The Dynamics of Optimal Risk Sharing


Book Description

We study a dynamic-contracting problem involving risk sharing between two parties - the Proposer and the Responder - who invest in a risky asset until an exogenous but random termination time. In any time period they must invest all their wealth in the risky asset, but they can share the underlying investment and termination risk. When the project ends they consume their final accumulated wealth. The Proposer and the Responder have constant relative risk aversion R and r respectively, with R>r>0. We show that the optimal contract has three components: a non-contingent flow payment, a share in investment risk and a termination payment. We derive approximations for the optimal share in investment risk and the optimal termination payment, and we use numerical simulations to show that these approximations offer a close fit to the exact rules. The approximations take the form of a myopic benchmark plus a dynamic correction. In the case of the approximation for the optimal share in investment risk, the myopic benchmark is simply the classical formula for optimal risk sharing. This benchmark is endogenous because it depends on the wealths of the two parties. The dynamic correction is driven by counterparty risk. If both parties are fairly risk tolerant, in the sense that 2>R>r, then the Proposer takes on more risk than she would under the myopic benchmark. If both parties are fairly risk averse, in the sense that R>r>2, then the Proposer takes on less risk than she would under the myopic benchmark. In the mixed case, in which R>2>r, the Proposer takes on more risk when the Responder's share in total wealth is low and less risk when the Responder's share in total wealth is high. In the case of the approximation for the optimal termination payment, the myopic benchmark is zero. The dynamic correction tells us, among other things, that: (i) if the asset has a high return then, following termination, the Responder compensates the Proposer for the loss of a valuable investment opportunity; and (ii) if the asset has a low return then, prior to termination, the Responder compensates the Proposer for the low returns obtained. Finally, we exploit our representation of the optimal contract to derive simple and easily interpretable sufficient conditions for the existence of an optimal contract -- National Bureau of Economic Research web site.







Optimal Risk Sharing with Time-Inconsistency and Long-Run Risk


Book Description

I examine the role of the experimentally documented bias time-inconsistency for the dynamics of asset prices and wealth distribution between agents with recursive preferences. In a general equilibrium model with two types of investors, time-consistent and time-inconsistent, I show that the wealth share of the time-inconsistent agent is strictly lower than the one of the time-consistent agent, all else equal. The time-inconsistent investor, however, can dominate in the long-run despite her bias, in case she incorrectly believes that in the future she will save more than the time-consistent investor. In the presence of long-run risk accounting for time-inconsistency allows to study and endogenously match asset pricing dynamics such as the countercyclical feature of the equity premium that we observe in reality. These dynamics stem from the fact that the time-inconsistent investor who is less averse to persistent shocks tends to sell insurance against them to the time-consistent agent.




Optimal Risk Sharing for Law Invariant Monetary Utility Functions


Book Description

We consider the problem of optimal risk sharing of some given total risk between two economic agents characterized by law-invariant monetary utility functions or equivalently, law-invariant risk measures. We first prove existence of an optimal risk sharing allocation which is in addition increasing in terms of the total risk. We next provide an explicit characterization in the case where both agents' utility functions are comonotone. The general form of the optimal contracts turns out to be given by a sum of options (stop-loss contracts, in the language of insurance) on the total risk. In order to show the robustness of this type of contracts to more general utility functions, we introduce a new notion of strict risk aversion conditionally on lower tail events, which is typically satisfied by the semi-deviation and the entropic risk measures. Then, in the context of an AV@R-agent facing an agent with strict monotone preferences and exhibiting strict risk aversion conditional on lower tail events, we prove that optimal contracts again are European options on the total risk.










Moral Hazard, Investment, and Firm Dynamics


Book Description

We present a dynamic general equilibrium model with heterogeneous firms. Owners of the firms delegate investment decisions to managers, whose consumption and investment are private information. We solve the optimal incentive compatible contracts and characterize the implied firm dynamics. Optimal risk sharing requires managers' equity share decrease with the firm size. This in turn implies that it is harder to prevent private benefit in larger firms, where managers have lower equity stake under the optimal contract. Consequently, smaller firms invest more, pay less dividends, and grow faster. Quantitatively, we show that our model is consistent with the Pareto-like size distribution of firms in the data, as well as the pattern of the relationships between firm size and firms' investment and dividend policies.