Impact of Fiscal Policy on Inequality and Poverty in the Arab Republic of Egypt


Book Description

This study assesses the redistributive impact of fiscal policy -- including expenditures and taxation -- in the Arab Republic of Egypt. Using a broadly applied methodology, a fiscal incidence analysis is conducted using survey and government data for fiscal year 2015. Evidence shows that Egyptian fiscal policy reduces income inequality, and that among individual fiscal programs, the largest reduction is due to public expenditures on the primary education system. Compared with similar countries, Egypt's overall fiscal policy placed it in the median of the distribution of inequality reduction. Fiscal policies in Egypt also led to a decrease in poverty, mostly from the flagship Tamween program. Poverty and inequality could be reduced more effectively if the country would shift away from spending on untargeted energy subsidies to more targeted transfers. The large gap between the government's expenditures and revenues helps explain the positive outcomes on poverty and inequality but poses challenges in the long term.

























Arab Republic of Egypt


Book Description

This paper discusses Egypt’s Request for Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF). The EFF-supported program will help Egypt restore macroeconomic stability and promote inclusive growth. The risks to the program mainly emerge from the difficulties inherent in implementing a strong and wide-ranging reform program. Fiscal slippages could undermine the program’s debt sustainability objective. There is a risk that regional conflicts could intensify and domestic security conditions deteriorate, which could affect confidence, investment, and tourism. These risks are mitigated by the authorities’ commitment to the program. The IMF staff supports the authorities’ request for the EFF arrangement.