factors other than the farmer's effort level that affect output. For instance, the amount of rainfall is a random variable that affects all farmers' output equally, but which you are unable to observe. There are also idiosyncratic random variables unique to each farmer that represent the effects of soil condition, pests, and other similar concerns on the tract of land that farmer is working. All else equal, each farmer would prefer to work as little as possible, because they find working displeasurable. As the principal, however, you want the farmers to work as hard as is necessary to maximize your profits. The problem you face is how to structure the farmers' payment scheme so as to align their incentives with your own. The following analysis will compare individual contracts, in which each agent's payment is based only on the realized magnitude of their output, and tournament payment schemes, in which each agent's payment is based only on the ordinal ranking of their realized output relative to that of all other agents'. Much of the model notation as well as the results from Section 5 are an expanded exposition of results from a paper by Green and Stokey. Lazear and Rosen provided helpful intuition for the comparison of contracts and tournaments, and some of the results from earlier sections of the paper are due to Grossman and Hart.




Optimal Retention in Principal/Agent Models


Book Description

This paper studies the interaction between a single long-lived principal and a series of short-lived agents in the presence of both moral hazard and adverse selection. We assume that the principal can influence the agents' behavior only through her choice of a retention rule; this rule is further required to be sequentially rational (i.e., no precommitment is allowed). We provide general conditions under which equilibria exist in which (a) the principal adopts a 'cut-off' rule under which agents are retained only when the reward they generate exceeds a critical bound; and (b) agent separate according to type, with better agents taking superior actions. We show that in equilibrium, a retained agent's productivity is necessarily declining over time, but that retained agents are also more productive on average than untried agents due to selection effects. Finally, we show that for each given type, agents of that type are more productive in the presence of adverse selection than when there is pure moral hazard (i.e., when that type is the sole type of agent in the model); nonetheless, adding uncertainty about agent-types cannot benefit the principal except in uninteresting cases.




Delegation and Accountability in Parliamentary Democracies


Book Description

Comparative Politics is a series for students and teachers of political science that deals with contemporary issues in comparative government and politics. The General Editors are Max Kaase, Professor of Political Science, Vice President and Dean, School of Humanities and Social Science, International University Bremen, Germany; and Kenneth Newton, Professor of Comparative Politics, University of Southampton. The series is published in association with the European Consortium for Political Research. Today, parliamentarism is the most common form of democratic government. Yet knowledge of this regime type has been incomplete and often unsystematic. Delegation and Accountability in Parliamentary Democracies offers new conceptual clarity on the topic. This book argues that representative democracies can be understood as chains of delegation and accountability between citizens and politicians. Under parliamentary democracy, this chain of delegation is simple but also long and indirect. Principal-agent theory helps us to understand the perils of democratic delegation, which include the problems of adverse selection and moral hazard. Citizens in democratic states, therefore, need institutional mechanisms by which they can control their representatives. The most important such control mechanisms are on the one hand political parties and on the other external constraints such as courts, central banks, referendums, and supranational institutions such as those of the European Union. Traditionally, parliamentary democracies have relied heavily on political parties and presidential systems more on external constraints. This new empirical investigation includes all seventeen West European parliamentary democracies. These countries are compared in a series of cross-national tables and figures, and seventeen country chapters provide a wealth of information on four discrete stages in the delegation process: delegation from voters to parliamentary representatives, delegation from parliament to the prime minister and cabinet, delegation within the cabinet, and delegation from cabinet ministers to civil servants. Each chapter illustrates how political parties serve as bonding instruments which align incentives and permit citizen control of the policy process. This is complemented by a consideration of external constraints. The concluding chapters go on to consider how well the problems of delegation and accountability are solved in these countries. They show that political systems with cohesive and competitive parties and strong mechanisms of external constraint solve their democratic agency problems better than countries with weaker control mechanisms. But in many countries political parties are now weakening, and parliamentary systems face new democratic challenges. Delegation and Accountability in Parliamentary Democracies provides an unprecedented guide to contemporary European parliamentary democracies. As democratic governance is transformed at the dawn of the twenty-first century, it illustrates the important challenges faced by the parliamentary democracies of Western Europe.




Reform for Sale


Book Description

Lobbying competition is viewed as a delegated common agency game under moral hazard. Several interest groups try to influence a policy-maker who exerts effort to increase the probability that a reform be implemented. With no restriction on the space of contribution schedules, all equilibria perfectly reflect the principals' preferences over alternatives. As a result, lobbying competition reaches efficiency. Unfortunately, such equilibria require that the policy-maker pays an interest group when the latter is hurt by the reform. When payments remain non-negative, inducing effort requires leaving a moral hazard rent to the decision maker. Contributions schedules no longer reflect the principals' preferences, and the unique equilibrium is inefficient. Free-riding across congruent groups arises and the set of groups active at equilibrium is endogenously derived. Allocative efficiency and redistribution of the aggregate surplus is linked altogether and both depend on the set of active principals, as well as on the group size.