Gray Area Phenomena


Book Description

This book addresses the challenge of international narcotics control by applying "the Manwaring paradigm." The paradigm is the basis for an improved strategy and theory of engagement for weak governments of the developing world, built around the concept of the "gray area phenomenon."







Votes, Drugs, and Violence


Book Description

One of the most surprising developments in Mexico's transition to democracy is the outbreak of criminal wars and large-scale criminal violence. Why did Mexican drug cartels go to war as the country transitioned away from one-party rule? And why have criminal wars proliferated as democracy has consolidated and elections have become more competitive subnationally? In Votes, Drugs, and Violence, Guillermo Trejo and Sandra Ley develop a political theory of criminal violence in weak democracies that elucidates how democratic politics and the fragmentation of power fundamentally shape cartels' incentives for war and peace. Drawing on in-depth case studies and statistical analysis spanning more than two decades and multiple levels of government, Trejo and Ley show that electoral competition and partisan conflict were key drivers of the outbreak of Mexico's crime wars, the intensification of violence, and the expansion of war and violence to the spheres of local politics and civil society.




Gaining Competitive Advantage in the Gray Zone


Book Description

The United States is entering a period of intensifying strategic competition with several rivals, most notably Russia and China. U.S. officials expect this competition to be played out primarily below the threshold of armed conflict, in what is sometimes termed the gray zone between peace and war. In this report, the authors examine how the United States might respond to Russian and Chinese efforts to seek strategic advantage through coercive actions in the gray zone, including military, diplomatic, informational, and economic tactics. The United States is ill prepared and poorly organized to compete in this space, yet the authors' findings suggest that the United States can begin to treat the ongoing gray zone competition as an opportunity more than a risk. Moreover, leaders in Europe and Asia view Russian and Chinese gray zone aggression as a meaningful threat and are receptive to U.S. assistance in mitigating it. In this report, the authors use insights from their extensive field research in affected countries, as well as general research into the literature on the gray zone phenomenon, to sketch out the elements of a strategic response to the gray zone challenge and develop a menu of response options for U.S. officials to consider.










Counterterrorism: Bridging Operations and Theory


Book Description

Counterterrorism/Homeland Security/Security Studies Contributors: Dr. John Arquilla • Jeffrey “Skunk” Baxter • Matt Begert • Dr. Stefan Brem • Michael Brooks • Dr. Robert J. Bunker • Rick Y. Byrum • Lisa J. Campbell • Irina A. Chindea • Dr. Martin van Creveld • James P. Denney • Matthew G. Devost • T. Kessara Eldridge • Adam Elkus • Dr. Fadi Essmaeel • Dr. Christopher Flaherty • Phillip W. Fouts • Dr. Daveed Gartenstein-Ross • Dr. Russell W. Glenn • Scott Gerwehr • Dr. Lester W. Grau • Thomas Greco • Dr. Daniel S. Gressang IV • Dr. Rohan Gunaratna • Dr. Thomas X. Hammes • Jennifer (Demmert) Hardwick • Daniel P. Heenan • Dr. Brian K. Houghton • Ali A. Jalali • Brian Michael Jenkins • Dr. Peter Katona • Hal Kempfer • Dr. David Kilcullen • James T. Kirkhope • Dr. Scott P. Layne • Ernest (Ernie) J. Lorelli • Dr. Prem Mahadevan • Paul M. Maniscalco • Kevin R. McCarthy • Jason Pate • William C. Patrick III • Ralph Peters • Dr. Raymond Picquet • Caitlin Poling • Byron Ramirez • John Robb • Dr. David Ronfeldt • Mitchell D. Silber • Dr. Joshua Sinai • Dr. Erroll G. Southers • Dr. John P. Sullivan • Michael Tanji • Dr. Gregory F. Treverton • Donald E. Vandergriff • G.I. Wilson




The Great Mental Models, Volume 1


Book Description

Discover the essential thinking tools you’ve been missing with The Great Mental Models series by Shane Parrish, New York Times bestselling author and the mind behind the acclaimed Farnam Street blog and “The Knowledge Project” podcast. This first book in the series is your guide to learning the crucial thinking tools nobody ever taught you. Time and time again, great thinkers such as Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett have credited their success to mental models–representations of how something works that can scale onto other fields. Mastering a small number of mental models enables you to rapidly grasp new information, identify patterns others miss, and avoid the common mistakes that hold people back. The Great Mental Models: Volume 1, General Thinking Concepts shows you how making a few tiny changes in the way you think can deliver big results. Drawing on examples from history, business, art, and science, this book details nine of the most versatile, all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making and productivity. This book will teach you how to: Avoid blind spots when looking at problems. Find non-obvious solutions. Anticipate and achieve desired outcomes. Play to your strengths, avoid your weaknesses, … and more. The Great Mental Models series demystifies once elusive concepts and illuminates rich knowledge that traditional education overlooks. This series is the most comprehensive and accessible guide on using mental models to better understand our world, solve problems, and gain an advantage.




East Asia Imperilled


Book Description

Security issues have traditionally been defined in military terms, yet the post-Cold War security landscape contains numerous non-military challenges to security. In this 2001 analysis, Alan Dupont argues that an emerging new class of non-military threats has the potential to destabilize East Asia and reverse decades of hard-won economic and social development. He shows that these transnational shifts must be grasped and dealt with by governments and non-government organizations both regionally, and internationally, if conflict is to be avoided. Transnational threats stem from overpopulation, deforestation and pollution, global warming, unregulated population movements, transnational crime, virulent new strains of infectious diseases and other issues not previously associated with international security. Collectively they represent a new agenda and pose novel challenges for foreign and defence policy. This highly informative, compelling and authoritative book is essential reading for East Asia specialists and makes a significant contribution to international security debates.




International Marine Economy


Book Description

International Marine Economy offers contributions from marine experts around the globe on the economic impacts of recent developments in international waters. From the South China Arbitration Award to the Bay of Bengal Case, this text includes important writings on Artic Shipping and Fisheries, the deep seabed, resources and maritime boundary regimes and studies the possibility of a new international agreement regulating the conservation of biological diversity in areas beyond national jurisdiction. Finally, it concludes by considering the challenges and opportunities of whaling in the Antarctic Case, ocean governance issues in Southeast Asia, and the exercise of control over foreign merchant vessels and state liability for wrong assessments. This volume offers much needed contemporary commentary from renowned scholars on rapidly evolving maritime topics.