Global Perspectives On Tropical Cyclones: From Science To Mitigation


Book Description

This book is a completely rewritten, updated and expanded new edition of the original Global Perspectives on Tropical Cyclones published in 1995. It presents a comprehensive review of the state of science and forecasting of tropical cyclones together with the application of this science to disaster mitigation, hence the tag: From Science to Mitigation.Since the previous volume, enormous progress in understanding tropical cyclones has been achieved. These advances range from the theoretical through to ever more sophisticated computer modeling, all underpinned by a vast and growing range of observations from airborne, space and ocean observation platforms. The growth in observational capability is reflected by the inclusion of three new chapters on this topic. The chapter on the effects of climate change on tropical cyclone activity is also new, and appropriate given the recent intense debate on this issue. The advances in the understanding of tropical cyclones which have led to significant improvements in forecasting track, intensity, rainfall and storm surge, are reviewed in detail over three chapters. For the first time, a chapter on seasonal prediction is included. The book concludes with an important chapter on disaster mitigation, which is timely given the enormous loss of life in recent tropical cyclone disasters.World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate is indexed in SCOPUS.







Forecasting 24 and 48 Hour Intensity Changes, for Northwestern Pacific Tropical Cyclones, Using Satellite Imagery


Book Description

Sixteen years of typhoon data were studied, in an effort to develop a technique for forecasting tropical cyclone intensity changes in the Northwestern Pacific. The data base provided average changes for 24 and 48 hour periods along with the average duration of each phase (intensifying and dissipating). Further study revealed that the upper-level outflow patterns provide a means to adjust these average changes so a more realistic forecast could be generated for the individual storms. Forecasts were further improved by studying how land and other environmental features effect the life cycle of tropical cyclones. Results from the research were compiled and incorporated into a series of flow charts. These charts were created to enable individuals to quickly determine future intensities of cyclones given the storm's history and a current satellite picture. (emk).




Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change


Book Description

This book deals with recent advances in our understanding and prediction of tropical cyclogenesis, intensification and movement as well as landfall processes like heavy rainfall, gale wind and storm surge based on the latest observational and numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling platforms. It also includes tropical cyclone (TC) management issues like early warning systems, recent high impact TC events, disaster preparedness, assessment of risk and vulnerability including construction, archiving and retrieval of the best tracking and historical data sets, policy decision etc., in view of recent findings on climate change aspects and their impact on TC activity. The chapters are authored by leading experts, both from research and operational environments. This book is relevant to cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, graduate and undergraduate students. It intends to stimulate thinking and hence further research in the field of TCs and climate change, especially over the Indian Ocean region and provides high-quality reference materials for all the users mentioned above for the management of TCs over this region.




A Spiral Analysis Technique for Monitoring and Predicting Tropical Cyclone Intensity Using Satellite Data


Book Description

A spiral analysis technique is developed which quantifies the spiral patterns of cloud bands observed in IR satellite images of tropical cyclones. The technique utilizes the Navy's SPADS (Satellite Data Processing and Display System) minicomputer for processing the digital IR data. The technique consists of best fitting spherical-logarithmic spirals to tropical cyclone spiral cloud bands and performing multiple Fourier analyses of the radiance field along spirals orthogonal to the bands. Linear regression techniques are used to establish a relationship between spiral parameters derived from the Fourier analyses and tropical cyclone intensity. Algorithms for current intensity, and 12 and 24 h forecasts are developed. Tests on an independent data set show significant skill in estimating current intensity and in making 12 h forecasts. The most important predictors selected are presistence and parameters related to the dominant spiral signal and maximum IR count of the analyzed radiance field. Biases in the forecast algorithms suggest that other parameters are necessary to more accurately predict tropical cyclone intensity. The results, however, demonstrate the usefulness of the technique as an aid to tropical cyclone forecasters.




APAC 2019


Book Description

This book presents selected articles from the International Conference on Asian and Pacific Coasts (APAC 2019), an event intended to promote academic and technical exchange on coastal related studies, including coastal engineering and coastal environmental problems, among Asian and Pacific countries/regions. APAC is jointly supported by the Chinese Ocean Engineering Society (COES), the Coastal Engineering Committee of the Japan Society of Civil Engineers (JSCE), and the Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers (KSCOE). APAC is jointly supported by the Chinese Ocean Engineering Society (COES), the Coastal Engineering Committee of the Japan Society of Civil Engineers (JSCE), and the Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers (KSCOE).