Growth Theory, Nonlinear Dynamics, and Economic Modelling


Book Description

Essays by a leader in the field of economics, originally published as articles in various economic journals between 1972 and 1997, illustrate the power of dynamic modeling to shed light on the forces of stability and instability in economic systems. Themes are stochastic models and optimal growth, financial and macroeconomic modeling, nonlinearity in economics, and ecology, mechanism design, and regulation. Some subjects are asset prices in a production economy, the economics of regulatory tiering, and optimal economic growth and uncertainty. An introduction by Brock ties together the main aspects of his research to date. Brock teaches economics at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Dechert teaches economics at the University of Houston. The book is not indexed by subject. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR










The Book of Why


Book Description

A Turing Award-winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence "Correlation is not causation." This mantra, chanted by scientists for more than a century, has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. Today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and established causality -- the study of cause and effect -- on a firm scientific basis. His work explains how we can know easy things, like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard questions, like whether a drug cured an illness. Pearl's work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another: it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence. Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why.